Dear-Gratitude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.04K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.22K

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

1,122

Trades

2,646

lifetime

Volume

$425.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$161

Open exposure

$2.00K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-26 13:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 115 days

Categories

Other

99% 92% -$1,002

Sports

0% 44% +$14

Politics

0% 71% -$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+2,169	$740	90¢	$1.9K	+$1,202	08-08 22:20
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	+350	$82	8¢	$30	-$52	10-24 18:39
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	+153	-$56	11¢	$16	+$72	10-26 13:35
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+100	$17	14¢	$14	-$4	10-24 13:43
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-44	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	08-06 12:34
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-44	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	08-06 12:34
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	-43	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	08-06 12:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will London have less than 5mm of precipitation in May?	10	$5.3K	5,524	0	+5,524	Yes	-$3,981	06-02 09:20
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on June 29?	4	$4.7K	4,698	0	+4,698	No	+$5	06-29 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or below on July 28?	3	$4.7K	4,686	0	+4,686	No	+$5	07-28 01:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?	3	$4.2K	2,080	2,080	+0	No	+$4	05-28 02:01
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in July?	8	$3.9K	1,938	1,938	+0	No	+$8	07-28 01:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	10	$3.8K	1,069	3,069	-2,000	No	+$291	06-28 09:50
Will Hong Kong have between 180-190mm of precipitation in May?	4	$3.6K	1,789	1,789	+0	No	+$5	05-26 22:06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 19?	5	$3.3K	1,658	1,658	+0	No	+$4	07-19 15:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 31?	9	$3.2K	3,203	0	+3,203	No	+$9	05-31 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 21?	4	$3.2K	1,992	1,198	+794	No	+$3	07-21 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?	5	$3.1K	3,160	0	+3,160	Yes	+$52	05-27 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 14?	2	$3.1K	3,100	0	+3,100	No	+$3	07-14 00:11
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 30?	10	$3.0K	1,529	1,529	+0	Yes	+$11	05-31 01:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 27?	4	$2.9K	1,462	1,462	+0	No	+$4	05-27 12:55
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 19?	10	$2.7K	1,341	1,341	+0	No	+$13	07-19 14:17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 21?	6	$2.6K	2,616	0	+2,616	No	+$10	05-21 01:58
Will Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?	5	$2.2K	1,106	1,106	+0	No	+$4	05-26 01:06
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in June?	7	$2.2K	1,146	1,146	+0	No	+$95	06-28 09:57
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 29?	4	$2.2K	1,949	229	+1,719	No	+$4	05-30 12:30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on May 14?	10	$2.1K	2,135	0	+2,135	No	+$14	05-14 10:28
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on May 13?	2	$2.1K	2,110	0	+2,110	No	+$4	05-14 01:26
Will London have between 5-10mm of precipitation in May?	12	$2.1K	2,144	0	+2,144	No	+$47	06-01 12:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	7	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	Yes	+$4	05-28 02:01
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 28?	5	$2.0K	1,013	1,013	-0	No	+$2	05-28 23:42
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	12	$2.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$290	10-01 01:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 1?	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$3	05-02 10:06
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C or higher on May 5?	5	$2.0K	999	999	+0	No	+$3	05-05 08:17
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C or higher on May 27?	4	$1.9K	1,860	100	+1,760	No	+$12	05-27 03:12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 30?	5	$1.9K	945	945	+0	No	+$4	07-30 12:07
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C or higher on May 15?	2	$1.9K	941	941	+0	No	+$0	05-14 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:35:24	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xed982b…
10-24 18:39:45	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x4845f6…
10-24 18:39:45	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	75	11¢	$8	0x2e7589…
10-24 17:40:38	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x26e217…
10-24 13:43:02	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x4a53bc…
10-23 04:26:32	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x588d27…
10-20 17:40:47	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x158da2…
10-20 14:53:44	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x48e4d3…
10-14 15:04:36	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x58aa37…
10-13 17:56:21	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x00aa3f…
10-12 23:34:53	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 14?	No	BUY	1,155	100¢	$1,154	0xfd4706…
10-12 20:11:45	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	52	34¢	$18	0xd988a3…
10-12 20:11:45	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	43	34¢	$15	0x79582f…
10-12 13:52:27	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x978092…
10-12 13:03:33	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x78e415…
10-12 07:34:37	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	27	39¢	$11	0xec74d9…
10-12 07:34:37	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	40	39¢	$16	0x3c88d6…
10-12 06:41:46	Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	Yes	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x7dff50…
10-04 03:55:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 4?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc1a912…
10-04 03:54:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x744715…
10-03 05:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x595148…
10-03 04:55:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 3?	No	SELL	149	100¢	$149	0x19ab92…
10-03 04:54:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 3?	No	SELL	28	71¢	$20	0x41ad17…
10-03 04:43:47	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C or below on October 4?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xee0559…
10-03 04:31:21	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 3?	No	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0xe99023…
10-03 04:30:20	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 3?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x8ffae5…
