Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$303
$1,950 in 24h
Trades
25
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$1,985
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 03:46
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
No active YES holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | — | $218 | $218 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $12 | $12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 14 | — | $166 | $166 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $36 | $36 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-14 01:09 |
| Calculating-Quill 0xa5e6…b340 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-14 02:20 |
| Lumpy-Victory 0x0eeb…c424 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 03:30 |
| Cylindrical-Mutation 0x4e8d…52a8 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 00:27 |
| Hasty-Junior 0x6be2…f498 | No | +19 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-14 00:06 |
| Sweltering-Delivery 0x375d…9a6c | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 02:48 |
| Rotating-Consignment 0xced2…0b4e | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 00:32 |
| Fluffy-String 0xd35c…78d5 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 01:23 |
| Shy-Carnation 0x0d3b…12ae | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 01:40 |
| Adorable-Awareness 0x1b93…ec50 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 01:31 |
| Inferior-Currant 0x28c4…adfb | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 00:24 |
| Weepy-Chair 0x33e3…34a7 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 01:25 |
| Loving-Guitar 0xb1bd…2a4d | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 20:53 |
| Mediocre-Hemp 0x4f1d…aa03 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 03:46 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 06:09 |
| Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 03:06 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 16:57 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 17:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 03:46:04 | Mediocre-Hemp 0x4f1d…aa03 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x5bb324… |
| 05-14 03:30:52 | Lumpy-Victory 0x0eeb…c424 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x40b450… |
| 05-14 03:08:26 | Memorable-Castanet 0xecc8…9335 | No | SELL | 31 | 100¢ | $31 | 0x9aae3c… |
| 05-14 03:07:00 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x564332… |
| 05-14 03:06:01 | Medical-Element-Range 0x25e9…adbc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa35c31… |
| 05-14 02:48:54 | Sweltering-Delivery 0x375d…9a6c | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x6d6163… |
| 05-14 02:20:15 | Calculating-Quill 0xa5e6…b340 | No | BUY | 25 | 100¢ | $25 | 0xab166c… |
| 05-14 01:40:26 | Shy-Carnation 0x0d3b…12ae | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xc9da14… |
| 05-14 01:31:52 | Adorable-Awareness 0x1b93…ec50 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x8d3128… |
| 05-14 01:25:43 | Weepy-Chair 0x33e3…34a7 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x7ef6fe… |
| 05-14 01:23:23 | Fluffy-String 0xd35c…78d5 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0x8a9b1d… |
| 05-14 01:09:31 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd2abde… |
| 05-14 00:55:05 | Fake-Blackbird 0xfb74…2970 | No | SELL | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xd229fe… |
| 05-14 00:32:04 | Rotating-Consignment 0xced2…0b4e | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x874c45… |
| 05-14 00:27:10 | Cylindrical-Mutation 0x4e8d…52a8 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xa8e602… |
| 05-14 00:24:14 | Inferior-Currant 0x28c4…adfb | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xea6455… |
| 05-14 00:20:24 | Free-Clamp 0x322b…f1a2 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x102199… |
| 05-14 00:06:26 | Hasty-Junior 0x6be2…f498 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xaa654a… |
| 05-13 20:53:42 | Loving-Guitar 0xb1bd…2a4d | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x4a1570… |
| 05-13 20:22:38 | Free-Clamp 0x322b…f1a2 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfadb7a… |
| 05-13 20:08:14 | Fake-Blackbird 0xfb74…2970 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xd6bf85… |
| 05-13 17:02:40 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xb4914f… |
| 05-13 16:57:38 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1a985d… |
| 05-13 14:58:36 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc24407… |
| 05-13 06:09:08 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x0a0b2f… |