Academic-Hubris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

4,081

Trades

37,378

lifetime

Volume

$220.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-27 15:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 216 days

Categories

Other

100% 39% +$11,679

Crypto

0% 39% -$51

Politics

0% 20% +$8

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 1057 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 29?	9	$2.4K	1,283	1,283	+0	No	+$84	09-28 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?	7	$2.4K	1,281	1,281	+0	Yes	+$122	05-10 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 4?	10	$2.2K	1,108	1,108	+0	No	+$44	09-03 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 6?	15	$2.0K	1,222	1,222	+0	No	+$7	09-05 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 12?	32	$1.9K	1,063	1,063	+0	No	+$77	08-12 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 8?	47	$1.8K	1,065	1,065	+0	No	+$104	09-08 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	145	$1.8K	2,452	2,452	+0	Yes	+$1,435	08-21 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 6?	122	$1.7K	1,393	1,393	+0	Yes	+$468	09-06 15:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	20	$1.4K	737	737	+0	No	+$14	07-04 14:28
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 9?	4	$1.4K	712	712	+0	No	+$56	05-09 04:27
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 18c	8	$1.3K	649	648	+0	No	+$4	04-07 09:24
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on May 24?	11	$1.3K	661	656	+6	No	+$51	05-24 03:25
highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 24c	99	$1.2K	636	629	+7	No	+$9	04-13 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	42	$1.2K	714	714	+0	Yes	+$125	09-04 04:33
highest temperature in taipei on april 13 2026 29c	8	$1.2K	601	601	+0	No	+$1	04-13 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?	19	$1.2K	608	608	+0	No	+$24	05-14 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	137	$1.2K	1,665	1,458	+208	No	+$580	09-13 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	93	$1.1K	1,156	1,156	+0	Yes	+$105	08-31 04:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?	69	$1.1K	804	804	+0	Yes	+$98	06-08 16:53
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on May 30?	4	$1.0K	526	526	+0	No	+$4	05-30 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 21?	8	$1.0K	547	547	-0	No	+$16	08-21 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 26?	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	Yes	+$18	08-26 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?	6	$1.0K	545	545	+0	No	+$9	06-16 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?	19	$1.0K	537	537	+0	No	+$9	06-21 06:07
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 20c	7	$1.0K	522	522	+0	No	+$2	04-18 04:07
highest temperature in taipei on april 11 2026 36corhigher	20	$1.0K	508	507	+0	No	+$7	04-11 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 13?	4	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	+$4	06-13 03:38
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 7?	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	+$5	05-07 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19?	7	$996	503	503	+0	No	+$9	08-19 06:05
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 8?	22	$956	495	495	+0	Yes	+$23	05-08 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 15:39:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x57635b…
10-27 15:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb6f5ad…
10-27 15:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x867e39…
10-27 15:39:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	29	1¢	$0	0x570f66…
10-27 15:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd9b32e…
10-27 15:34:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x6c9aca…
10-27 15:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x18a32c…
10-27 15:29:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xdeb4b0…
10-27 15:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x3bce65…
10-27 15:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x37ad5d…
10-27 15:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 28?	No	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x05f1a9…
10-27 15:23:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3886b9…
10-27 15:18:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xa4643d…
10-27 15:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xe359a7…
10-27 15:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd2e5e7…
10-27 15:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0xbd7f50…
10-27 15:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb7a744…
10-27 15:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x105cf8…
10-27 15:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xd2edf9…
10-27 15:13:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x308acb…
10-27 15:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xededa4…
10-27 15:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xad3b21…
10-27 15:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7df7fb…
10-27 15:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x17ea94…
10-27 15:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x36bc31…
10-27 15:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0x0df0b2…
10-27 15:07:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	19¢	$2	0xf76f3a…
10-27 15:05:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x39dee4…
10-27 15:03:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	92	0¢	$0	0x792e61…
10-27 15:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	36	10¢	$4	0xd2f8a3…
10-27 15:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf91a1a…
10-27 15:01:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x47ed50…
10-27 15:00:03	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb74048…
10-27 14:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x91b6ab…
10-27 14:53:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xa0f7dd…
10-27 14:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xed7897…
10-27 14:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8dbcde…
10-27 14:45:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	98	0¢	$0	0xd84bff…
10-27 14:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0xd93807…
10-27 14:43:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9ce7b5…
10-27 14:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x29a769…
10-27 14:40:41	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x72c09a…
10-27 14:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xb1ef8a…
10-27 14:35:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xa1e7d0…
10-27 14:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xfad495…
10-27 14:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xe95fd4…
10-27 14:24:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	27	27¢	$7	0x7d1c6a…
10-27 14:23:03	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x635d04…
10-27 14:22:56	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9fc47f…
10-27 14:18:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe187dc…
10-27 14:17:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x25296d…
10-27 14:17:47	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xa5d46a…
10-27 14:16:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x749565…
10-27 14:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	169	1¢	$2	0x7561a9…
10-27 14:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x9f01b1…
10-27 14:10:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xa257b1…
10-27 14:08:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xcb4baf…
10-27 14:05:56	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xd14a1f…
10-27 14:05:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x78361b…
10-27 14:04:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x03b9b1…
10-27 14:04:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x1896ed…
10-27 14:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	35	0¢	$0	0xc2ff9b…
10-27 14:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x0645d8…
10-27 14:03:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x8bce89…
10-27 14:01:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x48b4b9…
10-27 13:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x7de835…
10-27 13:57:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0xfdd0f4…
10-27 13:57:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0xa28082…
10-27 13:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0x4d7396…
10-27 13:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x02af88…
10-27 13:52:23	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	43	9¢	$4	0xa56ff5…
10-27 13:51:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	16	20¢	$3	0x38cabf…
10-27 13:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0x30897b…
10-27 13:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x08deb9…
10-27 13:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	95	16¢	$15	0x4a1a72…
10-27 13:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xb20c78…
10-27 12:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x00c3a9…
10-27 12:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfafe4c…
10-27 12:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa7773f…
10-27 12:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x342356…
10-27 11:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa0c9a8…
10-27 11:30:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2441bc…
10-27 11:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x902ad2…
10-27 11:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x32fb0a…
10-27 10:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x9639c9…
10-27 07:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb931a9…
10-27 07:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x24b682…
10-27 07:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x9af43f…
10-27 06:30:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbb6f38…
10-27 06:16:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6eb80c…
10-27 05:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xcbb424…
10-27 05:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0xbd6eea…
10-27 05:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x09ce8c…
10-27 05:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x2ac23a…
10-27 05:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x880762…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xfd8f7c…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc8c65d…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x988c53…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x76cc2a…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x3cac71…