Cloudy-Tote — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$40

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,846 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$3.30K

$218.8K lifetime

Avg / trade

$119

Open exposure

$252

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-12 19:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Crypto

74% 95% +$277

Other

15% 97% +$375

Politics

11% 91% +$230

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

78 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 12?	No	+104	$104	100¢	$104	+$0	11-12 19:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on November 12?	No	+101	$100	98¢	$99	-$1	11-12 19:45
Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on November 12?	No	+50	$50	99¢	$50	$0	11-12 19:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	6	$3.1K	1,682	1,682	+0	No	+$32	03-21 09:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	12	$2.2K	1,181	1,129	+52	No	+$3	05-08 05:13
bitcoin above 84k on january 28	11	$2.0K	1,005	1,005	+0	Yes	+$4	01-28 07:36
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$2.0K	1,043	1,043	+0	No	+$19	03-27 00:41
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?	4	$1.9K	952	952	+0	No	+$14	02-03 08:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	20	$1.5K	1,242	1,242	+0	No	+$115	06-03 21:36
Over $10M committed to the Fabric public sale?	6	$1.5K	803	803	+0	No	+$101	02-01 12:15
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	6	$1.4K	700	700	+0	No	+$8	03-15 01:28
us strikes iran by february 15 2026	3	$1.3K	807	507	+301	No	+$5	02-15 21:19
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$1.3K	665	665	+0	No	-$1	02-28 07:02
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	3	$1.3K	650	650	+0	No	-$5	03-01 02:55
Espresso FDV above $700M one day after launch?	3	$1.3K	660	660	+0	No	+$19	02-12 07:34
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 16 22	2	$1.2K	608	608	+0	No	+$7	03-23 01:07
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	5	$1.2K	604	604	+0	No	+$20	02-24 21:15
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$1.2K	730	730	+0	No	+$32	04-21 07:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	3	$1.1K	561	561	+0	No	+$3	04-22 05:23
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	7	$1.0K	511	511	+0	No	+$2	03-15 22:08
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$1.0K	515	515	+0	No	+$9	02-02 13:47
Over $10M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	No	+$4	01-26 07:31
bitcoin above 96k on january 25	1	$1000	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$1	01-24 20:17
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$999	1,001	0	+1,001	No	+$2	02-13 18:43
infinex fdv above 600m one day after launch 441 573 316 497	3	$957	482	482	+0	No	+$6	01-31 14:34
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$935	432	517	-85	No	+$8	04-14 16:36
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	2	$900	902	0	+902	No	+$2	05-03 08:40
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$875	472	472	+0	No	+$14	02-05 20:50
Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$862	508	508	+0	No	+$64	02-07 18:23
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	20	$852	671	654	+17	Yes	-$7	04-22 19:56
Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$827	428	428	+0	No	+$27	02-04 20:56
Over $7M committed to the Bitway public sale?	2	$800	411	411	+0	No	+$19	01-26 06:18
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$799	807	0	+807	No	+$7	02-19 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 19:46:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on November 12?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x54353e…
11-12 19:45:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x062ef3…
11-12 19:45:01	Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 on November 12?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x68d462…
11-11 18:28:40	Will Ethereum reach $2,300 on November 11?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0xec78e4…
11-11 18:28:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on November 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6d70e4…
11-11 18:26:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x806def…
11-11 18:26:09	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xde0ca5…
11-11 05:49:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe1ca26…
11-11 05:47:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 11?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf7fb55…
11-11 05:47:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on November 11?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xbb6a71…
11-10 21:25:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 on November 10?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x400b55…
11-10 21:25:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,850 on November 10?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x19241e…
11-10 20:57:19	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfc976d…
11-10 20:56:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on November 10?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xfcc46d…
11-09 21:21:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x5f40c6…
11-09 21:20:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x50a2b8…
11-09 21:19:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x58bc2e…
11-09 21:19:15	Will Ethereum reach $2,350 on November 9?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3637fa…
11-09 21:18:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,950 on November 9?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xb700c6…
11-09 05:23:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	113	100¢	$113	0x667dd4…
11-09 05:23:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x6c32fe…
11-09 05:19:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 9?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x524a05…
11-09 05:18:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 9?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x35640b…
11-08 20:33:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x181805…
11-08 20:33:12	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 November 2-8?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf20db6…
11-08 20:32:43	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 November 2-8?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x81b64d…
11-08 20:31:58	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xfd611c…
11-08 20:31:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1811ff…
11-08 17:04:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc39ad9…
