Cloudy-Tote — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$118

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,083

lifetime

Volume

$157.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-28 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 97% +$110

Politics

16% 100% +$8

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$3.1K	1,682	1,682	+0	open	—	03-21 09:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	12	$2.2K	1,181	1,129	+52	No	+$3	05-08 05:13
bitcoin above 84k on january 28	11	$2.0K	1,005	1,005	+0	open	—	01-28 07:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$2.0K	1,043	1,043	+0	open	—	03-27 00:41
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$1.9K	952	952	+0	open	—	02-03 08:30
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?	6	$1.5K	803	803	+0	open	—	02-01 12:15
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	6	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-15 01:28
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	3	$1.3K	807	507	+301	open	—	02-15 21:19
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$1.3K	665	665	+0	open	—	02-28 07:02
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$1.3K	650	650	+0	open	—	03-01 02:55
Espresso FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$1.3K	660	660	+0	No	+$19	02-12 07:34
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	2	$1.2K	608	608	+0	open	—	03-23 01:07
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	5	$1.2K	604	604	+0	open	—	02-24 21:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$1.2K	730	730	+0	open	—	04-21 07:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	3	$1.1K	561	561	+0	open	—	04-22 05:23
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	7	$1.0K	511	511	+0	open	—	03-15 22:08
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	open	—	02-02 13:47
Over $10M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	open	—	01-26 07:31
bitcoin above 96k on january 25	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	01-24 20:17
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$999	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	02-13 18:43
infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497	3	$957	482	482	+0	open	—	01-31 14:34
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$935	432	517	-85	No	+$8	04-14 16:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	10	$933	762	962	-200	open	—	06-03 21:36
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$900	902	0	+902	open	—	05-03 08:40
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$875	472	472	+0	open	—	02-05 20:50
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$862	508	508	+0	open	—	02-07 18:23
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	20	$852	671	654	+17	open	—	04-22 19:56
Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$827	428	428	+0	open	—	02-04 20:56
Over $7M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$800	411	411	+0	open	—	01-26 06:18
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$799	807	0	+807	open	—	02-19 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 21:22:07	will ethereum dip to 1750 on july 28	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x278ecd…
07-28 21:21:38	will ethereum reach 2050 on july 28	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaf1ecd…
07-28 21:20:05	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 28	No	BUY	99	99¢	$98	0x662982…
07-28 21:19:41	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 28	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7eee04…
07-28 15:55:40	bitcoin up or down on july 28 2026	Down	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x6a7994…
07-28 15:23:07	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Up	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x0e0631…
07-28 14:05:35	ethereum above 2100 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x44db00…
07-28 10:30:31	ethereum above 2100 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xba153b…
07-28 07:55:09	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Up	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xbb8d06…
07-28 07:12:06	ethereum above 2100 on july 28 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x09cc4a…
07-28 07:00:36	ethereum up or down on july 28 2026	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9e0dfb…
07-28 06:55:15	ethereum above 1800 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x366d60…
07-28 06:55:06	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xeb3ed1…
07-28 06:54:43	bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xabaa37…
07-27 16:11:25	will bitcoin dip to 59k on july 27	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7417b0…
07-27 16:10:57	will bitcoin reach 73k on july 27	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbbd61c…
07-27 16:10:45	will bitcoin reach 71k on july 27	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x723036…
07-27 10:56:34	bitcoin above 62k on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x84dd44…
07-27 10:56:21	ethereum above 1800 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2cfb03…
07-26 17:21:22	will ethereum dip to 1700 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3c5218…
07-26 17:20:57	will ethereum dip to 1800 july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa0da05…
07-26 17:20:16	will bitcoin dip to 62k july 20 26 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3d58e1…
07-26 06:17:03	ethereum above 2000 on july 26 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd4ef25…
07-26 06:16:30	ethereum above 1700 on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x61cf88…
07-25 23:28:34	will bitcoin reach 66k on july 25	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x07c2a4…
07-25 22:04:52	will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 25	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x1843c3…
07-25 22:02:52	will ethereum reach 2000 on july 25	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x44751e…
07-25 22:02:19	will ethereum dip to 1800 on july 25	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x76d8f4…
07-25 10:38:52	bitcoin above 62k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf0a30e…
07-25 10:37:39	ethereum above 1700 on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	250	100¢	$250	0x4dfa89…
07-19 15:41:57	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	114	100¢	$114	0xef7090…
