Intrepid-Pathogenesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.8%

Resolved

594

Trades

1,021

lifetime

Volume

$1.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 07-09 16:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 51% -$65

Other

7% 39% -$35

Politics

0% 33% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 66k on april 2	11	$115	118	116	+2	Yes	+$1	04-02 12:40
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-02 20:00 UTC	10	$50	56	56	+0	Down	-$3	04-02 21:50
bitcoin up or down on april 3 2026	5	$36	46	29	+18	Up	-$11	04-03 14:05
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 16:45 UTC	3	$19	18	10	+8	Down	+$0	04-13 16:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 20:15 UTC	3	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	04-11 20:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 16:35 UTC	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	04-13 16:41
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:50 UTC	2	$9	8	7	+0	Down	+$6	04-11 17:55
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 9am et	2	$9	7	7	+0	Up	+$5	04-13 13:50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?	5	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$2	05-28 19:07
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 20:15 UTC	4	$8	15	0	+15	Up	-$8	04-09 20:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 14:45 UTC	2	$8	13	0	+13	Down	-$8	04-13 14:48
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:55 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	04-11 16:00
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:45 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-09 20:51
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 18:45 UTC	2	$8	17	0	+17	Up	-$8	04-18 18:58
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	04-11 16:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:25 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	04-11 18:30
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 19:50 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-11 19:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 02:55 UTC	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	04-12 03:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 02:55 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-12 03:01
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 15:40 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	04-11 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:25 UTC	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	04-11 18:30
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 04:20 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	04-13 04:25
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 16:40 UTC	2	$7	13	0	+13	Up	-$2	04-13 16:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 13:45 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	04-13 13:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 18:10 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	04-11 18:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:50 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$4	04-11 17:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 17:50 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	04-11 17:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 10:45 UTC	2	$6	10	0	+10	Up	-$6	04-11 10:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 20:15 UTC	2	$6	10	0	+10	Up	-$6	04-09 20:16
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-11 21:10 UTC	2	$6	10	0	+10	Up	+$4	04-11 21:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 16:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8ff3ae…
07-09 16:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd3d606…
07-09 16:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb57171…
07-09 15:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xae41e7…
07-09 15:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x8f55db…
07-09 15:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x6add8f…
06-24 07:08:14	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc0e983…
06-24 02:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x209d0f…
06-24 02:43:25	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcb85d8…
06-23 15:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 23?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xccac82…
06-23 09:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 23?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xfc1a58…
06-23 07:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$0	0x7374b7…
06-23 07:26:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0xeb7ced…
06-23 01:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 23?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe2ae54…
06-22 06:59:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 22?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xace32d…
06-22 04:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 22?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x58f6cd…
06-22 03:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on June 22?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0d5e71…
06-21 03:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 21?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x38430b…
06-11 08:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 11?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x49e018…
06-11 07:56:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x133d6f…
06-09 11:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 9?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9c86f6…
06-08 07:34:09	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3333cf…
06-06 09:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9b8ef1…
06-06 09:45:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 6?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x586b45…
06-06 07:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc5fcc2…
06-06 05:00:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x606ee8…
06-05 20:35:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x99f034…
06-05 19:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 5?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x111d06…
06-05 11:05:55	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 5?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4c336f…
06-05 10:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 5?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf64c0a…
06-05 10:28:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa58a0b…
06-05 10:06:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x817da9…
06-05 08:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x797981…
06-05 08:39:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 5?	No	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x6c417c…
06-05 07:12:37	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 5?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x04a472…
06-05 06:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 5?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf0b0df…
06-05 06:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 5?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5e9843…
06-05 05:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd061b8…
06-05 04:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 5?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x495c4c…
06-05 00:37:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 5?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x0dbe0a…
06-04 07:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 4?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x3c7cb4…
06-04 07:19:30	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 4?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa549ee…
05-30 08:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on May 30?	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x100d81…
05-30 05:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 30?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x5c07ed…
05-28 19:10:03	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 29?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x63c434…
05-28 19:09:45	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 29?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe38cf7…
05-28 19:07:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xbb9742…
05-28 18:59:40	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x029173…
05-28 18:47:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x6740de…
05-28 18:00:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x85808e…
05-27 08:13:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa49ec1…
05-27 08:12:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7938c1…
05-27 07:57:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd7e730…
05-27 07:53:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4bafb9…
05-27 07:53:23	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x30c6a6…
05-27 07:53:22	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 28?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2214f4…
05-25 14:37:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 26?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x87cd90…
05-21 19:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 22?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xab0aea…
05-21 18:16:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on May 22?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x041be9…
05-21 07:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on May 21?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2472be…
05-21 07:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on May 21?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x99ed0e…
05-17 05:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xab61a3…
05-17 05:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x5baeb2…
05-17 05:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xfe64df…
05-17 05:46:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on May 17?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x26a9e2…
05-17 05:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 17?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xea2be9…
05-17 05:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 64°F or higher on May 17?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xca8ae4…
05-17 05:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 17?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x505fda…
05-17 05:46:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on May 17?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x2e3cfa…
05-17 05:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 17?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xd0f05d…
05-17 05:46:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 17?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3a2836…
05-17 05:45:59	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 17?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb0fd2a…
05-17 05:45:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 17?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x86f6a1…
05-17 05:45:59	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x84980e…
05-17 05:45:59	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7e0f18…
05-17 05:45:59	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x409fdf…
05-17 05:45:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7daea3…
05-17 05:45:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on May 18?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbaee8c…
05-17 05:45:56	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x91f852…
05-12 06:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 84°F or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd21af5…
05-12 06:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4692ff…
05-12 06:16:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xa7fb17…
05-10 19:48:58	Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on May 11?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe16039…
05-10 19:48:58	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 11?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3c8d08…
05-06 11:50:22	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 6?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x4e5689…
05-06 07:08:52	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 6?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9efeaf…
05-06 06:46:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x799b36…
05-06 06:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd78f78…
05-06 06:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xb61c40…
05-06 06:45:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 6?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xac5f62…
05-06 06:44:54	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x311ea2…
05-06 06:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa6a5bc…
05-06 06:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 6?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6d75ba…
04-27 23:08:12	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x0db5a6…
04-27 21:08:10	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0xc6c59d…
04-27 19:03:06	Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x678188…
04-27 12:23:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x94658b…
04-26 20:53:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x629a0e…
04-26 12:18:22	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd93e34…
04-26 12:08:24	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdc9fce…