Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on May 11?
open
Total volume
$1,454
$5,949 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$1,846
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-11 07:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $1000
vs crowd: 0% YES on $1.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $109 | $109 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 21 | $7 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $1000 | $1000 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | — | $172 | $172 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 6 | — | $179 | $179 |
| Below median | 2 | $5 | $4 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $0 | $15 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $0 | $40 | $40 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heavy-Confidence 0x5b4a…089f | No | +1,001 | $1,000 | $1,000 | 1 | 05-11 04:48 |
| Acceptable-Peak 0x87b4…2656 | Yes | +391 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 22:32 |
| Willing-Addition 0xf46b…9c9c | Yes | +131 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:12 |
| Cloudy-Tote 0x7c56…9337 | No | +66 | $66 | $66 | 1 | 05-11 07:45 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-11 06:59 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +48 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 06:26 |
| Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-10 23:57 |
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-10 10:35 |
| Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-11 05:14 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 05-10 11:00 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 06:23 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 3 | 05-10 03:51 |
| Probable-Beast 0xfa21…dfc9 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-10 14:27 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-09 19:37 |
| Helpful-Root 0xf87f…25c6 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-10 12:07 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-10 05:02 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 03:07 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-09 18:20 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 03:40 |
| Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 11:10 |
| Mushy-Overcharge 0x536d…07fd | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 10:10 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 07:45:12 | Cloudy-Tote 0x7c56…9337 | No | BUY | 66 | 100¢ | $66 | 0x2374df… |
| 05-11 06:59:13 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x3759a3… |
| 05-11 05:27:36 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x55480c… |
| 05-11 05:23:08 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcc188a… |
| 05-11 05:23:08 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b6f23… |
| 05-11 05:14:16 | Dear-Gratitude 0x8697…190d | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0xb1d5ff… |
| 05-11 05:12:19 | Willing-Addition 0xf46b…9c9c | Yes | BUY | 131 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x9a1f1d… |
| 05-11 05:03:57 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa898e… |
| 05-11 05:02:57 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x9696f8… |
| 05-11 04:48:01 | Heavy-Confidence 0x5b4a…089f | No | BUY | 1,001 | 100¢ | $1,000 | 0x92077d… |
| 05-11 04:24:27 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe17eef… |
| 05-10 23:57:03 | Content-Privilege 0x6405…7d19 | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xf00894… |
| 05-10 22:43:05 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | SELL | 36 | 100¢ | $36 | 0xb4404b… |
| 05-10 22:32:47 | Acceptable-Peak 0x87b4…2656 | Yes | BUY | 391 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xac8502… |
| 05-10 14:27:29 | Probable-Beast 0xfa21…dfc9 | No | BUY | 26 | 100¢ | $26 | 0xc3e9ac… |
| 05-10 12:07:31 | Helpful-Root 0xf87f…25c6 | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0x535b40… |
| 05-10 11:10:23 | Lighthearted-Criteria 0x1054…e7aa | No | BUY | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x6252d5… |
| 05-10 11:00:22 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x9248c3… |
| 05-10 10:40:39 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x529f6b… |
| 05-10 10:35:03 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 35 | 99¢ | $35 | 0xb6a686… |
| 05-10 10:10:16 | Mushy-Overcharge 0x536d…07fd | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa54d1a… |
| 05-10 09:19:06 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x83760d… |
| 05-10 08:18:21 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x65f116… |
| 05-10 06:26:49 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x168dd0… |
| 05-10 06:23:24 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x143c9c… |
| 05-10 05:02:04 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5a98cd… |
| 05-10 05:02:04 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x2c1fec… |
| 05-10 05:02:04 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa81491… |
| 05-10 03:51:01 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xf13170… |
| 05-10 03:50:29 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x402de8… |
| 05-10 03:50:29 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x73b1ec… |
| 05-10 03:40:39 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x692368… |
| 05-10 03:07:21 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xdff4b9… |
| 05-10 03:07:21 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04ef7e… |
| 05-10 01:51:54 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x1192c7… |
| 05-10 01:51:48 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0f6f35… |
| 05-10 01:51:45 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8ebd7d… |
| 05-09 19:37:18 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xb6d455… |
| 05-09 18:20:22 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd6b50… |
| 05-09 18:20:22 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xd2fbb1… |
| 05-09 18:20:22 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf7ca6f… |