Academic-Hubris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11.6K

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

4,206

Trades

38,422

lifetime

Volume

$223.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$23

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 11-02 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

100% 38% +$11,692

Crypto

0% 39% -$46

Politics

0% 20% +$8

Sports

0% 0% -$5

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 1057 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	+51	$2	24¢	$12	+$10	11-02 07:21
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	+40	$6	17¢	$7	+$1	10-30 03:35
Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	+58	$2	4¢	$2	+$0	10-30 07:53
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	+100	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	10-30 03:30
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	+33	$1	2¢	$1	$0	10-30 03:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 29?	9	$2.4K	1,283	1,283	+0	No	+$84	09-28 15:08
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?	7	$2.4K	1,281	1,281	+0	Yes	+$122	05-10 05:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 4?	10	$2.2K	1,108	1,108	+0	No	+$44	09-03 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 6?	15	$2.0K	1,222	1,222	+0	No	+$7	09-05 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 12?	32	$1.9K	1,063	1,063	+0	No	+$77	08-12 04:38
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 8?	47	$1.8K	1,065	1,065	+0	No	+$104	09-08 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 21?	145	$1.8K	2,452	2,452	+0	Yes	+$1,435	08-21 10:54
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 6?	122	$1.7K	1,393	1,393	+0	Yes	+$468	09-06 15:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 4?	20	$1.4K	737	737	+0	No	+$14	07-04 14:28
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 9?	4	$1.4K	712	712	+0	No	+$56	05-09 04:27
highest temperature in beijing on april 7 2026 18c	8	$1.3K	649	648	+0	No	+$4	04-07 09:24
Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on May 24?	11	$1.3K	661	656	+6	No	+$51	05-24 03:25
highest temperature in wuhan on april 13 2026 24c	99	$1.2K	636	629	+7	No	+$9	04-13 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	42	$1.2K	714	714	+0	Yes	+$125	09-04 04:33
highest temperature in taipei on april 13 2026 29c	8	$1.2K	601	601	+0	No	+$1	04-13 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 14?	19	$1.2K	608	608	+0	No	+$24	05-14 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 13?	137	$1.2K	1,665	1,458	+208	No	+$580	09-13 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on August 31?	93	$1.1K	1,156	1,156	+0	Yes	+$105	08-31 04:51
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 8?	69	$1.1K	804	804	+0	Yes	+$98	06-08 16:53
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on May 30?	4	$1.0K	526	526	+0	No	+$4	05-30 04:26
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 21?	8	$1.0K	547	547	-0	No	+$16	08-21 02:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 26?	2	$1.0K	519	519	+0	Yes	+$18	08-26 08:08
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 16?	6	$1.0K	545	545	+0	No	+$9	06-16 03:01
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 21?	19	$1.0K	537	537	+0	No	+$9	06-21 06:07
highest temperature in tokyo on april 18 2026 20c	7	$1.0K	522	522	+0	No	+$2	04-18 04:07
highest temperature in taipei on april 11 2026 36corhigher	20	$1.0K	508	507	+0	No	+$7	04-11 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 13?	4	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	+$4	06-13 03:38
Will the lowest temperature in London be 10°C on May 7?	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	+$5	05-07 03:56
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 19?	7	$996	503	503	+0	No	+$9	08-19 06:05
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 8?	22	$956	495	495	+0	Yes	+$23	05-08 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 15:12:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3?	No	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xd477f7…
11-02 15:12:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3?	No	SELL	25	61¢	$15	0xe0c200…
11-02 15:06:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x8b0b35…
11-02 15:04:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x68a490…
11-02 15:04:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x1895ec…
11-02 15:04:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x5e6974…
11-02 14:47:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3?	No	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x907ec7…
11-02 14:37:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xc46ef2…
11-02 14:36:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xae0d74…
11-02 14:36:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x8b17b7…
11-02 14:35:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x03c670…
11-02 14:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x9139a6…
11-02 14:33:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xa3f63e…
11-02 14:28:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0x1164f0…
11-02 14:27:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	108	0¢	$0	0xd78f6c…
11-02 14:26:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3?	No	SELL	20	58¢	$12	0x686c32…
11-02 14:24:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x287ac4…
11-02 14:23:13	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0xa2256d…
11-02 14:18:40	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xb6a4fc…
11-02 14:12:27	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 3?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x966b70…
11-02 14:11:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 3?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$6	0x0646f6…
11-02 14:07:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 3?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x6e31a6…
11-02 14:05:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x53acf3…
11-02 14:05:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xb5582e…
11-02 13:55:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	175	0¢	$0	0x58569f…
11-02 13:51:40	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0xc805d0…
11-02 13:51:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x42b44c…
