Cloudy-Tote — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,044

lifetime

Volume

$153.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-18 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 97% +$110

Politics

16% 100% +$8

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$3.1K	1,682	1,682	+0	open	—	03-21 09:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	12	$2.2K	1,181	1,129	+52	No	+$3	05-08 05:13
bitcoin above 84k on january 28	11	$2.0K	1,005	1,005	+0	open	—	01-28 07:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$2.0K	1,043	1,043	+0	open	—	03-27 00:41
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$1.9K	952	952	+0	open	—	02-03 08:30
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?	6	$1.5K	803	803	+0	open	—	02-01 12:15
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	6	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-15 01:28
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	3	$1.3K	807	507	+301	open	—	02-15 21:19
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$1.3K	665	665	+0	open	—	02-28 07:02
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$1.3K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-01 02:55
Espresso FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$1.3K	660	660	+0	No	+$19	02-12 07:34
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	2	$1.2K	608	608	+0	open	—	03-23 01:07
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	5	$1.2K	604	604	+0	open	—	02-24 21:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$1.2K	730	730	+0	open	—	04-21 07:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	3	$1.1K	561	561	+0	open	—	04-22 05:23
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	7	$1.0K	511	511	+0	open	—	03-15 22:08
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	open	—	02-02 13:47
Over $10M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	open	—	01-26 07:31
bitcoin above 96k on january 25	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	01-24 20:17
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$999	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	02-13 18:43
infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497	3	$957	482	482	+0	open	—	01-31 14:34
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$935	432	517	-85	No	+$8	04-14 16:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$933	762	962	-200	open	—	06-03 21:36
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$900	902	0	+902	open	—	05-03 08:40
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$875	472	472	+0	open	—	02-05 20:50
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$862	508	508	+0	open	—	02-07 18:23
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	20	$852	671	654	+17	open	—	04-22 19:56
Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$827	428	428	+0	open	—	02-04 20:56
Over $7M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$800	411	411	+0	open	—	01-26 06:18
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$799	807	0	+807	open	—	02-19 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-18 12:44:44	ethereum above 1500 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8e5102…
06-18 12:44:04	ethereum above 1600 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb2f2d4…
06-17 21:29:59	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 17	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0e0b7f…
06-17 21:29:13	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 17	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0981ca…
06-17 15:14:29	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x672e81…
06-17 06:44:50	btc updown 5m 1781678400	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39bd26…
06-17 06:12:58	ethereum above 1600 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x87c7f1…
06-16 19:20:10	will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 16	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x04f298…
06-16 19:19:38	will ethereum reach 1950 on june 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe94721…
06-16 19:18:01	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe3a76b…
06-16 19:17:37	will bitcoin reach 70k on june 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x10ee84…
06-16 15:59:41	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf5fe0e…
06-16 13:42:17	bitcoin above 70k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x27c30e…
06-16 11:10:22	ethereum above 1700 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcb5bb9…
06-04 18:43:57	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xad5a75…
06-04 18:41:57	bitcoin above 66k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x266648…
06-04 12:27:49	bitcoin above 60k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x996eed…
06-03 21:36:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xf06d29…
06-03 21:20:54	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 3	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xbc27cc…
06-03 15:59:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xb48758…
06-03 13:46:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa7686e…
06-03 13:14:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	59	91¢	$54	0x1a9fa8…
06-03 13:04:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xbfe3c0…
06-03 10:44:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0a2b8f…
06-03 10:03:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xc6ddc1…
06-03 09:56:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6bbbde…
06-02 21:58:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x0201c9…
06-02 20:49:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x56df29…
06-02 16:58:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x17403a…
06-02 15:46:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	No	BUY	109	10¢	$11	0x43b497…
06-02 15:46:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	No	BUY	91	10¢	$9	0x135e9d…
06-02 12:01:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x77a34d…
06-02 11:55:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xca1156…
06-02 11:53:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x3d9278…
06-01 20:56:06	will ethereum reach 2100 on june 1	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x545731…
06-01 20:55:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on June 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcdab4c…
06-01 20:55:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 1?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x84ed22…
06-01 20:51:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x562650…
06-01 20:40:18	will ethereum reach 2150 on june 1	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf21eed…
06-01 20:39:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x98b9d3…
06-01 20:39:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x57130a…
06-01 20:38:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x5fd4bb…
06-01 20:37:51	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x5c411f…
06-01 15:22:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x636275…
06-01 15:12:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x8864fb…
06-01 14:56:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	50¢	$193	0x61bf12…
06-01 13:45:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0xe2193a…
06-01 13:02:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x71d667…
06-01 12:30:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x25d166…
06-01 12:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0xb2673e…
06-01 12:17:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	83¢	$47	0xd6cf50…
06-01 12:05:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	258	0¢	$1	0x685bfe…
06-01 11:09:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x7cc87f…
06-01 07:30:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1b1456…
06-01 05:38:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xad83ce…
06-01 05:37:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x680255…
06-01 05:36:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x682970…
05-31 21:33:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x4eeec6…
05-31 13:40:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x092409…
05-31 13:35:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x619f3b…
05-31 13:34:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xff93d0…
05-31 10:20:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0xe57171…
05-31 09:51:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x206dff…
05-31 07:00:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x11281c…
05-30 21:15:40	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x66cb09…
05-30 20:41:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x89f10a…
05-30 20:06:03	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9709b7…
05-30 19:51:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x03ad96…
05-30 19:44:59	Will Ethereum reach $2,150 on May 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8a8abd…
05-30 19:30:49	will ethereum dip to 1900 on may 30	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf3580a…
05-30 16:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 30?	Up	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xa3e653…
05-30 14:50:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3933de…
05-30 12:50:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	92¢	$184	0x26b2c7…
05-30 06:42:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd017cc…
05-30 06:37:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x17945b…
05-29 19:39:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x700ef7…
05-29 19:33:53	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x8c1e60…
05-29 15:40:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x0078a6…
05-29 15:40:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0x58f437…
05-29 15:40:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	SELL	18	65¢	$12	0x23a0c6…
05-29 15:32:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x5ca85b…
05-29 15:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?	Up	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xc1c693…
05-29 05:51:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xac0ea6…
05-29 05:51:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x53b74f…
05-29 05:51:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xdd4411…
05-28 18:23:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x229257…
05-28 18:23:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	301	100¢	$300	0xe4ffc5…
05-28 18:22:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0xc3eb8f…
05-28 14:53:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	180	100¢	$180	0x3ee17f…
05-28 14:51:18	Ethereum Up or Down on May 28?	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb5bcc9…
05-28 10:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 28?	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbe0394…
05-28 10:34:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x70ca40…
05-28 06:23:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4359e8…
05-28 06:23:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x48895b…
05-28 03:06:26	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 27?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xf0dfe3…
05-27 21:24:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	109	45¢	$49	0x60af4d…
05-27 19:52:30	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on May 27?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x11bd85…
05-27 19:45:02	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x75ba16…
05-27 19:44:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x12d11b…
05-27 19:37:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4b6f06…