Academic-Hubris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

4,081

Trades

37,329

lifetime

Volume

$220.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 10-27 11:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 216 days

Categories

Other

100% 39% +$11,679

Crypto

0% 39% -$51

Politics

0% 20% +$8

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 1057 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 29?	9	$2.4K	1,283	1,283	+0	No	+$84	09-28 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?	7	$2.4K	1,281	1,281	+0	Yes	+$122	05-10 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 4?	10	$2.2K	1,108	1,108	+0	No	+$44	09-03 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 6?	15	$2.0K	1,222	1,222	+0	No	+$7	09-05 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 12?	32	$1.9K	1,063	1,063	+0	No	+$77	08-12 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 8?	47	$1.8K	1,065	1,065	+0	No	+$104	09-08 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	145	$1.8K	2,452	2,452	+0	Yes	+$1,435	08-21 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 6?	122	$1.7K	1,393	1,393	+0	Yes	+$468	09-06 15:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	20	$1.4K	737	737	+0	No	+$14	07-04 14:28
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 9?	4	$1.4K	712	712	+0	No	+$56	05-09 04:27
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 18c	8	$1.3K	649	648	+0	No	+$4	04-07 09:24
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on May 24?	11	$1.3K	661	656	+6	No	+$51	05-24 03:25
highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 24c	99	$1.2K	636	629	+7	No	+$9	04-13 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	42	$1.2K	714	714	+0	Yes	+$125	09-04 04:33
highest temperature in taipei on april 13 2026 29c	8	$1.2K	601	601	+0	No	+$1	04-13 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?	19	$1.2K	608	608	+0	No	+$24	05-14 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	137	$1.2K	1,665	1,458	+208	No	+$580	09-13 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	93	$1.1K	1,156	1,156	+0	Yes	+$105	08-31 04:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?	69	$1.1K	804	804	+0	Yes	+$98	06-08 16:53
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on May 30?	4	$1.0K	526	526	+0	No	+$4	05-30 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 21?	8	$1.0K	547	547	-0	No	+$16	08-21 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 26?	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	Yes	+$18	08-26 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?	6	$1.0K	545	545	+0	No	+$9	06-16 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?	19	$1.0K	537	537	+0	No	+$9	06-21 06:07
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 20c	7	$1.0K	522	522	+0	No	+$2	04-18 04:07
highest temperature in taipei on april 11 2026 36corhigher	20	$1.0K	508	507	+0	No	+$7	04-11 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 13?	4	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	+$4	06-13 03:38
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 7?	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	+$5	05-07 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19?	7	$996	503	503	+0	No	+$9	08-19 06:05
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 8?	22	$956	495	495	+0	Yes	+$23	05-08 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 12:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x00c3a9…
10-27 12:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xfafe4c…
10-27 12:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa7773f…
10-27 12:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x342356…
10-27 11:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xa0c9a8…
10-27 11:30:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x2441bc…
10-27 11:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x902ad2…
10-27 11:12:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x32fb0a…
10-27 10:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x9639c9…
10-27 07:18:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb931a9…
10-27 07:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x24b682…
10-27 07:16:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0x9af43f…
10-27 06:30:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xbb6f38…
10-27 06:16:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6eb80c…
10-27 05:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xcbb424…
10-27 05:27:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	24	2¢	$1	0xbd6eea…
10-27 05:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x09ce8c…
10-27 05:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	80	0¢	$0	0x2ac23a…
10-27 05:14:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x880762…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xfd8f7c…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xc8c65d…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x988c53…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x76cc2a…
10-27 05:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0x3cac71…
10-27 04:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x999a99…
10-27 04:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x81e253…
10-27 04:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x157ce5…
10-27 04:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb9e1c1…
10-27 04:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x0e2999…
10-27 04:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x1c9be5…
10-27 04:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfed363…
10-27 04:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x89d4f7…
10-27 04:39:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x23d09d…
10-27 04:31:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x765a41…
10-27 04:26:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x8becfa…
10-27 04:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xb0a44a…
10-27 04:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	43	26¢	$11	0x51216a…
10-27 04:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x4bd90e…
10-27 03:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x73f8dc…
10-27 03:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0xb37d71…
10-27 03:45:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x17d278…
10-27 03:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa03e50…
10-27 03:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x184892…
10-27 03:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x071579…
10-27 03:43:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x37b585…
10-27 03:35:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x9a973d…
10-27 03:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xbf3853…
10-27 03:34:20	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0x612c59…
10-27 03:34:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0x6878cc…
10-27 03:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x9dcedc…
10-27 03:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xccdd11…
10-27 03:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x4d9fe5…
10-27 03:27:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x031bcb…
10-27 03:26:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x232b74…
10-27 03:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xca33a0…
10-27 03:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x9107ed…
10-27 03:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x5ecf87…
10-27 03:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0x316b7e…
10-27 03:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x7217d2…
10-27 03:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x77b6c8…
10-27 03:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xc0618b…
10-27 03:19:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x33bb1c…
10-27 03:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x7dc590…
10-27 03:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x68beb4…
10-27 03:15:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	49	0¢	$0	0x3275e0…
10-27 03:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x4c507e…
10-27 03:15:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x32100e…
10-27 03:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	194	0¢	$1	0x81d51a…
10-27 03:14:38	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	110	11¢	$12	0x311069…
10-27 03:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0xe8251f…
10-27 03:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xdbe860…
10-27 03:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x48d743…
10-27 03:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	69	1¢	$1	0x05b575…
10-27 03:02:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x93b386…
10-27 03:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x1972e6…
10-27 03:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x1f9a88…
10-27 02:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xe3fab9…
10-27 02:57:17	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xebb00c…
10-27 02:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	7	62¢	$5	0x87618a…
10-27 02:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xb36f8a…
10-27 02:50:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xc1fca5…
10-27 02:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x539a1b…
10-27 02:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7cd21e…
10-27 02:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xa7c954…
10-27 02:25:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x5dde8d…
10-27 02:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x8c04f8…
10-27 02:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	39	0¢	$0	0x4b0236…
10-27 02:00:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1f1359…
10-27 02:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbde8f4…
10-27 02:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xffea89…
10-27 02:00:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd56930…
10-27 02:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa21b54…
10-27 02:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x71945c…
10-27 02:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x67b0fd…
10-27 01:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x9454ac…
10-27 01:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xde1ab4…
10-27 01:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xaa22fe…
10-27 01:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x6b3c12…
10-27 01:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x8d4154…
10-27 01:00:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x611310…