10-03 04:29:26	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 3?	No	BUY	49	99¢	$49	0x1b628a…
10-03 04:28:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 3?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x7cbd68…
10-03 04:27:35	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 3?	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0xdb1e6c…
10-03 04:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x473072…
10-03 03:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x47c6bf…
10-03 03:30:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x1012a9…
10-03 03:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x17065c…
10-03 03:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 3?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x74eee2…
10-01 23:27:36	Will Hong Kong have between 450-500mm of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xf2d573…
10-01 23:27:30	Will Hong Kong have between 400-450mm of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x89f009…
10-01 23:27:21	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x871bd0…
10-01 02:06:08	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x07579e…
10-01 02:05:50	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	250	99¢	$246	0x8b26da…
10-01 02:04:41	Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$81	0xfad1bf…
10-01 02:04:27	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	271	100¢	$270	0xf1ac89…
10-01 02:04:00	Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0x469be6…
10-01 02:02:42	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xf00d86…
10-01 02:02:02	Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x975b21…
10-01 02:00:08	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf48dbd…
10-01 01:59:45	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xff0b59…
10-01 01:58:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	1,100	100¢	$1,099	0x3120e1…
10-01 01:54:39	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb31dc5…
09-30 01:26:11	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	430	100¢	$428	0x630f53…
09-30 01:24:59	Will Hong Kong have between 375-400mm of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x0ffa91…
09-30 01:24:50	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0x4b52a5…
09-24 05:34:08	Will Hong Kong have 550mm or more of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x342639…
09-24 05:33:36	Will Hong Kong have 550mm or more of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x411e5b…
09-24 05:33:18	Will Hong Kong have 550mm or more of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x6aa915…
09-18 11:10:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on September 19?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$184	0x0055cb…
09-18 00:12:12	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on September 19?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xf3adc8…
09-18 00:10:21	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17?	Yes	BUY	489	100¢	$489	0xb54b54…
09-16 13:45:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xe78009…
09-14 06:00:51	Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?	No	BUY	75	25¢	$19	0xd35f59…
09-12 23:05:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 13?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x626144…
09-12 23:05:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	343	100¢	$343	0x111522…
09-12 23:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 14?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0x5a77f7…
09-12 23:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$79	0x89d60d…
09-03 11:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	1,087	100¢	$1,086	0x04603f…
09-01 01:55:42	Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3d8b76…
09-01 01:37:07	Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x43d6f4…
09-01 01:37:03	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x138ab6…
09-01 01:36:48	Will Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x357448…
09-01 01:25:04	Will Seoul have between 250-300mm of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa58a65…
09-01 01:25:00	Will Seoul have between 350-400mm of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6de797…
09-01 01:24:57	Will Seoul have between 400-500mm of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc7b487…
09-01 01:24:54	Will Seoul have 500mm or more of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x90b2e9…
09-01 01:23:58	Will Seoul have between 300-350mm of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x2c717b…
09-01 01:23:48	Will Seoul have less than 150mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	500	96¢	$480	0xc3cc44…
09-01 01:21:13	Will Seattle have more than 3 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	660	100¢	$659	0x6da9dd…
09-01 01:20:25	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0f768f…
09-01 01:20:21	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4f46f6…
09-01 01:20:12	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x973352…
08-29 02:12:58	Will Seattle have between 2.5 and 3 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	43	97¢	$42	0x66351f…
08-29 02:09:07	Will NYC have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x6da1cc…
08-29 02:09:00	Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0x8a7c00…
08-29 02:08:49	Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	236	100¢	$236	0x51f161…
08-29 02:08:43	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xd46540…
08-29 02:08:40	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$286	0xbbee71…
08-27 12:09:28	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x11e100…
08-27 12:09:22	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x230122…
08-27 12:09:03	Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xeaf2ff…
08-25 08:37:07	Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x7c7f45…
08-13 23:35:40	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xdc66bf…
08-13 23:35:34	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x842ae8…
08-13 22:18:40	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	SELL	595	78¢	$464	0x111fa2…
08-13 22:04:13	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	SELL	80	78¢	$62	0x96e8b7…
08-13 21:30:24	Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	155	78¢	$121	0xb84352…
08-13 21:12:22	Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	63	78¢	$49	0x063715…
08-13 16:02:58	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	SELL	445	88¢	$392	0x1b1ef5…
08-13 15:07:58	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	No	SELL	600	78¢	$468	0x048fc2…
08-13 14:37:25	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0xb98347…
08-13 14:37:21	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0xf1a733…
08-13 14:37:13	Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x35c59c…
08-13 09:24:03	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	No	SELL	185	91¢	$168	0x3648ad…