Fumbling-Webpage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.9%

Resolved

442

Trades

819

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-19 20:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

75% 78% +$3

Crypto

20% 84% +$1

Politics

3% 77% $0

Sports

1% 67% +$0

Tech

1% 75% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	4	$93	46	46	+0	Yes	+$0	07-26 01:27
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 460 479	1	$87	88	0	+88	No	+$0	01-18 07:16
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	3	$84	52	32	+20	No	$0	07-24 10:31
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-10 15:02
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	10-12 08:19
xrp above 1pt2 on july 28 2026	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-28 05:11
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	Yes	$0	07-25 02:20
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 13?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	10-13 06:48
will xauusd reach 4250 by july 20 2026	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-24 20:37
bitcoin above 58k on july 30 2026	2	$61	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 22:41
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 23	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 23:06
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 13 19 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-19 14:53
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 10?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-10 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 31?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-31 03:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 21?	3	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-20 22:18
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 19?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-19 12:04
ethereum above 1700 on july 21 2026	4	$58	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	07-21 02:01
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on July 29?	3	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-29 01:03
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 23?	2	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	$0	07-23 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	4	$57	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-21 07:01
highest temperature in chicago on april 19 2026 62forhigher	4	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	04-20 00:07
kash patel out by july 31 20260626155143217	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-30 16:53
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-22 00:11
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-17 07:26
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on July 24?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-24 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 25?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:53
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 26?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-25 13:53
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on July 30?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-29 08:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C or below on July 30?	2	$51	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-29 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on July 25?	2	$49	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-25 10:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 20:24:20	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xe04f2f…
10-18 14:07:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 18?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xe954fa…
10-16 08:50:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 16?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5b03fa…
10-13 06:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 13?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xb00dd2…
10-13 00:12:09	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 13?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x7e5821…
10-12 08:19:07	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xd993fd…
10-12 07:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on October 12?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0x57bf7d…
10-12 06:10:05	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x12342d…
10-12 02:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on October 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x14afd3…
10-12 00:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x28f6fe…
10-11 20:47:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf9e29a…
10-10 07:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe57274…
10-07 19:05:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 8?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x4fd9d0…
10-05 10:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C or higher on October 6?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x53cc5c…
10-02 00:45:35	ethereum above 3100 on october 2 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf7fd0b…
10-01 21:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on October 2?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7f3eee…
10-01 04:42:15	will patient zero hit 40m first week streams	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81366f…
09-28 04:05:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 28?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x55edd6…
09-27 21:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xed3381…
09-23 10:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 24?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x982c20…
09-23 02:20:29	Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xeace9e…
09-22 22:11:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x56ed06…
09-22 21:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x09c1ab…
09-22 11:57:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x2fbccf…
09-21 21:35:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 22?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x4a66a9…
09-19 01:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5ef492…
09-18 00:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 18?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x176f2b…
09-17 12:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on September 18?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x816984…
09-13 03:29:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0421d6…
09-11 15:46:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 11?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8993ce…
09-11 15:44:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x5e52f7…
09-11 00:55:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd90b38…
09-10 19:24:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x448340…
09-07 14:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd477e4…
09-06 20:57:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 7?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe79e92…
09-06 05:12:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x80e344…
09-05 23:20:40	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xffe910…
09-05 05:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x47bd77…
09-05 02:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7d22c7…
09-04 21:18:03	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 5?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfc438b…
09-04 19:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x010ec0…
09-04 08:28:12	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xccb4b9…
09-03 21:14:33	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf928be…
09-03 12:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 4?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x70126c…
09-03 04:40:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on September 3?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6fbd49…
09-02 18:08:42	Will a 6.0+ earthquake occur in Mexico by August 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb56caf…
09-02 10:59:09	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on September 2?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x8544e1…
09-02 05:51:10	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 2?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xdeb884…
09-01 21:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 2?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8a4fe0…
09-01 10:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xaa494b…
09-01 02:57:58	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd60e56…
08-31 06:12:39	Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdf6958…
08-31 00:39:16	Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x102050…
08-30 19:42:19	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 900m and 920m by August 31?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x722591…
08-30 10:39:03	bitcoin above 82k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe98627…
08-30 06:37:57	ethereum above 2600 on august 30 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4a40fd…
08-30 02:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x9d9262…
08-28 08:53:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on August 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe74f25…
08-28 07:46:37	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xd48d4f…
08-28 05:49:25	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x1c7354…
08-27 15:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc9281e…
08-27 05:36:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x43b00b…
08-27 00:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb4113f…
08-26 19:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xd6fb64…
08-26 19:18:10	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9f92c3…
08-26 03:58:37	ethereum above 2900 on august 27 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x145579…
08-25 12:33:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xef2bb3…
08-25 06:33:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x606bda…
08-24 21:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x80a249…
08-24 19:12:51	will bitcoin dip to 72k on august 24 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbd7c0c…
08-24 11:03:04	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 24?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xbe6ab3…
08-24 09:12:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1f3839…
08-24 01:17:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x80af71…
08-23 17:25:55	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xd85e42…
08-14 18:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 36°C on August 15?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3647c9…
08-14 07:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 15?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x58e357…
08-13 17:18:43	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd3361f…
08-13 16:37:00	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x11c840…
08-13 09:21:30	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xac39b9…
08-12 23:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x87dfa1…
08-12 21:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x37cec2…
08-12 07:39:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xdbd717…
08-12 05:20:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C or below on August 12?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x009bdd…
08-11 22:56:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 12?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb00367…
08-11 15:21:21	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x52ef3f…
08-11 13:13:36	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd26fe8…
08-10 23:03:21	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 11?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd945f…
08-10 19:21:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa47a2a…
08-10 13:47:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5ca652…
08-10 11:12:07	Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8beab7…
08-09 12:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdd47ab…
08-09 11:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on August 10?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x65e8a3…
08-09 05:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3125bb…
08-09 02:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c955a…
08-08 17:19:13	bitcoin above 62k on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x4dd3a0…
08-08 04:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf9a52c…
08-08 00:53:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x4f257f…
08-07 22:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x791c6b…
08-07 17:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 8?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe3f575…
08-07 10:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on August 7?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf7358a…