Academic-Hubris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.4%

Resolved

Trades

3,878

lifetime

Volume

$35.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-27 11:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

98% — —

Crypto

2% 37% $-17

Politics

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 276 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 18c	8	$1.3K	649	648	+0	open	—	04-07 09:24
highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 24c	99	$1.2K	636	629	+7	open	—	04-13 08:07
highest temperature in taipei on april 13 2026 29c	8	$1.2K	601	601	+0	open	—	04-13 00:36
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 20c	7	$1.0K	522	522	+0	open	—	04-18 04:07
highest temperature in taipei on april 11 2026 36corhigher	20	$1.0K	508	507	+0	open	—	04-11 05:55
highest temperature in madrid on april 19 2026 27c	15	$953	590	440	+151	open	—	04-19 14:35
lowest temperature in london on april 23 2026 7c	46	$902	490	488	+2	open	—	04-23 06:59
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 16c	9	$882	612	610	+2	open	—	04-07 09:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on April 26?	2	$859	430	430	+0	open	—	04-26 03:11
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 17c	22	$721	411	323	+88	open	—	04-07 08:42
highest temperature in taipei on april 23 2026 33c	28	$665	571	285	+287	open	—	04-23 03:10
highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 35corhigher	8	$643	367	382	-15	open	—	04-12 09:55
highest temperature in taipei on march 29 2026 22corbelow	5	$613	320	320	+0	open	—	03-29 08:20
highest temperature in beijing on april 6 2026 19c	2	$613	316	315	+1	open	—	04-06 08:42
highest temperature in taipei on april 12 2026 31c	2	$600	301	300	+0	open	—	04-12 02:57
highest temperature in taipei on march 30 2026 25corbelow	31	$593	250	650	-400	open	—	03-30 07:56
highest temperature in shanghai on april 13 2026 18c	6	$564	489	110	+379	open	—	04-13 06:43
highest temperature in taipei on april 1 2026 22c	9	$475	129	489	-360	open	—	04-02 06:18
highest temperature in taipei on april 6 2026 29c	5	$453	237	236	+1	open	—	04-06 15:04
highest temperature in taipei on april 5 2026 25c	4	$442	223	222	+0	open	—	04-05 02:15
highest temperature in shanghai on april 8 2026 21c	14	$406	206	206	+0	open	—	04-08 08:24
highest temperature in taipei on april 8 2026 24c	4	$402	222	222	+0	open	—	04-08 06:37
highest temperature in taipei on april 13 2026 30c	2	$400	201	201	+0	open	—	04-13 01:12
highest temperature in wuhan on april 12 2026 22c	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 05:08
highest temperature in shanghai on april 7 2026 16c	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-07 03:16
highest temperature in tokyo on april 15 2026 18c	2	$399	200	200	+0	open	—	04-15 01:40
highest temperature in taipei on april 2 2026 25c	9	$391	332	320	+12	open	—	04-02 08:25
highest temperature in taipei on april 9 2026 32c	15	$389	240	233	+7	open	—	04-09 07:18
highest temperature in taipei on march 26 2026 27corhigher	2	$387	258	258	+0	open	—	03-26 04:39
highest temperature in taipei on march 28 2026 21c	17	$376	422	282	+140	open	—	03-28 09:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 11:50:53	bitcoin above 60k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc70f2e…
06-25 14:27:32	btc updown 5m 1782397500	Down	SELL	0	13¢	$0	0xe8df93…
06-25 14:26:10	btc updown 5m 1782397500	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x5dffbb…
06-25 14:25:59	btc updown 5m 1782397500	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbaed1b…
06-25 14:17:29	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x556f8b…
06-25 14:17:17	bitcoin above 58k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x21e1ce…
06-25 14:15:28	btc updown 5m 1782396900	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x79e142…
06-25 14:14:53	btc updown 5m 1782396900	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7a8d87…
06-25 13:33:43	btc updown 5m 1782394200	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa7933f…
06-25 13:31:50	btc updown 5m 1782394200	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe76daa…
06-25 13:31:37	btc updown 5m 1782394200	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd92784…
06-25 13:22:04	btc updown 5m 1782393600	Up	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0x9d6168…
06-25 13:21:10	btc updown 5m 1782393600	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa72c19…
06-25 13:20:50	btc updown 5m 1782393600	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbcb614…
06-25 13:20:41	btc updown 5m 1782393600	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8f00e0…
06-19 13:47:01	btc updown 5m 1781876700	Down	SELL	19	17¢	$3	0x6779c5…
06-19 13:45:52	btc updown 5m 1781876700	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x908d7d…
06-19 13:45:38	btc updown 5m 1781876700	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x774b90…
06-17 06:26:23	btc updown 5m 1781677500	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x161e51…
06-17 06:25:52	btc updown 5m 1781677500	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf1c830…
06-14 13:46:45	btc updown 5m 1781444700	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x65dc7a…
06-14 13:46:25	btc updown 5m 1781444700	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x16d936…
06-14 13:40:42	btc updown 5m 1781444400	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xfec20e…
06-14 13:40:33	btc updown 5m 1781444400	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x35cfdf…
06-14 13:11:33	btc updown 5m 1781442600	Up	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x378256…
06-14 13:11:03	btc updown 5m 1781442600	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xb2d6a6…
06-14 13:08:40	btc updown 5m 1781442300	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcb5d9b…
06-14 13:05:42	btc updown 5m 1781442300	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa3ac8f…
