Cloudy-Tote — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$909

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

1,172

Trades

1,746

lifetime

Volume

$211.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$121

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 22:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 210 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 94% +$304

Other

15% 97% +$375

Politics

12% 91% +$230

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

62 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$3.1K	1,682	1,682	+0	No	+$32	03-21 09:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	12	$2.2K	1,181	1,129	+52	No	+$3	05-08 05:13
bitcoin above 84k on january 28	11	$2.0K	1,005	1,005	+0	Yes	+$4	01-28 07:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$2.0K	1,043	1,043	+0	No	+$19	03-27 00:41
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$1.9K	952	952	+0	No	+$14	02-03 08:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	20	$1.5K	1,242	1,242	+0	No	+$115	06-03 21:36
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?	6	$1.5K	803	803	+0	No	+$101	02-01 12:15
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	6	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$8	03-15 01:28
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	3	$1.3K	807	507	+301	No	+$5	02-15 21:19
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$1.3K	665	665	+0	No	-$1	02-28 07:02
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$1.3K	650	650	+0	No	-$5	03-01 02:55
Espresso FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$1.3K	660	660	+0	No	+$19	02-12 07:34
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	2	$1.2K	608	608	+0	No	+$7	03-23 01:07
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	5	$1.2K	604	604	+0	No	+$20	02-24 21:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$1.2K	730	730	+0	No	+$32	04-21 07:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	3	$1.1K	561	561	+0	No	+$3	04-22 05:23
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	7	$1.0K	511	511	+0	No	+$2	03-15 22:08
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	No	+$9	02-02 13:47
Over $10M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	No	+$4	01-26 07:31
bitcoin above 96k on january 25	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	01-24 20:17
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$999	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$2	02-13 18:43
infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497	3	$957	482	482	+0	No	+$6	01-31 14:34
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$935	432	517	-85	No	+$8	04-14 16:36
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$900	902	0	+902	No	+$2	05-03 08:40
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$875	472	472	+0	No	+$14	02-05 20:50
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$862	508	508	+0	No	+$64	02-07 18:23
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	20	$852	671	654	+17	Yes	-$7	04-22 19:56
Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$827	428	428	+0	No	+$27	02-04 20:56
Over $7M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$800	411	411	+0	No	+$19	01-26 06:18
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$799	807	0	+807	No	+$7	02-19 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 22:13:05	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x842389…
10-27 18:56:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1af267…
10-27 18:51:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xac1b3d…
10-27 18:19:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb02014…
10-27 13:26:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x3291ce…
10-27 13:23:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0d8fdf…
10-27 07:29:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeeb67f…
10-27 07:26:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8f2186…
10-27 07:24:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xefc4aa…
10-26 16:33:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa81d39…
10-26 09:38:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x8273db…
10-26 09:37:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbaf35c…
10-26 09:36:59	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 26?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x70d0a5…
10-26 09:36:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xfe0fa9…
10-26 09:36:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xecc9dc…
10-26 09:35:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc97083…
10-25 16:43:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x03375e…
10-25 16:42:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 19-25?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbadb53…
10-25 16:42:35	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 19-25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x190f75…
10-25 16:00:17	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xb7e39b…
10-25 11:30:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf61f4b…
10-25 11:26:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5f6c61…
10-25 11:18:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa911d7…
10-25 05:48:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dfa58…
10-25 05:47:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 25?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaacab9…
10-24 18:58:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9f0d0a…
10-24 18:53:57	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on October 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeac5e8…
10-24 18:53:39	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on October 24?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x377111…
10-24 15:43:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6ff22a…
10-24 15:12:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4e00e1…
10-24 15:11:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 24?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5f6d83…
10-23 07:07:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xb82232…
10-23 07:06:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 23?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x12c7ba…
10-23 07:06:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9eeb0c…
10-23 07:04:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 23?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x65131a…
10-23 07:04:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x500b50…
10-22 17:12:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb68894…
10-22 17:11:53	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd83a3f…
10-22 16:59:35	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on October 22?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0ca99a…
10-22 07:05:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x26a255…
10-22 07:05:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x40fb95…
10-22 07:05:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa83360…
10-22 07:04:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x29ece2…
10-21 19:05:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7c7c44…
10-21 19:05:23	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on October 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe57bd4…
10-21 18:59:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x26c0bf…
10-21 08:15:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc055cd…
10-21 08:14:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb62a1c…
10-21 08:14:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb787d3…
10-21 08:13:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8ce559…
10-20 20:13:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x80678d…
10-20 18:02:11	Will Ethereum reach $2,650 on October 20?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x5fe0c2…
10-20 18:01:05	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on October 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4beae6…
10-20 17:59:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0xe46175…
10-20 17:59:15	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf14dbc…
10-20 14:40:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9a44b2…
10-20 14:39:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xd9fb04…
10-19 18:41:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on October 19?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x51f442…
10-19 08:34:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfee5dc…
10-19 08:33:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x025808…
10-19 08:32:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x16a2fb…
10-18 18:30:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x87ac9e…
10-18 18:28:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 12-18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x50a654…
10-18 18:28:03	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3eb318…
10-18 18:21:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xba4b20…
10-18 18:20:41	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xff871f…
10-18 15:09:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9efb70…
10-18 15:08:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x89f3b5…
10-17 17:12:05	will ethereum dip to 2150 on october 17 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe0337c…
10-17 17:11:45	will ethereum reach 2600 on october 17 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc95748…
10-16 18:16:29	will bitcoin dip to 75k on october 16 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd3425f…
10-16 18:12:12	will ethereum dip to 2250 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x67b9cf…
10-16 18:11:30	will ethereum reach 2600 on october 16 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xae3aa7…
10-15 12:55:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x8daa42…
10-15 07:59:47	ethereum above 2100 on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x68f7a9…
10-15 07:59:31	ethereum above 2600 on october 15 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x04528a…
10-15 06:37:55	bitcoin above 86k on october 15 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x82f6de…
10-15 06:37:40	bitcoin above 76k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf6a3f9…
10-14 21:36:07	will ethereum dip to 2200 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb410d6…
10-14 21:35:42	will ethereum reach 2700 on october 14 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x51223e…
10-14 06:25:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xdb79aa…
10-14 06:24:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdc589f…
10-14 06:24:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x16ebd5…
10-14 06:23:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb25b7c…
10-14 06:22:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x976903…
10-13 20:07:49	will bitcoin dip to 79k on october 13 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x62f383…
10-13 20:07:24	will bitcoin reach 88k on october 13 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfae6dc…
10-13 14:07:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x93f797…
10-13 14:06:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 13?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdc3bec…
10-13 14:06:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7cb1e4…
10-13 14:05:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x85f162…
10-13 14:05:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc4f31e…
10-12 18:55:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x4a0b64…
10-12 18:54:08	Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on October 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0c857c…
10-12 18:53:39	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on October 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd3cfdb…
10-12 07:33:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x3e9a05…
10-12 07:31:31	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 12?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xbe98ea…
10-12 07:31:20	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf604c5…
10-12 07:29:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 12?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfadc8b…
10-12 07:29:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 12?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5cafaf…