Subtle-Collectivization — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$56

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.4%

Resolved

Trades

506

lifetime

Volume

$1.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-23 12:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 61% +$56

Other

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$40	32	32	+0	open	—	05-14 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	05-14 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	05-14 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$23	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	05-14 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 13:31
btc updown 5m 1781270100	3	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	06-12 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$20	16	16	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$18	15	15	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$18	13	13	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$6	05-13 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	2	$17	15	15	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$4	05-13 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$16	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	3	$15	22	10	+12	Up	+$8	05-10 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	05-22 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 10:05
btc updown 5m 1780658700	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	06-05 11:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	05-16 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-12 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 12:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 14:18:59	btc updown 5m 1782224400	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x958470…
06-23 13:25:20	btc updown 5m 1782220800	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x432a59…
06-23 13:20:04	btc updown 5m 1782220800	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xed200a…
06-23 13:09:55	btc updown 5m 1782220200	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x639992…
06-23 13:04:58	btc updown 5m 1782219900	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x20a4c8…
06-23 12:59:59	btc updown 5m 1782219600	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9338f6…
06-23 12:53:14	btc updown 5m 1782219300	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x5d3bdd…
06-22 13:57:23	btc updown 5m 1782136500	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4d7bd8…
06-22 13:34:59	btc updown 5m 1782135300	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xe218d8…
06-22 10:15:34	btc updown 5m 1782123300	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x98e7c2…
06-22 10:09:28	btc updown 5m 1782123000	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x242500…
06-22 10:02:38	btc updown 5m 1782122700	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc9bda9…
06-19 11:44:52	btc updown 5m 1781869500	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb0bc07…
06-19 11:40:05	btc updown 5m 1781869200	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x0e3824…
06-18 19:26:16	btc updown 5m 1781810700	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x3cc29c…
06-18 19:25:04	btc updown 5m 1781810700	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x46244a…
06-18 19:24:19	btc updown 5m 1781810400	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xc33a00…
06-18 19:20:44	btc updown 5m 1781810400	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc44cde…
06-17 18:30:55	btc updown 5m 1781721000	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb73571…
06-17 18:20:07	btc updown 5m 1781720400	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x819736…
06-17 18:14:55	btc updown 5m 1781720100	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x1427ce…
06-17 10:05:46	btc updown 5m 1781690700	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xa736fc…
06-15 15:02:25	btc updown 5m 1781535600	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x308fd2…
06-15 14:58:09	btc updown 5m 1781535600	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9872a3…
06-14 17:30:39	btc updown 5m 1781458200	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$3	0x222a07…
06-14 16:27:37	btc updown 5m 1781454300	Up	BUY	11	24¢	$3	0xc570b7…
06-12 15:41:57	btc updown 5m 1781278800	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x91aad1…
06-12 15:37:54	btc updown 5m 1781278500	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x09c3ca…
06-12 15:35:54	btc updown 5m 1781278500	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x177a14…
06-12 14:09:33	btc updown 5m 1781273400	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x158a18…
06-12 14:05:37	btc updown 5m 1781273100	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x166550…
06-12 13:47:19	btc updown 5m 1781271900	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xf97e5e…
06-12 13:19:34	btc updown 5m 1781270400	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x894956…
06-12 13:18:49	btc updown 5m 1781270100	Up	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0x5210b4…
06-12 13:17:54	btc updown 5m 1781270100	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x170981…
06-12 13:17:25	btc updown 5m 1781270100	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$5	0xed1fed…
06-08 16:24:01	btc updown 5m 1780935900	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x19b9c9…
06-08 13:09:46	btc updown 5m 1780924200	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf65d69…
06-08 12:58:43	btc updown 5m 1780923600	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xab610a…
06-08 12:44:13	btc updown 5m 1780922700	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x96b813…
06-06 11:50:06	btc updown 5m 1780746600	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x6750d6…
06-05 12:19:31	btc updown 5m 1780662000	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x84d5c3…
06-05 12:02:33	btc updown 5m 1780661100	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xff5617…
06-05 11:25:28	btc updown 5m 1780658700	Up	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x4f3e14…
06-05 11:23:57	btc updown 5m 1780658700	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xf415bc…
06-05 11:17:01	btc updown 5m 1780658100	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x4d0306…
06-05 11:09:49	btc updown 5m 1780657800	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xf38925…
06-05 11:04:03	btc updown 5m 1780657500	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x782c88…
06-05 10:59:46	btc updown 5m 1780657200	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x55416a…
06-04 13:40:37	btc updown 5m 1780580400	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc23af8…
06-04 13:23:52	btc updown 5m 1780579500	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x1e738c…
06-04 13:18:58	btc updown 5m 1780579200	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x476625…
06-04 13:15:57	btc updown 5m 1780578900	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x2fdb27…
06-04 13:09:01	btc updown 5m 1780578600	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x04aa7f…
06-03 13:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x80281c…
06-02 21:44:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x43f5f8…
06-02 21:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x940be7…
06-02 21:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x43b7cc…
06-02 21:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x04c087…
05-31 23:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7f8eda…
05-31 23:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x672b31…
05-31 23:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xed81d0…
05-31 23:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x175100…
05-31 23:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x2e6b03…
05-31 22:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa3a96a…
05-31 22:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2a8fd2…
05-31 22:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x2810ed…
05-31 22:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0xe86195…
05-31 22:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x69e098…
05-31 22:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe706e3…
05-27 20:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x654167…
05-27 20:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb56b6f…
05-27 20:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc695ef…
05-26 20:04:53	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0c1bb3…
05-26 19:58:30	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1382a4…
05-26 19:53:54	XRP Up or Down - May 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xff15b7…
05-26 19:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0xb8cea9…
05-26 19:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x40bcf1…
05-26 19:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$2	0x3ba459…
05-26 19:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcadade…
05-26 19:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x69b46e…
05-26 19:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa71b8f…
05-26 19:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x1dce82…
05-26 19:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3e7660…
05-25 22:45:07	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8906e7…
05-25 22:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8727e2…
05-25 22:35:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x33ca5b…
05-25 22:29:52	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x14bfdc…
05-25 22:19:53	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xad6351…
05-25 22:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xc08547…
05-25 22:04:55	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xe51ada…
05-25 21:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x386061…
05-25 21:49:35	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xa020d2…
05-25 21:44:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4bd856…
05-25 21:39:42	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0xe351d1…
05-25 21:25:07	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xe6c84d…
05-25 20:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xdc9460…
05-25 20:28:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7d718c…
05-25 20:25:59	New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals	New York Yankees	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x4e7993…
05-25 20:25:52	PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty	New York Liberty	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0xc87263…