Subtle-Collectivization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$421

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.0%

Resolved

1,468

Trades

2,664

lifetime

Volume

$20.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 08-27 11:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 50% -$364

Other

2% 35% -$56

Sports

0% 33% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 23:30 UTC	10	$618	640	640	+0	Up	+$52	07-22 23:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:00 UTC	13	$605	1,317	747	+570	Up	+$34	08-25 14:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:55 UTC	5	$570	741	435	+306	Up	-$78	07-27 16:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:15 UTC	12	$547	1,049	1,049	+0	Down	+$147	08-25 14:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:25 UTC	7	$533	2,592	447	+2,145	Up	-$147	08-25 14:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:05 UTC	9	$331	2,183	299	+1,884	Up	-$109	08-25 14:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:40 UTC	5	$313	333	333	+0	Up	+$133	08-25 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:30 UTC	4	$264	868	210	+658	Up	-$36	08-25 22:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:35 UTC	9	$261	385	227	+158	Down	+$10	08-25 22:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:40 UTC	5	$243	1,554	429	+1,125	Down	+$83	08-25 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:40 UTC	6	$235	358	207	+151	Down	+$35	08-25 22:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:45 UTC	4	$201	1,412	412	+1,000	Down	+$61	08-25 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:15 UTC	2	$194	140	140	+0	Up	+$74	08-25 16:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:15 UTC	3	$187	569	426	+143	Down	-$33	08-25 22:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 15:05 UTC	9	$183	233	233	+0	Up	+$3	07-30 15:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:45 UTC	6	$173	1,558	64	+1,494	Up	-$87	08-25 22:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 22:20 UTC	2	$167	125	125	+0	Down	+$47	08-25 22:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:20 UTC	2	$154	125	125	+0	Down	+$54	08-25 16:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 14:10 UTC	5	$150	672	0	+672	Up	-$150	08-25 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 16:00 UTC	2	$150	102	102	+0	Up	+$50	08-25 16:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 13:20 UTC	8	$143	614	147	+467	Up	+$23	08-25 13:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:35 UTC	10	$143	182	182	+0	Up	+$49	07-30 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 00:55 UTC	7	$133	114	114	+0	Down	+$23	08-26 00:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 14:50 UTC	10	$132	150	150	+0	Down	+$12	07-30 14:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 15:25 UTC	2	$128	92	92	+0	Up	+$54	08-25 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 15:05 UTC	2	$125	125	125	+0	Down	+$37	07-27 15:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 17:55 UTC	2	$122	91	91	+0	Down	+$58	07-26 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 16:10 UTC	4	$117	160	160	+0	Down	+$57	07-27 16:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:40 UTC	5	$116	100	100	+0	Down	+$36	08-25 21:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-25 21:20 UTC	3	$115	214	214	+0	Down	+$55	08-25 21:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 11:56:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	47	33¢	$15	0x8ed1c1…
08-27 11:53:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:50 UTC	Up	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0xc746c5…
08-27 11:53:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:50 UTC	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xc557ce…
08-27 11:49:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xd9b31d…
08-27 11:49:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x3e18b4…
08-27 11:49:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x5fbca0…
08-27 11:41:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xba79b8…
08-27 11:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x9b11b6…
08-27 11:37:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:35 UTC	Up	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x063445…
08-27 11:36:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:35 UTC	Down	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0x822ed2…
08-27 11:33:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xe03e9d…
08-27 11:33:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x293501…
08-27 11:25:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:25 UTC	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xdf9e01…
08-27 11:19:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x29cae5…
08-27 11:18:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x665e0f…
08-27 11:14:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xa7ae00…
08-27 11:14:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0x076559…
08-27 11:10:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0xad97c4…
08-27 11:08:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xa14d96…
08-27 11:08:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2355ff…
08-27 11:05:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-27 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0xcd6170…
08-26 22:06:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 22:05 UTC	Down	SELL	18	62¢	$11	0x8360c9…
08-26 22:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x442ebd…
08-26 22:04:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 22:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xe45b1f…
08-26 22:00:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x945c0c…
08-26 22:00:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x056386…
08-26 21:51:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xb1547e…
08-26 21:49:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xdc0240…
08-26 21:48:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5d7d24…
08-26 21:47:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x63c266…
08-26 21:47:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x241d40…
08-26 21:46:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xe6bf66…
08-26 21:45:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb7e270…
08-26 21:43:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x26e660…
08-26 21:41:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:40 UTC	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x086d2e…
08-26 21:38:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x0828a0…
08-26 21:27:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x5dc985…
08-26 21:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x193da8…
08-26 21:26:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:25 UTC	Down	SELL	27	49¢	$13	0x86a7e7…
08-26 21:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	27	22¢	$6	0x71d821…
08-26 21:23:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xcdfbf3…
08-26 21:21:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:20 UTC	Up	SELL	19	72¢	$14	0x50e93e…
08-26 21:20:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x18dc1b…
08-26 21:14:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x5ace3a…
08-26 21:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x707fec…
08-26 21:06:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:05 UTC	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x2389a4…
08-26 21:05:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0c5bae…
08-26 21:04:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x126000…
08-26 21:03:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:00 UTC	Down	SELL	8	84¢	$7	0x25afd6…
08-26 20:59:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x761f88…
08-26 20:54:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xcf5461…
08-26 20:54:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x11ee95…
08-26 20:50:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7d7725…
08-26 20:49:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8e35a3…
08-26 20:43:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb8700a…
08-26 20:37:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:35 UTC	Up	SELL	24	43¢	$10	0x1b464d…
08-26 20:36:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x465fbb…
08-26 20:35:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6514ab…
08-26 20:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5bc148…
08-26 20:35:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x03a7a0…
08-26 20:32:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	11	78¢	$9	0x775709…
08-26 20:31:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa5f9e2…
08-26 20:31:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2752a2…
08-26 20:30:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x507bc0…
08-26 20:28:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x990902…
08-26 20:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3e65f6…
08-26 20:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x305630…
08-26 20:20:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x7e1a5f…
08-26 20:16:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	13	57¢	$8	0x3ebeb9…
08-26 20:16:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:15 UTC	Down	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0x21c4c7…
08-26 20:15:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x57abcc…
08-26 20:15:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xcde82c…
08-26 20:15:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x5b23de…
08-26 20:15:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x4d806b…
08-26 20:15:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x034a63…
08-26 20:11:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xea52db…
08-26 20:10:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe12665…
08-26 20:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	39¢	$6	0x815032…
08-26 20:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x33d1c1…
08-26 20:05:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x0599e3…
08-26 20:03:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:00 UTC	Up	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0xb3a3c7…
08-26 20:02:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x90952b…
08-26 19:57:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 19:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0c20a8…
08-26 02:28:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x384b55…
08-26 02:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xe303c9…
08-26 02:23:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:20 UTC	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xa005a3…
08-26 02:19:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x80129c…
08-26 02:16:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x565d89…
08-26 02:08:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4f4526…
08-26 02:06:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:05 UTC	Down	SELL	42	58¢	$24	0x5c3ffb…
08-26 02:06:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	27¢	$6	0x72b770…
08-26 02:05:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0xe5f62b…
08-26 02:04:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	39	77¢	$30	0x8a4c01…
08-26 02:03:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x77b466…
08-26 02:03:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x09ea75…
08-26 02:02:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	SELL	77	18¢	$14	0xcdbe54…
08-26 02:02:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0xff545f…
08-26 02:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x8bde3b…
08-26 01:55:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9b8d18…
08-26 01:49:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x2b46b4…