Academic-Hubris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,829

lifetime

Volume

$35.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-01 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

98% — —

Crypto

2% 37% $-17

Politics

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 18c	8	$1.3K	649	648	+0	open	—	04-07 09:24
highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 24c	99	$1.2K	636	629	+7	open	—	04-13 08:07
highest temperature in taipei on april 13 2026 29c	8	$1.2K	601	601	+0	open	—	04-13 00:36
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 20c	7	$1.0K	522	522	+0	open	—	04-18 04:07
highest temperature in taipei on april 11 2026 36corhigher	20	$1.0K	508	507	+0	open	—	04-11 05:55
highest temperature in madrid on april 19 2026 27c	15	$953	590	440	+151	open	—	04-19 14:35
lowest temperature in london on april 23 2026 7c	46	$902	490	488	+2	open	—	04-23 06:59
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 16c	9	$882	612	610	+2	open	—	04-07 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on April 26?	2	$859	430	430	+0	open	—	04-26 03:11
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 17c	22	$721	411	323	+88	open	—	04-07 08:42
highest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 33c	28	$665	571	285	+287	open	—	04-23 03:10
highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 35corhigher	8	$643	367	382	-15	open	—	04-12 09:55
highest temperature in taipei on march 29 2026 22corbelow	5	$613	320	320	+0	open	—	03-29 08:20
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 19c	2	$613	316	315	+1	open	—	04-06 08:42
highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 31c	2	$600	301	300	+0	open	—	04-12 02:57
highest temperature in taipei on march 30 2026 25corbelow	31	$593	250	650	-400	open	—	03-30 07:56
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 18c	6	$564	489	110	+379	open	—	04-13 06:43
highest temperature in taipei on april 1 2026 22c	9	$475	129	489	-360	open	—	04-02 06:18
highest temperature in taipei on april 6 2026 29c	5	$453	237	236	+1	open	—	04-06 15:04
highest temperature in taipei on april 5 2026 25c	4	$442	223	222	+0	open	—	04-05 02:15
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 21c	14	$406	206	206	+0	open	—	04-08 08:24
highest temperature in taipei on april 8 2026 24c	4	$402	222	222	+0	open	—	04-08 06:37
highest temperature in taipei on april 13 2026 30c	2	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	04-13 01:12
highest temperature in wuhan on april 12 2026 22c	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 05:08
highest temperature in shanghai on april 7 2026 16c	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 03:16
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 18c	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 01:40
highest temperature in taipei on april 2 2026 25c	9	$391	332	320	+12	open	—	04-02 08:25
highest temperature in taipei on april 9 2026 32c	15	$389	240	233	+7	open	—	04-09 07:18
highest temperature in taipei on march 26 2026 27corhigher	2	$387	258	258	+0	open	—	03-26 04:39
highest temperature in taipei on march 28 2026 21c	17	$376	422	282	+140	open	—	03-28 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 18:14:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xca1dc6…
06-01 15:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf5eea0…
06-01 15:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x01f2a4…
06-01 15:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x31f0e9…
06-01 15:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2e2757…
06-01 14:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x3de77a…
06-01 14:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x718ec7…
06-01 14:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xeba715…
06-01 14:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xc4ad5b…
06-01 14:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd0db3c…
06-01 14:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x39ed3b…
06-01 14:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x28c2e8…
06-01 14:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x305815…
06-01 14:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x97a220…
06-01 13:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6a5a6c…
06-01 13:47:21	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xdc8013…
06-01 13:43:37	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x02d09b…
06-01 09:41:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc0740e…
06-01 09:27:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x170d5d…
06-01 04:07:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xb8abb2…
06-01 04:07:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xfd12c2…
06-01 03:56:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x5dafb8…
06-01 03:13:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x887404…
06-01 02:28:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xf02b58…
06-01 02:27:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x9de910…
06-01 00:49:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xbb5500…
06-01 00:48:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x77f41c…
06-01 00:46:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x12c073…
06-01 00:13:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x4ef395…
06-01 00:10:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x272cff…
06-01 00:07:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xdd442f…
06-01 00:07:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xebdf21…
06-01 00:07:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x12f9e2…
05-27 13:42:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0xcd071d…
05-27 13:20:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe7b764…
05-27 08:20:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x398133…
05-27 06:19:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x82bb48…
05-24 08:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x64d5ac…
05-24 08:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xed2182…
05-20 14:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1efc9c…
05-20 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5274a1…
05-19 18:31:26	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0b4cf1…
05-19 17:17:18	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xd06bbd…
05-19 17:16:50	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x495347…
05-19 17:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x64b50b…
05-19 17:13:29	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x81ed67…
05-19 17:12:26	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5d2256…
05-19 17:11:24	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3e1386…
05-19 17:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x74a241…
05-19 17:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf8af08…
05-19 16:52:11	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x3bcff8…
05-19 16:51:54	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x522b05…
05-19 16:48:57	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3d27f4…
05-19 16:47:28	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x6e7de0…
05-19 16:47:08	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbe7ce2…
05-19 16:44:01	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x8fc199…
05-19 16:43:28	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x37a0a8…
05-18 10:47:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x835348…
05-18 10:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x03db04…
05-18 10:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe71d4e…
05-18 10:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	370	6¢	$24	0xbd66a7…
05-18 10:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	370	7¢	$25	0x1e3b86…
05-16 06:53:03	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$1	0xe87c24…
05-16 02:53:58	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x6339cd…
05-16 02:53:53	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0xa20a03…
05-16 02:49:29	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x09586d…
05-15 10:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbbb53a…
05-14 04:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x577059…
05-14 04:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xce1fc3…
05-14 04:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcbc351…
05-14 04:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x46dbd6…
05-12 10:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8f0cd2…
05-11 17:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x68c8f1…
05-11 17:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x70d421…
05-11 17:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x60b8df…
05-11 17:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x008341…
05-11 17:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x909e8f…
05-11 17:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc7953e…
05-11 17:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x35fef2…
05-11 17:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1086fa…
05-11 17:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x5cb708…
05-11 17:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc680ca…
05-11 17:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6b9532…
05-11 17:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa5b573…
05-11 17:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7304b5…
05-11 17:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xce4c55…
05-11 08:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x00d6c1…
05-11 08:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x49d51e…
05-11 07:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbfa040…
05-11 07:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x3345b8…
05-11 07:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7f6197…
05-11 07:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0x37c0f4…
05-11 07:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa36d9f…
05-11 07:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x189f4b…
05-11 07:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x36782e…
05-11 07:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2a9b23…
05-11 07:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xeda634…
05-11 07:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc1f94f…
05-11 06:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xfb8c36…
05-11 06:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x289c61…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	428	$76.4K	12,793	04-27 14:02
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	415	$167.7K	24,248	06-01 22:22
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	379	$88.9K	11,000	06-01 22:26
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	374	$76.2K	16,342	04-26 01:03
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	363	$18.3K	9,588	04-28 10:26
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	352	$129.7K	15,127	06-01 05:26
Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e	340	$98.0K	15,128	04-28 10:39
Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054	337	$18.1K	4,184	04-28 06:47