Damaged-Cross — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$183

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

1,157

Trades

2,376

lifetime

Volume

$76.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$40

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-25 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 280 days

Categories

Other

76% 78% -$750

Crypto

8% 81% +$175

Sports

7% 86% +$452

Politics

7% 73% +$49

Tech

1% 60% -$13

Pop-Culture

1% 60% -$97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-29	-$20	82¢	$-24	-$4	09-24 23:11
US strike on Mexico by December 31?	No	-17	-$16	96¢	$-16	+$0	06-03 05:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	06-25 12:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb duq fordm 2026 01 17	2	$972	489	489	+0	Duquesne Dukes	+$5	01-17 20:04
cbb arz hou 2026 02 21	2	$492	247	247	+0	Arizona Wildcats	+$1	02-21 22:39
ucl asm1 psg 2026 02 17 psg	2	$419	219	219	+0	Yes	+$19	02-18 00:13
euroleague paris monaco 2026 01 15	2	$379	231	231	+0	Monaco	+$79	01-15 22:16
nba nyk lal 2026 03 08	2	$344	244	244	+0	Lakers	+$144	03-08 22:37
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	12	$329	179	179	+0	No	+$0	08-29 22:13
cbb ncst vir 2026 03 12	2	$312	162	162	+0	Virginia Cavaliers	+$12	03-12 18:28
Olympiacos B.C. vs. AEK	2	$307	155	155	+0	Olympiacos B.C.	+$3	05-28 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1AM ET	2	$287	145	145	+0	Up	+$3	06-03 06:33
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	26	$282	147	147	+0	Yes	-$1	08-21 15:52
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$281	151	151	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$21	05-07 22:29
euroleague monaco milano 2026 03 24	2	$280	180	180	+0	Monaco	+$80	03-24 21:51
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Sebastian Ofner	2	$274	140	140	+0	Jannik Sinner	+$3	05-09 18:29
fl1 psg pfc 2026 01 04 psg	2	$263	143	143	+0	Yes	+$23	01-04 21:57
epl che bre 2026 01 17 che	2	$243	143	143	+0	Yes	+$43	01-17 17:05
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 20?	4	$237	120	120	+0	Up	+$2	05-20 20:02
Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	12	$235	148	148	+0	Yes	+$2	05-24 16:47
epl mac wol 2026 01 24 mac	2	$232	133	133	+0	Yes	+$32	01-24 16:23
cbb coast gas 2026 01 17	2	$230	274	0	+274	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	-$230	01-17 21:35
bun bay wol 2026 01 11 bay	2	$230	123	123	+0	Yes	+$16	01-11 17:57
bkfr1 mon dij 2026 04 05	2	$226	127	126	+1	Monaco	+$27	04-05 16:42
wta pegula putints 2026 04 01	2	$221	122	121	+1	Jessica Pegula	+$22	04-01 21:10
scop abe liv 2026 01 24 abe	2	$220	120	120	+0	Yes	+$20	01-24 20:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-23 22:15 UTC	2	$219	120	120	+0	Up	+$19	07-23 22:29
bkligend bur rea 2026 04 12	2	$218	119	118	+1	Real Madrid	+$19	04-12 18:49
acn mar tan 2026 01 04 mar	2	$218	118	118	+0	Yes	+$18	01-04 18:43
bkbsl bes bah 2026 06 10	2	$217	118	118	+0	Besiktas	+$17	06-10 18:59
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-01 20:00 UTC	2	$217	122	122	+0	Up	+$17	08-01 22:28
euroleague olympiac bologna 2026 02 06	2	$215	115	115	+0	Olympiacos B.C.	+$15	02-06 21:37
lal get bet 2026 03 07 get	2	$215	115	115	+0	Yes	+$15	03-08 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 23:23:03	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	23	82¢	$19	0x04eec4…
10-25 06:23:50	Spread: CD Eldense (-1.5)	Albacete Balompié	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x1fe9a2…
10-24 17:04:33	Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	Valencia CF	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x749204…
10-24 16:20:21	Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)	CD Leganés	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x4fd82a…
10-24 14:25:05	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x34ac30…
10-24 08:48:57	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xc6f6e5…
10-24 07:54:36	Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)	CD Leganés	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xd11f4b…
10-24 07:53:39	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x7d36ce…
10-24 07:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	SELL	25	89¢	$22	0x3c9c93…
10-24 07:49:15	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x4d9103…
10-24 07:19:53	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x56256e…
10-24 07:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x5eb49a…
10-23 19:07:59	Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)	Málaga CF	BUY	47	86¢	$40	0x2e62e6…
10-22 21:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 23?	No	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x1a0c22…
10-22 21:24:12	Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb18174…
10-22 18:18:15	Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)	RC Celta de Vigo	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x694003…
10-22 17:32:33	Will AZ win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	SELL	29	96¢	$28	0xb593af…
10-22 16:31:45	Will AZ win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xde9d79…
10-22 16:18:32	Spread: NEC (-1.5)	GNK Dinamo Zagreb	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6ab419…
10-22 16:04:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 22?	No	SELL	23	73¢	$17	0xf74954…
10-21 21:20:42	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x3db637…
10-21 19:02:56	Spread: Feyenoord Rotterdam (-1.5)	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xee080c…
10-21 18:28:30	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x0ec5c6…
10-21 18:26:18	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Como 1907	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x12da10…
10-21 16:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on October 22?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x35a31b…
10-21 16:34:33	Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0xb21fdb…
10-20 21:47:15	Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)	SSC Napoli	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x781052…
10-20 07:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	Yes	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0x877d94…
10-19 22:08:30	Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)	SSC Napoli	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x790a86…
10-19 22:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x098a29…
10-19 07:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xd244f8…
10-19 07:51:21	Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0xfaadfd…
10-18 16:10:50	Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	57	94¢	$53	0xc2a006…
10-18 14:55:32	RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0x9fb889…
