Formal-Capon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$299

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.1%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$2.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 08-25 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Sports

50% 0% $0

Other

48% 100% +$307

Crypto

2% 67% -$7

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	28	$1.1K	597	597	+0	No	$0	03-19 02:08
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$594	900	0	+900	Yes	+$306	06-15 14:23
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$21	303	303	+0	No	$0	04-03 02:51
bitcoin up or down march 8 10pm et	2	$18	40	0	+40	Up	+$2	03-09 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 30?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 06:21
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 22?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-21 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on May 23?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-22 06:55
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 69°F or below on May 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-26 02:59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 21?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 08:58
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-19 07:50
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 29?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-29 03:21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or higher on July 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	07-24 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on May 27?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-26 02:56
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-19 07:46
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 27?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-26 02:55
Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-19 07:52
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-26 02:51
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on July 14?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-14 04:02
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-29 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 41°C or higher on May 26?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-26 02:58
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on July 18?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-16 08:13
bitcoin up or down march 8 11pm et	1	$9	20	0	+20	Up	-$9	03-09 03:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 9?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	06-08 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 2?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	07-02 06:37
Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-19 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or below on May 23?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-19 07:49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on May 23?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-22 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-25 08:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09cf9a…
08-25 08:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 37°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58a667…
08-25 08:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6b601…
07-24 03:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd34ad9…
07-24 03:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C or higher on July 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa677d3…
07-24 03:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x26abb8…
07-16 08:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x31bcae…
07-16 08:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C or below on July 18?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2e99bb…
07-16 08:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ae1ae…
07-14 04:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on July 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x410063…
07-14 04:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde27b0…
07-14 03:59:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C or below on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ef0e2…
07-02 06:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4c9f24…
07-02 06:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x45477e…
07-02 06:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb45b22…
06-15 14:23:15	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	900	66¢	$594	0xea5658…
06-08 08:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed5c7d…
06-08 08:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on June 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3740cf…
06-08 08:24:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or below on June 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d3df1…
06-08 08:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x15d91d…
06-08 08:16:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or higher on June 9?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x53f1ed…
05-29 03:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc8004e…
05-29 03:25:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x006946…
05-29 03:23:47	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe023ba…
05-29 03:21:27	Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on May 29?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x804e69…
05-26 02:59:53	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 69°F or below on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c0706…
05-26 02:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 41°C or higher on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x405eb3…
05-26 02:56:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c7ee5…
05-26 02:55:36	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on May 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x5a8db4…
05-26 02:54:05	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 47°C on May 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3c414b…
05-26 02:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0b3a49…
05-22 06:59:27	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 59°F or below on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb7455f…
05-22 06:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on May 23?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5b87c2…
05-22 06:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc04ab1…
05-22 06:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa1c282…
05-22 06:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on May 23?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x96c299…
05-22 06:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or below on May 23?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7f6627…
05-21 06:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a5908…
05-21 06:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 96°F or higher on May 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5ebd2…
05-21 06:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5d6323…
05-21 06:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1ad2a6…
05-21 06:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on May 22?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x726422…
05-21 06:19:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x246d52…
05-20 08:58:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8cf00e…
05-20 08:57:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or below on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2da798…
05-20 08:56:05	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25847c…
05-19 07:52:40	Will "Worst Ex Ever: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x6db38f…
05-19 07:51:45	Will MrBeast's next video get 100 million or more views on week 1?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7176a0…
05-19 07:50:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc7a427…
05-19 07:49:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x24ecdf…
05-19 07:48:33	Will MrBeast's next video get 53 million or more views on day 3?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9fd60d…
05-19 07:46:55	Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc58b1f…
05-14 10:04:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x22ff33…
05-14 10:03:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3a89e1…
05-14 10:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xff7f82…
05-14 02:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf9d24c…
05-14 02:26:51	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 21°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5e2973…
05-14 02:25:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b2908…
05-14 02:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on May 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x55f736…
05-14 02:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9f4bcc…
05-14 02:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 13°C on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x085fae…
05-14 02:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9f198a…
05-14 02:18:18	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 45°F or below on May 14?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xba2e3a…
05-14 02:17:08	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on May 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69ca1f…
05-11 10:01:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x835df0…
05-11 10:00:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 50-51°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d02c2…
05-11 09:59:05	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbdfefd…
05-11 09:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc82315…
05-11 09:57:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7841bb…
05-11 09:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x80f459…
05-11 09:54:35	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 69°F or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3e6674…
05-11 09:53:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6de566…
05-11 09:52:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 7°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x5ae277…
05-11 09:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x85be03…
05-11 09:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 12?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x551e02…
05-11 09:48:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on May 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa721a5…
05-09 03:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d6a8b…
05-09 03:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x078ce0…
05-09 03:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on May 10?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x17fcc5…
05-08 06:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe8cf14…
05-08 06:42:03	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7771d2…
05-08 06:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 63°F or below on May 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb19cc4…
05-07 02:30:53	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8fe402…
05-07 02:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x65d145…
05-07 02:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or below on May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x4a3a68…
04-23 09:29:34	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 24 2026 19c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf571da…
04-23 09:25:44	highest temperature in tokyo on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x79d72c…
04-23 09:21:26	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 10corbelow	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b6e98…
04-03 02:51:25	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	97	3¢	$3	0xbeeb28…
04-03 02:50:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	156	3¢	$5	0x51600a…
04-03 02:48:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	47	3¢	$2	0xa0e0f2…
04-03 02:48:35	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x95df4a…
04-02 02:06:59	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	13	3¢	$0	0xf9b591…
04-02 02:06:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xfec03e…
04-02 02:06:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xf502da…
04-02 02:06:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xefbf5e…
04-02 02:06:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xeb3358…
04-02 02:06:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xd2cb3d…
04-02 02:06:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xa0ee31…
04-02 02:06:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x92ed3a…