Probable-Beast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

Trades

268

lifetime

Volume

$3.67K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-16 20:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

66% 50% $-0

Crypto

27% 100% +$0

Sports

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 6c	1	$70	70	0	+70	open	—	04-03 02:32
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	1	$68	68	0	+68	open	—	04-02 06:47
xrp above 1pt2 on april 7	1	$67	67	0	+67	open	—	04-07 02:18
solana above 90 on april 1	1	$67	67	0	+67	open	—	04-01 10:51
solana above 70 on april 5	1	$54	55	0	+55	open	—	04-05 06:38
highest temperature in nyc on april 11 2026 78forhigher	1	$52	52	0	+52	open	—	04-11 03:59
zelenskyy of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 120 139	4	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-21 08:04
Will "Apex" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	4	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	04-27 17:49
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	05-16 20:20
highest temperature in chongqing on april 4 2026 23c	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	04-04 02:05
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 54-55°F on April 28?	2	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	04-27 14:25
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 21corhigher	6	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-18 23:22
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	02-02 21:37
xrp above 1pt5 on march 31	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	03-31 08:02
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	04-21 01:25
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be at least 90	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	04-23 20:47
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 26?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-26 15:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	2	$42	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 22:31
will trevor noah joy in the trenches be the 2 us netflix show this week	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-20 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 26?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	04-26 15:22
ethereum above 2600 on april 20	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-20 12:50
xrp above 1pt1 on april 6	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-06 02:27
highest temperature in houston on april 21 2026 60 61f	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-20 21:41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 26?	7	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	04-26 15:25
highest temperature in ankara on april 6 2026 11c	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-06 03:27
Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 11?	2	$38	19	19	+0	No	+$0	05-10 17:34
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	2	$38	19	19	+0	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:36
highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 15c	3	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-23 21:21
Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	3	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 10:25
highest temperature in austin on april 15 2026 74 75f	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	04-15 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 20:20:11	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x77b611…
05-16 17:38:31	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 16?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xafedfe…
05-14 04:53:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdd9407…
05-14 01:42:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x94518b…
05-12 09:02:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf81076…
05-10 22:31:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xfcc0e2…
05-10 17:37:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xb9df79…
05-10 17:34:56	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 11?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3c57aa…
05-10 12:48:40	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on May 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3ef25e…
05-10 10:29:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xe2dc27…
05-10 09:57:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4ef52e…
05-09 14:49:15	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 10?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9a430d…
05-08 16:27:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x50b53e…
05-08 16:24:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x4272d8…
05-08 00:06:49	Will Solana reach $100 on May 7?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66d868…
05-07 22:29:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xe4d283…
05-07 05:52:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x784a02…
05-05 14:11:50	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x89996b…
05-05 11:36:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4c0309…
05-05 07:56:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1a29ef…
05-04 21:23:18	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xee846f…
05-03 10:25:02	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8388f1…
05-03 07:06:02	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x754529…
05-03 02:13:50	Will Solana reach $100 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xaa4b02…
05-02 06:39:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$14	0xaab88e…
05-01 23:11:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x6e97f9…
05-01 17:41:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 1?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe77a50…
05-01 07:20:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd83dca…
04-30 15:33:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x5f3e6c…
04-30 15:18:58	Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by April 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2b5702…
04-30 12:58:12	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x47c76d…
04-30 12:56:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe8d94b…
04-30 12:55:22	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3ec263…
04-29 16:50:16	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x2c4f84…
04-29 11:36:40	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x75f9b0…
04-29 10:31:08	Will MrBeast hit 485 million subscribers by April 30?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb27b5c…
04-29 08:24:00	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe28c05…
04-29 03:21:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x057bf6…
04-29 01:55:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3033a7…
04-28 22:45:46	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2f9b32…
04-27 17:49:18	Will "Apex" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb3e0d4…
04-27 15:21:30	Will "Apex" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8ef3ee…
04-27 14:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x168491…
04-27 14:45:46	Will "Apex" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x650fea…
04-27 14:28:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2d5806…
04-27 14:27:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe66cc6…
04-27 14:26:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 27?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x398c98…
04-27 14:25:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 54-55°F on April 28?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x076f92…
04-27 13:02:04	Will "Apex" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc2e108…
04-27 11:35:56	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 54-55°F on April 28?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4d620d…
04-27 08:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on April 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x480843…
04-27 06:10:50	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5d5848…
04-27 04:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on April 27?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xaa747c…
04-27 04:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 27?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1d0148…
04-27 04:04:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2df471…
04-27 01:43:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 18°C on April 27?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x5a75b2…
04-26 19:03:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4bf6f3…
04-26 18:13:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb4fafd…
04-26 16:26:28	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaa9380…
04-26 15:25:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7e11dc…
04-26 15:24:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2d8c87…
04-26 15:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 26?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x6f806d…
04-26 15:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 26?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x593de6…
04-26 08:20:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 26?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xde05e5…
04-26 06:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 26?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6a1822…
04-25 23:18:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb1dfbf…
04-25 21:21:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xef49a6…
04-25 21:21:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5865d6…
04-25 21:21:54	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x44c9ed…
04-25 21:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 26?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xebe04c…
04-25 20:29:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on April 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x0e99a2…
04-25 12:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 26?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x5e21df…
04-24 16:48:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 3°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf26c0c…
04-24 13:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xabe489…
04-24 09:26:24	lowest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 5c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc687a2…
04-24 03:12:04	highest temperature in warsaw on april 24 2026 9corbelow	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa026f5…
04-23 21:22:40	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 16c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3e7249…
04-23 21:21:06	highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 15c	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf5114f…
04-23 20:59:26	highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 15c	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x3db779…
04-23 20:52:32	highest temperature in madrid on april 23 2026 30c	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfddc70…
04-23 20:51:02	highest temperature in cape town on april 23 2026 27corhigher	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xfd2744…
04-23 20:49:46	highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 39corhigher	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x1b58d0…
04-23 20:47:00	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be at least 90	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xf4cd71…
04-23 19:55:22	highest temperature in helsinki on april 24 2026 15c	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa44827…
04-23 11:53:46	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb42e8b…
04-23 06:33:32	highest temperature in madrid on april 23 2026 30c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x05b194…
04-23 02:55:28	highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 29c	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x08086a…
04-23 01:42:32	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 15 be at least 90	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xce9d24…
04-22 22:17:52	highest temperature in cape town on april 23 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x11df5c…
04-22 15:02:52	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on april 23	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x948de0…
04-22 14:51:16	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 23	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x528688…
04-22 06:12:08	highest temperature in austin on april 22 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x811bbc…
04-21 22:33:30	highest temperature in lagos on april 22 2026 39corhigher	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe3ee79…
04-21 20:27:58	highest temperature in moscow on april 22 2026 7c	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x9d57c5…
04-21 16:38:04	highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 15c	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x5b8644…
04-21 16:13:22	will boeings commercial airplane deliveries in q1 2026 be above 150	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x69e75a…
04-21 09:38:36	highest temperature in seattle on april 21 2026 66 67f	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa7aef9…
04-21 08:50:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xee19c8…
04-21 08:04:28	zelenskyy of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 120 139	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x24dbe8…
04-21 06:25:30	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 32c	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb44736…