06-14 13:02:55	btc updown 5m 1781442000	Down	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0xe2dced…
06-14 13:01:07	btc updown 5m 1781442000	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x49ffe3…
06-14 12:56:45	btc updown 5m 1781441700	Down	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x713e08…
06-14 12:55:55	btc updown 5m 1781441700	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc55748…
06-12 14:41:52	sol updown 5m 1781275200	Up	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x4eaf75…
06-12 14:41:39	sol updown 5m 1781275200	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0abd24…
06-12 14:33:15	btc updown 5m 1781274600	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0xec50e3…
06-12 14:33:07	btc updown 5m 1781274600	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf4450a…
06-12 14:27:25	btc updown 5m 1781274300	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7f1812…
06-12 14:25:43	btc updown 5m 1781274300	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x746ad3…
06-12 14:25:40	btc updown 5m 1781274300	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf1c0da…
06-12 14:21:57	btc updown 5m 1781274000	Down	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xa38545…
06-12 14:21:22	btc updown 5m 1781274000	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x161c4a…
06-12 14:20:58	btc updown 5m 1781274000	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x979cb8…
06-12 14:16:43	btc updown 5m 1781273700	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x72978f…
06-12 14:16:25	btc updown 5m 1781273700	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2dc794…
06-12 14:14:49	btc updown 5m 1781273400	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x02f3fc…
06-12 14:07:57	btc updown 5m 1781273100	Down	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0xbbeea1…
06-12 14:07:39	btc updown 5m 1781273100	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd96db4…
06-12 14:07:04	btc updown 5m 1781273100	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x3ff19d…
06-12 14:05:58	btc updown 5m 1781273100	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0456d8…
06-01 18:14:05	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xca1dc6…
06-01 15:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf5eea0…
06-01 15:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x01f2a4…
06-01 15:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x31f0e9…
06-01 15:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2e2757…
06-01 14:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	16	43¢	$7	0x3de77a…
06-01 14:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x718ec7…
06-01 14:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xeba715…
06-01 14:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	36¢	$4	0xc4ad5b…
06-01 14:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd0db3c…
06-01 14:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x39ed3b…
06-01 14:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x28c2e8…
06-01 14:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x305815…
06-01 14:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x97a220…
06-01 13:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x6a5a6c…
06-01 13:47:21	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xdc8013…
06-01 13:43:37	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x02d09b…
06-01 09:41:51	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0xc0740e…
06-01 09:27:50	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x170d5d…
06-01 04:07:36	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xb8abb2…
06-01 04:07:35	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xfd12c2…
06-01 03:56:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	18¢	$2	0x5dafb8…
06-01 03:13:58	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x887404…
06-01 02:28:40	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0xf02b58…
06-01 02:27:18	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0x9de910…
06-01 00:49:15	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xbb5500…
06-01 00:48:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x77f41c…
06-01 00:46:09	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x12c073…
06-01 00:13:54	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x4ef395…
06-01 00:10:31	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x272cff…
06-01 00:07:22	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xdd442f…
06-01 00:07:13	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xebdf21…
06-01 00:07:11	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x12f9e2…
05-27 13:42:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	24	6¢	$1	0xcd071d…
05-27 13:20:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xe7b764…
05-27 08:20:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x398133…
05-27 06:19:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x82bb48…
05-24 08:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x64d5ac…
05-24 08:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xed2182…
05-20 14:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x1efc9c…
05-20 14:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x5274a1…
05-19 18:31:26	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x0b4cf1…
05-19 17:17:18	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xd06bbd…
05-19 17:16:50	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x495347…
05-19 17:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x64b50b…
05-19 17:13:29	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x81ed67…
05-19 17:12:26	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x5d2256…
05-19 17:11:24	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3e1386…
05-19 17:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x74a241…
05-19 17:03:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf8af08…
05-19 16:52:11	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x3bcff8…