10-18 13:57:21	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0xea827c…
10-18 12:10:51	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	43	72¢	$31	0xb44ddc…
10-17 21:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x0b0e32…
10-17 20:19:06	Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)	Valencia CF	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x3b6223…
10-16 21:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	22	79¢	$18	0x0aa27f…
10-16 21:19:54	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Hugo Dellien	Hugo Dellien	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xb7ca5f…
10-16 21:18:51	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x4d0e13…
10-15 22:27:03	NEC vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x987960…
10-15 11:55:25	Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)	Getafe CF	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x0dc37f…
10-15 11:54:32	NEC vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x44f13e…
10-14 21:17:30	ucl rom rma 2026 10 14 spread home 1pt5	Real Madrid CF	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0xd258d2…
10-14 17:32:36	euroleague efes munchen 2026 10 14	Anadolu Efes	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x4857a1…
10-14 17:30:45	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xb90398…
10-14 15:42:52	ucl rom rma 2026 10 14 spread home 1pt5	Real Madrid CF	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x4cc2da…
10-14 15:42:15	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xad9935…
10-13 23:17:54	dota2 amaru rl 2026 10 13	Amaru Gaming	BUY	59	62¢	$36	0x702b6f…
10-13 23:16:19	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	73¢	$16	0xb0c75b…
10-13 23:16:04	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	SELL	31	58¢	$18	0x90141c…
10-13 17:14:16	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	80	88¢	$70	0x1e2953…
10-13 17:13:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	Yes	SELL	23	85¢	$20	0x1182dd…
10-12 21:07:11	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026?	No	SELL	21	89¢	$18	0x317efe…
10-12 19:52:39	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x9ce457…
10-12 08:23:19	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B	Yellow Submarine	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x808b5d…
10-12 07:11:22	Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0x180953…
10-12 07:10:37	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x799b78…
10-12 07:05:25	Levante UD vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xffb3b5…
10-11 23:21:15	Magic vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	53	75¢	$40	0x89c501…
10-11 22:21:20	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 11?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xb461a3…
10-11 22:21:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?	Yes	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xfad1e8…
10-11 21:38:56	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xaf2251…
10-11 21:34:17	Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x59ce4a…
10-11 21:32:47	Giants vs. Commanders	Giants	SELL	92	50¢	$46	0xa2f0c9…
10-11 21:14:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11?	Yes	BUY	23	83¢	$19	0xb778e8…
10-11 20:35:03	Giants vs. Commanders	Giants	BUY	92	65¢	$60	0xc06967…
10-11 18:13:16	Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	85¢	$19	0x3eb9fc…
10-11 17:30:00	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x39fb31…
10-11 07:50:13	Spread: RC Celta de Vigo (-2.5)	Elche CF	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x03d1bc…
10-11 07:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xb1a07a…
10-10 08:16:49	Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)	Tottenham Hotspur FC	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xf6a432…
10-10 08:16:16	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	47	90¢	$42	0x011100…
10-08 20:56:11	Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x26e1a9…
10-08 20:51:06	Real Madrid vs. Partizan	Real Madrid	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x5c3620…
10-08 17:40:03	Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Olimpia Milano	Maccabi Tel Aviv	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0x8a3875…
10-07 22:04:21	Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent or a Technocrat?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x9706f0…
10-07 22:02:36	Real Madrid vs. Partizan	Real Madrid	BUY	29	80¢	$23	0x43c346…
10-07 22:00:18	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	22	93¢	$20	0x256a1a…
10-07 22:00:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	SELL	21	96¢	$20	0x392108…
10-07 21:59:46	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0xdd4b8c…
10-07 17:01:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x9998f3…
10-07 17:00:04	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xfcf75a…
10-07 13:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 7?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x028935…
10-06 23:10:10	Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x126a83…
10-06 23:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 7?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xdf9ae5…
10-05 17:07:55	Spread: Sweden (-1.5)	Romania	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0xba85a7…
10-05 17:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 6?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xdaa3df…
10-04 10:00:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb01e7f…
10-04 07:21:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xd96d74…
10-04 07:20:43	dota2 iac ivo 2026 10 04	InterActive Philippines	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x7ad7d0…
10-03 18:06:15	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Spirit Academy	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf3aaac…
10-03 18:06:00	Michigan State vs. Wisconsin	Wisconsin	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x3d227c…
10-03 17:14:15	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs	Spirit Academy	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x7f1b2f…
10-03 17:13:05	Michigan State vs. Wisconsin	Wisconsin	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x8da84e…
10-03 17:05:59	Croatia vs. England: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x48c647…
10-03 16:00:12	Croatia vs. England: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	29	82¢	$24	0x8aaa24…
10-03 15:57:06	Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?	Yes	SELL	27	93¢	$25	0xeec231…
10-03 12:14:56	Will the Bank of Korea hold at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x0400d0…