11-08 08:32:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 8?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x1fca99…
11-08 08:20:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17d7f1…
11-08 08:19:34	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x63329d…
11-08 08:18:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 8?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdbca00…
11-07 21:42:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on November 7?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xed70ba…
11-07 21:40:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 7?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x245b17…
11-07 07:44:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x318e35…
11-07 07:43:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 7?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x4b2a03…
11-06 07:28:09	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x99dff4…
11-06 06:58:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf8ef8a…
11-06 06:57:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x77cb80…
11-06 06:56:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdfd1f0…
11-06 06:56:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x71a6e7…
11-05 19:42:57	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on November 5?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xabe1d5…
11-05 19:42:24	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on November 5?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x59f406…
11-04 22:15:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on November 4?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x40ce6e…
11-04 20:51:10	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe64800…
11-04 20:09:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4a8713…
11-04 20:08:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on November 4?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0e15a4…
11-04 20:03:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 on November 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcf158d…
11-03 20:36:01	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on November 3?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x45f031…
11-03 20:35:48	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on November 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe92af4…
11-03 20:35:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x97b0cc…
11-03 20:35:07	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xab3ca6…
11-03 09:09:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x014f13…
11-03 06:45:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc89c41…
11-03 06:45:25	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x0eb204…
11-03 06:45:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2dc12f…
11-03 06:44:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaf45c0…
11-03 06:43:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x961cd4…
11-02 20:43:18	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on November 2?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf6fecd…
11-02 20:40:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe3f94b…
11-02 14:59:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on November 2?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x62eadb…
11-02 09:30:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 2?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x248ac5…
11-02 09:29:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfe6211…
11-02 09:29:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x499d24…
11-02 09:29:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 2?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb16b3d…
11-01 20:24:10	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0xfe2453…
11-01 06:50:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xc1d271…
11-01 06:50:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 1?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x7bdc42…
11-01 06:47:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x28bb10…
11-01 06:46:16	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeee258…
11-01 06:45:33	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 October 26-November 1?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x3e5fbd…
10-31 20:08:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	87	99¢	$87	0x575d94…
10-31 20:08:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	49	100¢	$48	0xeae8c2…
10-31 20:07:37	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x12457c…
10-31 20:01:52	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on October 31?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9a3baa…
10-30 18:31:46	Will Ethereum dip to $2,050 on October 30?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x710f01…
10-30 18:30:42	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa0167a…
10-30 18:30:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x788988…
10-30 06:36:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	160	100¢	$160	0x32a741…
10-30 06:35:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8e5f68…
10-30 06:35:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x10fc4d…
10-30 06:35:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5fcff7…
10-29 06:05:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x83c0e3…
10-29 06:02:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x28b0ee…
10-29 06:02:19	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe24792…
10-29 06:01:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdc3ec7…
10-29 06:00:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8166f3…
10-28 19:17:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8a3624…
10-28 19:17:17	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1f1524…
10-28 19:16:13	Will Ethereum dip to $2,150 on October 28?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x0c311b…
10-28 19:15:50	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on October 28?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd0c38d…
10-28 19:15:05	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc4b345…
10-28 19:14:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5a1337…
10-28 14:40:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd8bccd…
10-28 13:30:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb9b959…
10-28 13:29:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x53a2f4…
10-28 10:59:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x345474…
10-28 08:04:49	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on October 28?	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x2bdaa2…
10-28 07:49:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaabd8b…