Dirty-Exaggeration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,910

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-20 15:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

97% 50% $-0

Tech

3% — —

Politics

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 763 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in madrid on april 17 2026 28c	7	$149	80	79	+0	open	—	04-17 11:04
will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the top ai model on april 17 2026 style control on	12	$147	78	78	+0	open	—	04-17 15:16
will kailera therapeuticss market cap be between 2pt0b and 2pt1b at market close on ipo day	9	$91	49	49	+0	open	—	04-17 23:30
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 12c	6	$83	45	45	+0	open	—	04-17 15:16
will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the best ai model on april 17 2026	7	$77	41	40	+0	open	—	04-17 13:17
highest temperature in los angeles on april 22 2026 64 65f	13	$74	39	39	+0	open	—	04-22 16:26
highest temperature in seattle on april 22 2026 58 59f	20	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	04-23 07:57
highest temperature in warsaw on april 18 2026 19c	6	$67	36	35	+0	open	—	04-18 14:41
highest temperature in san francisco on april 22 2026 60 61f	14	$65	36	35	+1	open	—	04-22 21:53
highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 11c	8	$65	35	34	+0	open	—	04-21 21:01
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 17	4	$65	34	34	+0	open	—	04-17 10:06
highest temperature in seattle on april 22 2026 57forbelow	11	$62	33	33	+0	open	—	04-23 07:57
highest temperature in toronto on april 17 2026 19c	4	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-17 23:32
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 19corhigher	11	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-22 20:52
will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on april 17	3	$56	30	30	+0	open	—	04-17 06:52
highest temperature in los angeles on april 22 2026 66 67f	21	$55	29	29	+0	open	—	04-23 07:57
will anthropic be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 417	10	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	04-24 10:47
highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 29c	8	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	04-24 07:59
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 17 2026 23c	5	$47	25	25	+0	open	—	04-17 15:15
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 25c	5	$44	24	23	+0	open	—	04-21 17:59
highest temperature in milan on april 17 2026 22c	2	$44	23	22	+0	open	—	04-17 10:06
highest temperature in san francisco on april 21 2026 62 63f	9	$44	27	23	+4	open	—	04-22 05:47
highest temperature in toronto on april 21 2026 14corhigher	5	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	04-22 05:47
highest temperature in milan on april 18 2026 26c	4	$42	22	21	+0	open	—	04-18 15:02
highest temperature in ankara on april 18 2026 14c	6	$42	22	22	+0	open	—	04-18 13:52
highest temperature in taipei on april 19 2026 31c	4	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-19 05:40
highest temperature in madrid on april 18 2026 29c	4	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-18 14:25
highest temperature in ankara on april 18 2026 15c	6	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-18 11:54
highest temperature in singapore on april 19 2026 31c	6	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-19 05:39
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 27corhigher	6	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	04-19 11:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 15:21:09	Will Intuit Q3 Online Ecosystem revenue be above $2.5B?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x55c5d5…
05-20 11:04:34	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x93dbc3…
05-20 06:35:48	Will Analog Devices' Q2 Industrial revenue be above $1.7B?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfdf726…
05-19 12:40:51	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x7fd03a…
05-19 12:38:45	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8aa748…
05-18 23:15:29	Gemini 3.2 released by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x46b465…
05-14 15:20:57	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.8B in Q2?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9d9c71…
05-14 15:00:25	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.8B in Q2?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0ac3cf…
05-14 11:49:11	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.8B in Q2?	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xf52cc4…
05-14 11:32:52	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.8B in Q2?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xcbe890…
05-14 05:55:27	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.7B in Q2?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe2e8b6…
05-14 01:21:29	Will Applied Materials' Semiconductor Systems revenue be above $5.7B in Q2?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x9383c2…
05-13 20:08:37	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5c4090…
05-12 23:14:37	Will Cisco's Networking revenue be above $9.0B in Q3?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x3f2b19…
05-09 03:45:53	Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$1	0xa31b9e…
05-08 22:12:55	Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x26bef5…
05-08 19:08:07	Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0xace589…
05-08 18:50:53	Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$1	0xe70ea2…
05-08 14:18:27	Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xfee897…
05-08 14:02:54	Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 8?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc5cb9f…
05-06 20:44:56	DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdabf28…
05-06 20:27:05	DoorDash total orders above 960M in Q1?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5596cd…
05-06 18:02:22	DoorDash total orders above 920M in Q1?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x697749…
05-06 18:00:37	DoorDash total orders above 920M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9e994e…
05-06 14:56:20	DoorDash total orders above 920M in Q1?	Yes	SELL	3	97¢	$2	0x8dc4e2…
05-06 14:32:08	DoorDash total orders above 920M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd2e1d0…
05-06 11:03:22	DoorDash total orders above 920M in Q1?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x32cfc2…
05-06 11:01:58	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe93642…
05-06 10:45:10	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x934354…
