Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 14?
open
Total volume
$578
$1,734 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,853
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 08:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $281 | $281 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $4 | $113 | $109 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 9 | $1 | $89 | $88 |
| Below median | 3 | $0 | $25 | $25 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $11 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $259 | $259 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +443 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-13 21:18 |
| Glittering-Ammunition 0x6400…cbbb | Yes | +283 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 09:33 |
| Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | +260 | $259 | $259 | 1 | 05-13 08:59 |
| Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | +93 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 02:36 |
| Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-13 22:01 |
| Velvety-Mariachi 0x675f…9c60 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 00:03 |
| Few-Pedal 0x6b46…dbc7 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 12:17 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-13 05:32 |
| Boiling-Avenue 0xd197…be5c | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 03:44 |
| Formal-Capon 0xee96…e0c5 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 02:25 |
| Babyish-Witchhunt 0xb04d…55aa | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 02:57 |
| Warlike-Extinction 0xb202…7032 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 02:04 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 23:21 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 05:32 |
| Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 07:24 |
| Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 01:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 08:29:11 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x499dc5… |
| 05-14 07:24:07 | Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfd2765… |
| 05-14 07:24:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc34ee… |
| 05-14 03:44:59 | Boiling-Avenue 0xd197…be5c | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xcbd83b… |
| 05-14 02:57:19 | Babyish-Witchhunt 0xb04d…55aa | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xac9923… |
| 05-14 02:25:46 | Formal-Capon 0xee96…e0c5 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x4b2908… |
| 05-14 02:04:02 | Warlike-Extinction 0xb202…7032 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x103c85… |
| 05-13 22:27:55 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfd0957… |
| 05-13 22:27:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16dbf1… |
| 05-13 22:01:45 | Obvious-Artery 0xf329…7342 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xf6f355… |
| 05-13 21:18:00 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x72acfc… |
| 05-13 21:15:56 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 243 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xc72c04… |
| 05-13 13:48:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x058b1b… |
| 05-13 13:48:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb85530… |
| 05-13 10:18:06 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9e6e9d… |
| 05-13 09:33:55 | Glittering-Ammunition 0x6400…cbbb | Yes | BUY | 283 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x90fd7d… |
| 05-13 08:59:51 | Sleepy-Council 0x3773…f0dd | No | BUY | 260 | 100¢ | $259 | 0x10b33e… |
| 05-13 06:11:23 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb02416… |
| 05-13 05:32:56 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd3a0e1… |
| 05-13 05:32:56 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x75bd7a… |
| 05-13 04:32:37 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xad8cf5… |
| 05-13 04:20:59 | Somber-Planula 0xe013…6c26 | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x9645ad… |
| 05-13 03:18:13 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2287d4… |
| 05-13 02:36:03 | Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe92398… |
| 05-13 01:01:47 | Icy-Congo 0xfe5a…705d | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbbc403… |
| 05-13 00:03:34 | Velvety-Mariachi 0x675f…9c60 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0cd108… |
| 05-12 23:21:04 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x6f7f79… |
| 05-12 12:17:52 | Few-Pedal 0x6b46…dbc7 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x15f7a4… |