07-19 13:39:49	will ethereum reach 2000 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x013114…
07-18 09:52:01	btc updown 5m 1784368200	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd0e460…
07-17 19:57:21	will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 17	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1329e9…
07-17 16:17:40	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	No	SELL	105	98¢	$103	0x0a3c84…
07-17 11:21:54	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	SELL	128	5¢	$6	0xdc6d6a…
07-17 09:43:24	over 50m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325656	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x43e1d3…
07-17 09:43:01	over 45m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325655	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x2e71a2…
07-17 09:42:46	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	No	BUY	128	4¢	$5	0x7a06a2…
06-18 12:44:44	ethereum above 1500 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8e5102…
06-18 12:44:04	ethereum above 1600 on june 18 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xb2f2d4…
06-17 21:29:59	will bitcoin dip to 59k on june 17	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0e0b7f…
06-17 21:29:13	will bitcoin reach 69k on june 17	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0981ca…
06-17 15:14:29	bitcoin up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x672e81…
06-17 06:44:50	btc updown 5m 1781678400	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x39bd26…
06-17 06:12:58	ethereum above 1600 on june 17 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x87c7f1…
06-16 19:20:10	will ethereum dip to 1600 on june 16	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x04f298…
06-16 19:19:38	will ethereum reach 1950 on june 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe94721…
06-16 19:18:01	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe3a76b…
06-16 19:17:37	will bitcoin reach 70k on june 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x10ee84…
06-16 15:59:41	bitcoin above 66k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf5fe0e…
06-16 13:42:17	bitcoin above 70k on june 16 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x27c30e…
06-16 11:10:22	ethereum above 1700 on june 16 2026	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcb5bb9…
06-04 18:43:57	bitcoin above 62k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xad5a75…
06-04 18:41:57	bitcoin above 66k on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x266648…
06-04 12:27:49	bitcoin above 60k on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	4	91¢	$3	0x996eed…
06-03 21:36:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xf06d29…
06-03 21:20:54	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 3	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0xbc27cc…
06-03 15:59:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$60	0xb48758…
06-03 13:46:32	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 3?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xa7686e…
06-03 13:14:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	SELL	59	91¢	$54	0x1a9fa8…
06-03 13:04:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xbfe3c0…
06-03 10:44:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0a2b8f…
06-03 10:03:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	59	84¢	$50	0xc6ddc1…
06-03 09:56:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6bbbde…
06-02 21:58:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x0201c9…
06-02 20:49:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0x56df29…
06-02 16:58:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x17403a…
06-02 15:46:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	No	BUY	109	10¢	$11	0x43b497…
06-02 15:46:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	No	BUY	91	10¢	$9	0x135e9d…
06-02 12:01:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x77a34d…
06-02 11:55:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xca1156…
06-02 11:53:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x3d9278…
06-01 20:56:06	will ethereum reach 2100 on june 1	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x545731…
06-01 20:55:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on June 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcdab4c…
06-01 20:55:01	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 1?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x84ed22…
06-01 20:51:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$176	0x562650…
06-01 20:40:18	will ethereum reach 2150 on june 1	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xf21eed…
06-01 20:39:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on June 1?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x98b9d3…
06-01 20:39:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x57130a…
06-01 20:38:13	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x5fd4bb…
06-01 20:37:51	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x5c411f…
06-01 15:22:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x636275…
06-01 15:12:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x8864fb…
06-01 14:56:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	385	50¢	$193	0x61bf12…
06-01 13:45:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	67¢	$100	0xe2193a…
06-01 13:02:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0x71d667…
06-01 12:30:23	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x25d166…
06-01 12:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0xb2673e…
06-01 12:17:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	83¢	$47	0xd6cf50…
06-01 12:05:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	258	0¢	$1	0x685bfe…
06-01 11:09:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	251	100¢	$250	0x7cc87f…
06-01 07:30:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1b1456…
06-01 05:38:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xad83ce…
06-01 05:37:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x680255…
06-01 05:36:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x682970…
05-31 21:33:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x4eeec6…
05-31 13:40:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x092409…
05-31 13:35:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x619f3b…
05-31 13:34:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xff93d0…