Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 42°C or higher on May 13?
open
Total volume
$1,492
$1,719 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$10,663
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 03:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $92 | $92 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $1 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $1 | $38 | $37 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Median | 13 | — | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brown-Monotheism 0x6563…fc6b | No | +1,122 | $1,121 | $1,121 | 1 | 05-13 00:27 |
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +870 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 20:05 |
| Heartfelt-Entirety 0xf05b…c774 | No | +97 | $97 | $97 | 1 | 05-13 02:57 |
| Beloved-Demand 0xbf02…ee21 | Yes | +84 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-13 03:00 |
| Personal-Headline 0xee2d…5f9c | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-12 01:38 |
| Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | +35 | $35 | $35 | 1 | 05-13 03:19 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 21:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x0fa4…f4ea | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-12 00:38 |
| Probable-Beast 0xfa21…dfc9 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-12 03:40 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-11 10:52 |
| Disastrous-Base 0x2400…4afb | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-12 03:48 |
| Small-Snob 0x754a…1fd8 | No | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 02:27 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 22:01 |
| Indolent-Kohlrabi 0xff44…e322 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Weekly-Eyeliner 0x7a9c…aba3 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-12 02:13 |
| Mean-Question 0x1e0e…c012 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 03:32 |
| Curvy-Necktie 0xd65e…c09d | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 06:05 |
| Lumbering-Intensity 0xb676…332d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 04:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 03:32:08 | Mean-Question 0x1e0e…c012 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x49a3c2… |
| 05-13 03:19:14 | Charming-Metabolite 0x880d…adb6 | No | BUY | 35 | 100¢ | $35 | 0x4596c8… |
| 05-13 03:00:41 | Beloved-Demand 0xbf02…ee21 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfed657… |
| 05-13 03:00:40 | Beloved-Demand 0xbf02…ee21 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc88378… |
| 05-13 02:57:57 | Heartfelt-Entirety 0xf05b…c774 | No | BUY | 97 | 100¢ | $97 | 0x788510… |
| 05-13 02:12:29 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe3a4b0… |
| 05-13 02:12:29 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x00a0d2… |
| 05-13 00:27:20 | Brown-Monotheism 0x6563…fc6b | No | BUY | 1,122 | 100¢ | $1,121 | 0xfa76dc… |
| 05-12 23:26:14 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x79f8be… |
| 05-12 22:01:02 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x04bca8… |
| 05-12 21:57:53 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xe57632… |
| 05-12 21:31:47 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x212efc… |
| 05-12 21:31:45 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc4418b… |
| 05-12 20:05:55 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 870 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xda0988… |
| 05-12 09:22:23 | Bruised-Turkey 0xce9d…d53b | No | SELL | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x01bc02… |
| 05-12 06:05:51 | Curvy-Necktie 0xd65e…c09d | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xadc6c0… |
| 05-12 04:30:43 | Lumbering-Intensity 0xb676…332d | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa138f4… |
| 05-12 03:48:55 | Disastrous-Base 0x2400…4afb | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xf58a59… |
| 05-12 03:40:48 | Probable-Beast 0xfa21…dfc9 | No | BUY | 28 | 100¢ | $28 | 0x8204a1… |
| 05-12 02:27:59 | Small-Snob 0x754a…1fd8 | No | BUY | 16 | 100¢ | $16 | 0x1810b0… |
| 05-12 02:13:48 | Weekly-Eyeliner 0x7a9c…aba3 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x7e81a1… |
| 05-12 01:38:36 | Personal-Headline 0xee2d…5f9c | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xcb84b5… |
| 05-12 01:33:12 | Classic-Vault 0x6c27…4db9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x208121… |
| 05-12 00:38:55 | (anonymous) 0x0fa4…f4ea | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x452d1d… |
| 05-12 00:08:39 | Indolent-Kohlrabi 0xff44…e322 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2281a4… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf900b2… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 27 | 100¢ | $27 | 0xcdb4e4… |
| 05-11 10:52:26 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x287c8b… |