Calculating-Quill — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

315

lifetime

Volume

$4.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 05-20 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

71% 100% +$0

Crypto

24% 80% $-0

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	4	$87	44	44	+0	open	—	05-19 13:42
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Jorge Nieto advance to the runoff?	7	$75	37	37	+0	open	—	04-13 08:37
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	04-29 08:23
Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-05 14:12
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 19?	5	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	05-19 20:55
will trevor noah joy in the trenches be the 2 us netflix show this week	3	$55	27	27	+0	open	—	04-20 13:05
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	05-17 23:14
highest temperature in taipei on april 1 2026 22c	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	04-01 13:03
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	2	$51	25	25	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 09:47
Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on April 25?	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	04-25 08:26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	05-15 20:11
highest temperature in miami on march 27 2026 90forhigher	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	03-27 06:12
highest temperature in hong kong on april 17 2026 27c	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-17 17:36
Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	05-15 19:47
highest temperature in london on april 17 2026 22corhigher	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-17 17:37
highest temperature in cape town on april 20 2026 12c	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-20 00:51
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	05-01 03:35
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	05-03 19:19
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	3	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 11:55
highest temperature in taipei on april 19 2026 31c	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-19 16:43
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 33c	6	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	04-18 18:21
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	5	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	05-20 00:17
highest temperature in miami on april 21 2026 70 71f	2	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	04-21 05:15
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 11 2026 19c	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	04-11 03:44
will nyc have less than 2 inches of precipitation in march	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	03-30 09:21
solana above 100 on april 21	4	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-21 05:38
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 320 339	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-07 02:57
highest temperature in wuhan on april 22 2026 19corhigher	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-22 17:20
highest temperature in miami on april 22 2026 86forhigher	7	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-13 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 00:17:41	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc44209…
05-19 23:52:55	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3543d6…
05-19 22:53:13	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x273c84…
05-19 22:44:19	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xa94d2b…
05-19 20:55:07	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x206e70…
05-19 20:38:08	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$11	0xe57161…
05-19 20:35:20	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4586da…
05-19 20:34:23	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6ab521…
05-19 17:01:50	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xae4d26…
05-19 14:33:09	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 20?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x224ec0…
05-19 13:42:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x00b5ee…
05-19 13:09:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xfd7f2a…
05-19 12:57:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x9839b3…
05-19 09:15:02	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb62cbf…
05-19 09:08:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xba5be6…
05-19 08:02:00	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x176ab8…
05-19 04:46:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbcd470…
05-19 01:57:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xaea9ff…
05-19 00:32:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x984af5…
05-18 18:18:49	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x77c383…
05-18 13:13:50	Will Firecracker die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8fb241…
05-18 04:33:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xdb2498…
05-17 23:14:37	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0d2cd9…
05-17 14:11:46	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xffd21a…
05-17 13:45:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x3f32d5…
05-17 08:32:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf91a9c…
05-16 02:35:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x59d788…
05-16 01:08:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4124e4…
05-15 20:11:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x8c9cd7…
05-15 19:47:35	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x60bb24…
05-15 19:44:00	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x456352…
05-15 19:40:30	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xd4bc0a…
05-15 18:09:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xf84d52…
05-15 14:49:39	Will Austria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x8c7793…
05-15 07:01:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdf6ff7…
05-15 00:41:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x99d2d7…
05-14 18:41:01	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x517b16…
05-13 23:35:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4548ee…
05-13 20:29:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x57466d…
05-11 15:01:20	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 11?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc8e7d0…
05-11 03:39:29	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 11?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x07d60f…
05-10 21:17:04	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x2eaf98…
05-10 16:57:38	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x45faaf…
05-10 11:04:54	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 May 4-10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x21d7c8…
05-10 08:23:27	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xce92c7…
05-10 02:06:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x504ab5…
05-09 17:27:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7bb810…
05-09 09:47:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xde1fa6…
05-08 15:58:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0831b9…
05-05 14:12:18	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe0e3d2…
05-05 14:11:08	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0x6c9f0a…
05-04 20:00:54	Uber # of trips above 5B in Q1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x2b34b6…
05-04 17:00:10	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfba3cc…
05-03 19:19:30	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0x26fb66…
05-03 11:35:32	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x6a1bbf…
05-01 23:59:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x8a6d26…
05-01 17:56:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e78cc…
05-01 11:55:34	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xb9bf56…
05-01 11:55:04	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x90317e…
05-01 06:05:08	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0c4afa…
05-01 04:08:00	Will Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x79f948…
05-01 03:35:44	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xe06610…
05-01 02:43:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x349417…
05-01 00:44:00	Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x527dc9…
04-30 22:59:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbb1bc5…
04-29 18:23:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x14fee2…
04-29 15:46:14	Will Trump name "Bolsonaro" in April?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9ad15d…
04-29 14:36:04	Will Iran strike Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8e7483…
04-29 11:28:36	Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0x8b1a8a…
04-29 08:23:42	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x353ac1…
04-28 22:30:06	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xee2a7c…
04-28 20:37:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xea8a1d…
04-28 19:14:38	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd979e2…
04-27 16:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 27°C or below on April 28?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5a82df…
04-27 15:57:00	Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x7fc752…
04-27 14:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x73f739…
04-27 12:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x1ecc9f…
04-27 12:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5346cf…
04-27 11:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on April 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe27561…
04-27 10:30:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xab7e2f…
04-27 05:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x601e51…
04-27 05:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on April 27?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x2e679e…
04-27 05:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on April 27?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xc1de94…
04-27 05:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on April 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4447dd…
04-27 05:25:44	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe74c83…
04-26 19:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 34°C on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54edd0…
04-26 17:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 3°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x023012…
04-26 16:09:06	Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc6e72e…
04-26 14:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on April 26?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa4e31a…
04-26 08:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 26?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xdb4e19…
04-26 08:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on April 26?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x204ff3…
04-26 08:16:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on April 26?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$16	0xc3cbcb…
04-26 08:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C or below on April 26?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xaa480e…
04-26 03:58:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd1c0ee…
04-26 03:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x373454…
04-25 23:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x71b841…
04-25 22:10:32	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 47°F or below on April 26?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0x35c895…
04-25 17:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on April 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x701a66…
04-25 10:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 27°C on April 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe617c7…
04-25 10:02:32	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on April 25?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x9457bf…