11-02 13:51:04	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xa97686…
11-02 13:50:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0xedde0c…
11-02 13:49:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xfa733e…
11-02 13:48:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xac8b5d…
11-02 13:47:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb816c2…
11-02 13:45:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x413e05…
11-02 13:44:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x9e76e7…
11-02 13:40:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0x1d6407…
11-02 13:28:55	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0xc99cc0…
11-02 13:06:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x5fc2ec…
11-02 13:06:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xeb9e8a…
11-02 13:06:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x05952d…
11-02 13:05:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x71598c…
11-02 13:00:37	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x95d723…
11-02 13:00:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	14	0¢	$0	0x9ab337…
11-02 12:57:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x555174…
11-02 12:55:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C or below on November 2?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x798002…
11-02 12:55:24	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$0	0x4e2f4a…
11-02 12:54:58	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	88	2¢	$2	0x7886e9…
11-02 12:54:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 2?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x037830…
11-02 12:51:45	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x835d8a…
11-02 12:50:22	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x33fe99…
11-02 12:47:10	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C or below on November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x789bfe…
11-02 12:44:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xce722c…
11-02 12:44:16	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 8°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xa0a301…
11-02 12:42:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 4°C or below on November 2?	Yes	BUY	151	0¢	$0	0xdb2551…
11-02 12:42:36	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x6282b4…
11-02 12:41:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 2?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xccf317…
11-02 12:40:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x4ad063…
11-02 12:39:48	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	700	0¢	$1	0x39a503…
11-02 12:38:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0xe49e3c…
11-02 12:38:46	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x2ab1d9…
11-02 12:38:39	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x57599c…
11-02 12:38:21	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x6880a3…
11-02 12:37:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xb9e59e…
11-02 12:35:49	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x96dacc…
11-02 12:35:28	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	215	4¢	$9	0xedb1db…
11-02 12:34:52	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xecba91…
11-02 12:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x1c776d…
11-02 12:31:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x2d0836…
11-02 07:21:12	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x54a429…
11-02 07:12:37	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x4cabe2…
11-02 06:48:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x94131e…
11-02 06:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xa9052f…
11-02 06:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	53	2¢	$1	0xb39528…
11-02 06:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xbfa761…
11-02 06:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0xe1b9d8…
11-02 05:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xe3e4a3…
11-02 05:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0x388e3a…
11-02 05:54:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x7fda5e…
11-02 05:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xbd335f…
11-02 05:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8b0e33…
11-02 05:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x7f40d5…
11-02 05:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$0	0xf6f8a4…
11-02 05:52:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x58bdac…
11-02 05:51:37	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x03a1d5…
11-02 05:50:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xe40763…
11-02 05:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0xa1ad11…
11-02 05:49:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x0f5b65…
11-02 05:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on November 2?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x02b645…
11-02 05:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 2?	No	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0x180d77…
11-02 05:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 2?	No	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xa3ca43…
11-02 05:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 2?	No	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x49396b…
11-02 05:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x2ad1e8…
11-02 05:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on November 2?	No	BUY	37	4¢	$2	0xa30e01…
11-02 05:28:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	42	4¢	$2	0xbaf8ee…
11-02 05:20:46	Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xcb08fd…
11-02 05:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	16	12¢	$2	0x48e282…
11-02 05:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	96	0¢	$0	0x7a2eb1…
11-02 04:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 14°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0xa5eb2c…
11-02 04:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0xc2211d…
11-02 04:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xdd2e05…
11-02 04:58:48	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on November 2?	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0xe1f5c6…