Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 12?
closed
Total volume
$830
$4,357 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-13 03:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | $133 | — | +$133 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 36 | $651 | $24 | +$627 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $207 | $5 | +$202 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $212 | — | +$212 |
| Median | 5 | $186 | $3 | +$183 |
| Below median | 15 | $48 | $7 | +$41 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $42 | — | +$42 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 2 | $90 | $2 | +$88 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | +176 | $165 | $165 | 1 | 05-11 10:12 |
| Entire-Hubcap 0x53e5…4459 | No | +133 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 19:27 |
| Awful-Butter 0x8796…eb9f | Yes | +129 | $129 | $129 | 1 | 05-12 20:55 |
| Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | Yes | +117 | $102 | $102 | 2 | 05-10 04:37 |
| Impure-Flat 0xa045…282a | Yes | +100 | $94 | $94 | 1 | 05-11 14:41 |
| Enchanting-Threat 0x3e7e…61c0 | Yes | +99 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-10 05:51 |
| Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | +95 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 03:11 |
| Mature-Eyelash 0x23d8…f6b9 | Yes | +62 | $58 | $58 | 1 | 05-11 02:36 |
| Grave-Assembly 0xd1ff…f3a0 | No | +30 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 05-10 10:40 |
| Naughty-Mattock 0x886a…0944 | Yes | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 00:02 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-11 04:07 |
| Monumental-Uniformity 0xf1de…bbbc | No | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:37 |
| Intrepid-Pathogenesis 0xa28b…a196 | No | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 06:16 |
| Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | +14 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | Yes | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-10 07:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dcb…96f6 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-11 21:33 |
| Envious-Thongs 0x95a8…6dc5 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 19:19 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 05:43 |
| Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452 | No | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Virtual-Underestimate 0x919a…4086 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 07:30 |
| Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Frightened-Fill 0xbbdf…cfd5 | No | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:33 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 13:48 |
| Fast-Host 0xb733…6cc4 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:39 |
| Ill-Keyboard 0xe86a…5ad2 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:46 |
| Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | Yes | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 04:33 |
| True-Washbasin 0x9b62…042f | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 05:21 |
| Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 12:18 |
| Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:31 |
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 01:03 |
| Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 15:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x61db…e6c1 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 00:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 03:07:43 | Young-Shipper 0x96cf…644a | Yes | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x5073a2… |
| 05-12 20:55:47 | Awful-Butter 0x8796…eb9f | Yes | BUY | 129 | 100¢ | $129 | 0x15c955… |
| 05-12 19:27:26 | Entire-Hubcap 0x53e5…4459 | No | BUY | 133 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xe115a7… |
| 05-12 17:31:39 | Damaged-Cross 0x138a…8197 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x598b05… |
| 05-12 15:08:07 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0x5c1772… |
| 05-12 11:22:38 | (anonymous) 0x589b…0381 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x604308… |
| 05-12 08:42:36 | Yawning-Wont 0x9c4b…a597 | No | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x718eab… |
| 05-12 07:30:51 | Virtual-Underestimate 0x919a…4086 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x9a70fa… |
| 05-12 06:16:04 | Intrepid-Pathogenesis 0xa28b…a196 | No | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa7fb17… |
| 05-12 05:21:00 | True-Washbasin 0x9b62…042f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9c81c3… |
| 05-12 01:03:11 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xb66e2b… |
| 05-12 00:02:30 | Naughty-Mattock 0x886a…0944 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0xa2b328… |
| 05-11 21:33:57 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0xdf8853… |
| 05-11 14:41:42 | Impure-Flat 0xa045…282a | Yes | BUY | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xf6d1c3… |
| 05-11 13:48:30 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 94¢ | $6 | 0xb206ad… |
| 05-11 12:18:23 | Adventurous-Magnet 0xca0c…b9b6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xa29c9b… |
| 05-11 10:12:25 | Valid-Deputy 0x2349…1646 | Yes | BUY | 176 | 94¢ | $165 | 0x944c63… |
| 05-11 05:43:12 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x034a40… |
| 05-11 04:07:51 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x7d4332… |
| 05-11 03:11:36 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 95 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x6147ce… |
| 05-11 02:36:01 | Mature-Eyelash 0x23d8…f6b9 | Yes | BUY | 62 | 93¢ | $58 | 0xa33716… |
| 05-11 00:04:05 | (anonymous) 0x61db…e6c1 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xfa68f5… |
| 05-10 19:19:18 | Envious-Thongs 0x95a8…6dc5 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x1501bd… |
| 05-10 10:40:53 | Grave-Assembly 0xd1ff…f3a0 | No | BUY | 23 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xb032b0… |
| 05-10 10:40:43 | Grave-Assembly 0xd1ff…f3a0 | No | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x606aef… |
| 05-10 07:39:00 | Fast-Host 0xb733…6cc4 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x79d06d… |
| 05-10 07:12:23 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x8203ce… |
| 05-10 07:12:21 | Uniform-Bone 0xc293…c389 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x044099… |
| 05-10 06:33:23 | Frightened-Fill 0xbbdf…cfd5 | No | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x8baf6f… |
| 05-10 05:51:35 | Enchanting-Threat 0x3e7e…61c0 | Yes | BUY | 99 | 91¢ | $90 | 0xab95e7… |
| 05-10 04:46:24 | Ill-Keyboard 0xe86a…5ad2 | No | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x8d59bf… |
| 05-10 04:41:58 | (anonymous) 0x8dcb…96f6 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x762a03… |
| 05-10 04:41:54 | Likely-Spyglass 0x715e…ee36 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x8983b0… |
| 05-10 04:41:33 | Violent-Doorway 0x9631…a38c | Yes | BUY | 14 | 21¢ | $3 | 0xc1bc4e… |
| 05-10 04:41:33 | (anonymous) 0x831a…ad82 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x62239d… |
| 05-10 04:41:32 | Buzzing-Trophy 0xeb54…d452 | No | BUY | 10 | 46¢ | $5 | 0xd98346… |
| 05-10 04:37:11 | Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | Yes | BUY | 47 | 86¢ | $41 | 0xf1c184… |
| 05-10 04:37:11 | Monumental-Uniformity 0xf1de…bbbc | No | BUY | 19 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x68f06a… |
| 05-10 04:36:43 | Tinted-Bellows 0x30fe…74bc | Yes | BUY | 70 | 87¢ | $61 | 0x431633… |
| 05-10 04:33:41 | Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x86909c… |
| 05-10 04:31:59 | Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038 | No | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x6da0c7… |