Enchanting-Threat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$277

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

1,503

Trades

6,864

lifetime

Volume

$43.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 10-29 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 109 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 89% -$430

Other

21% 23% -$151

Politics

2% 100% +$303

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 568 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	5	$707	1,010	0	+1,010	Yes	+$303	04-01 11:23
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	14	$657	1,113	1,113	+0	No	+$145	03-06 08:09
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	11	$485	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$345	03-05 10:16
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	12	$467	1,060	1,000	+60	No	-$277	03-02 04:22
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 66°F or higher on June 3?	17	$336	343	20	+322	Yes	+$20	06-01 17:19
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 74°F or higher on May 12?	11	$327	357	0	+357	Yes	+$30	05-11 05:56
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 27?	5	$296	300	0	+300	Yes	+$4	05-25 08:50
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	4	$284	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$716	03-02 04:21
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 300 319	2	$275	1,200	1,194	+6	No	-$13	03-28 12:14
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	2	$267	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$147	03-28 04:03
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 260 279	2	$267	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$107	03-28 04:02
highest temperature in seattle on april 22 2026 57forbelow	8	$247	297	0	+297	Yes	+$50	04-22 00:44
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	35	$239	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$159	03-28 04:03
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	9	$239	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$239	03-05 01:03
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	2	$235	120	120	+0	Yes	+$4	03-06 17:11
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 280 299	2	$220	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$20	03-28 04:02
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	13	$212	1,150	1,149	+1	No	-$150	03-03 15:06
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 340 359	2	$204	1,200	1,195	+5	No	-$12	03-28 12:14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 66°F or higher on May 31?	2	$196	204	0	+204	Yes	+$8	05-29 04:32
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 300 319	2	$170	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$50	03-28 04:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$158	200	200	+0	No	-$66	04-18 23:59
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 320 339	2	$155	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$105	03-28 04:02
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:45 UTC	6	$152	91	91	+1	Up	+$8	01-28 04:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:30 UTC	6	$150	91	91	+1	Down	+$2	01-28 03:42
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:45 UTC	9	$146	91	91	+1	Up	-$4	01-28 03:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:15 UTC	6	$145	91	91	+1	Down	+$3	01-28 03:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:15 UTC	6	$135	88	88	+0	Down	-$13	01-28 04:27
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 340 359	9	$133	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$107	03-28 04:01
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	12	$131	999	999	+0	No	+$20	03-28 04:03
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 360 379	8	$116	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$104	03-28 03:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:24:04	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5f6d58…
10-29 15:23:44	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8e345b…
10-29 15:23:44	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6b11a2…
10-29 14:19:08	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x73f944…
10-29 14:19:08	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x30266d…
10-29 14:18:43	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8a3c29…
10-29 09:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb4cfb8…
10-29 09:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0bbe9b…
10-29 02:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2e3c6c…
10-29 02:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbffeac…
10-29 02:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0x71e72a…
10-29 02:03:47	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe8ade2…
10-29 02:03:37	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdcb6c9…
10-29 01:59:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x09c2df…
10-29 01:58:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x17651e…
10-28 19:19:05	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd8d055…
10-28 19:18:43	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8e7f65…
10-28 05:39:01	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2fe6f6…
10-28 05:38:49	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3858e6…
10-27 18:34:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xda1898…
10-27 18:33:41	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf27fcf…
10-27 17:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x76afb5…
10-27 17:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x40aa79…
10-26 14:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xe5e415…
10-26 14:04:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x1db7cf…
10-25 15:08:18	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x94b96a…
10-25 11:54:26	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x17b5b8…
10-25 11:54:26	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x07e840…
10-25 11:53:56	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x5f6591…
10-24 07:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x27d9f6…
10-24 07:13:56	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb0d4d0…
10-24 07:13:18	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9246ae…
10-24 06:28:35	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x94945c…
10-24 06:09:11	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xd1e370…
10-24 06:08:26	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x7145be…
10-24 03:44:23	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc07497…
10-24 03:44:18	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf4bfa1…
10-24 03:43:56	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0x5da09b…
10-24 03:38:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x37482f…
10-24 03:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0x21d235…
10-24 03:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xef7059…
10-24 03:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf89685…
10-22 17:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x19051b…
10-22 17:23:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x4be6ee…
10-22 06:19:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x63370b…
10-22 06:18:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd88d57…
10-21 21:06:00	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc65e72…
10-21 21:03:35	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7ee379…
10-21 15:39:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x10f209…
10-21 15:39:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd144aa…
10-19 14:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$9	0xea3cd7…
10-19 14:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x8bf820…
10-19 14:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x88dde7…
10-19 14:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x64899e…
10-19 14:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x5f7456…
10-19 14:13:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xe4d98c…
10-19 02:48:48	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4d6ffa…
10-19 02:48:36	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xde85c8…
10-19 02:48:36	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb3bfb6…
10-18 22:34:03	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6d4dcb…
10-18 22:33:38	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xb8ea3a…
10-18 20:18:56	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xaba8da…
10-18 20:18:38	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xb29a72…
10-18 20:18:36	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xfe7d70…
10-18 20:18:36	Solana Up or Down - October 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xd114a5…
10-18 19:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xaebf18…
10-18 19:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x958db4…
10-18 19:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x826117…
10-18 19:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x51fed5…
10-17 21:54:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xffbaa6…
10-17 21:54:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x91ed35…
10-17 21:54:14	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:50 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x158199…
10-17 21:53:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xbc2896…
10-17 21:53:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 21:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x14d54b…
10-16 19:09:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:05 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5c8df1…
10-16 19:09:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:05 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2dfb2d…
10-16 19:08:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfa9628…
10-16 19:08:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xdc2038…
10-16 19:08:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1bbbb0…
10-16 17:48:59	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x71f123…
10-16 17:48:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:45 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb2f740…
10-16 17:48:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1287b1…
10-16 17:48:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe8d1e2…
10-16 17:48:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7620c3…
10-16 17:48:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1ec953…
10-16 17:13:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeb820d…
10-16 17:13:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe3bbaa…
10-16 17:13:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x8247fb…
10-16 17:13:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3bf21d…
10-16 17:13:34	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6fe83b…
10-16 17:13:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x23aaf9…
10-16 17:13:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x053bbd…
10-16 15:34:00	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xcda326…
10-16 15:33:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xec3325…
10-16 15:24:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:20 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x777348…
10-16 15:23:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xe31bf8…
10-16 15:23:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x98b676…
10-16 14:23:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9a2a97…
10-16 14:23:54	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x98dd3b…
10-16 14:23:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa88c81…