05-06 10:33:30	DoorDash total orders above 920M in Q1?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0249d3…
05-06 10:16:34	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe0db8a…
05-06 03:23:02	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xa9f1ac…
05-06 03:21:08	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x963507…
05-06 03:05:46	Uber # of trips above 3.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0x47209f…
05-06 02:41:50	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa52cd8…
05-01 06:40:54	X Money released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x585ef4…
05-01 06:37:08	X Money released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x34e300…
04-30 14:58:48	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf3a42c…
04-30 14:55:16	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0x13ca30…
04-30 12:54:18	Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xeb0211…
04-30 12:48:40	AWS service disrupted by April 30?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x9b6d97…
04-30 12:48:38	Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	No	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xf07151…
04-30 11:42:56	Critical Discord Incident by April 30?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x20ad44…
04-30 03:45:06	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xe9323e…
04-30 03:34:36	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x6bfafd…
04-30 03:28:48	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x951c72…
04-30 02:28:52	X Money released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc8824d…
04-30 02:28:50	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x88ec19…
04-29 03:51:36	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 1B in Q1?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xec2e91…
04-29 03:42:50	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 1B in Q1?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x0dbfce…
04-29 02:53:58	Google reports Gemini monthly active users above 1B in Q1?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$4	0xf166ad…
04-28 10:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 28?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xcc21d4…
04-28 10:24:02	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 28?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x1a6632…
04-28 10:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 28?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf81f3e…
04-28 10:23:12	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 28?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x597d1c…
04-28 10:23:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x2e64b9…
04-28 10:23:08	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x5119be…
04-28 10:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x992edb…
04-28 10:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 28?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x0b3ed2…
04-28 10:21:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x96958c…
04-28 10:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf5e47b…
04-28 10:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on April 28?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x3da5b1…
04-28 10:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 28?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xb35b62…
04-28 10:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x9690d3…
04-28 10:12:32	Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x2ff0e5…
04-28 10:12:30	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x5af3f1…
04-28 10:12:30	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x55c7c6…
04-28 10:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on April 28?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x5a4004…
04-28 10:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	Yes	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x52a5be…
04-28 10:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x735f84…
04-28 10:08:50	Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8e4d3d…
04-28 10:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x65fe42…
04-28 10:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 28?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x50d13d…
04-28 10:06:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 28?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x41c951…
04-28 10:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xff77e8…
04-28 10:04:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xe5a16d…
04-28 10:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x88a3ed…
04-28 10:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on April 28?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x12fddc…
04-28 10:01:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x720932…
04-28 10:01:52	Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5d8845…
04-28 10:01:52	Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x3e377b…
04-28 10:01:52	Will Netflix Game Controller be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x149ade…
04-28 08:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 28?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x0121c7…
04-28 08:18:30	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0xe79745…
04-28 08:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x9714bd…
04-28 08:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x53f03b…
04-28 08:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xaf1061…
04-28 08:15:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc19f82…
04-28 08:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x436913…
04-28 08:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x3ff9c1…
04-28 08:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x3dfff6…
04-28 08:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xb3dd87…
04-28 07:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0xe50e6a…
04-28 07:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x296eb4…
04-28 07:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6a713c…
04-28 07:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 28?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x40d23a…
04-28 07:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x052f8c…
04-28 07:38:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 28?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x22280c…
04-28 07:37:24	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 28?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x84ed93…
04-28 07:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xd463fb…