Bruised-Turkey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.0%

Resolved

439

Trades

823

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 10-18 09:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

74% 79% +$2

Crypto

20% 83% +$1

Politics

4% 54% $0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 20?	9	$93	46	46	+0	No	+$0	07-20 04:33
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C or below on July 29?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-28 23:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 20?	3	$69	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-19 18:16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on July 21?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-20 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on July 25?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-25 09:39
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 26?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-26 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on July 27?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-27 07:29
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on July 22?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-21 22:43
Will the lowest temperature in London be -1°C or below on May 15?	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	05-15 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-19 22:23
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-23 21:13
bitcoin above 70k on july 26 2026	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-25 09:40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on July 28?	4	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-27 23:20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 23?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-23 08:14
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 87°F or below on July 24?	3	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-23 22:16
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	2	$63	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-27 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 28?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-27 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?	2	$61	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 16:38
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 19?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-19 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on July 24?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-24 21:25
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on July 23?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-22 18:35
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-30 00:29
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 28?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-28 12:30
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 17?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-17 10:37
will elizabeth taylor taylor swift be the billboard hot 100 1 song for the week of april 25	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	04-19 17:45
Will Egypt advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	06-26 17:22
xrp above 1pt3 on july 25 2026	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-24 21:26
Will Geraldine Coggins win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-30 01:02
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 13?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	10-12 12:35
bitcoin above 70k on july 23 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 01:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 09:02:21	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x283739…
10-13 18:53:46	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x960ca9…
10-13 18:53:46	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5ca927…
10-13 09:32:38	Will "Animals" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x860b41…
10-12 12:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 13?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x3a4d20…
10-12 09:38:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x75e16b…
10-12 08:40:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on October 13?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x66988c…
10-11 22:30:15	Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x096c8e…
10-11 18:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf5e3e8…
10-10 05:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on October 10?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xe84d65…
10-07 18:56:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C or below on October 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbd7f65…
10-05 10:21:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 5?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x6d8f70…
10-02 03:06:48	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30.5 and 31 million views on day 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x12061f…
10-01 23:29:32	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 2?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x30ae98…
10-01 04:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on October 1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x187d54…
09-28 03:38:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2e92fd…
09-27 21:43:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xf8771e…
09-23 19:50:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc28fba…
09-23 03:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0cf97c…
09-23 02:32:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on September 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xed7a58…
09-22 17:53:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x61e6d8…
09-22 16:42:06	Will MrBeast's next video get at least 62.5 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4513ec…
09-21 21:57:40	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 22?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb2529c…
09-18 00:22:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x05e3a5…
09-17 15:40:57	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x596894…
09-11 16:50:42	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on September 11?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xb3dcfa…
09-11 03:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 11?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x25b1c8…
09-10 19:25:19	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x77a5cb…
09-07 17:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x99ecac…
09-06 14:19:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc9440b…
09-06 07:34:28	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$19	0xb446d2…
09-06 01:10:57	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x63772f…
09-05 06:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on September 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x1c7a51…
09-04 23:50:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on September 5?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8603f6…
09-04 23:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x16edab…
09-04 14:06:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xaafb0f…
09-04 13:12:48	bitcoin above 74k on september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7b5acd…
09-03 14:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x3993be…
09-03 11:48:27	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x571a7e…
09-03 02:49:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe43909…
09-02 09:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd3401…
09-02 08:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf793ef…
09-01 09:47:54	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa5a661…
09-01 02:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on September 1?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0649a0…
08-31 03:51:36	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x363c6e…
08-30 23:22:16	Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x19ef2b…
08-30 17:14:07	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $108 in August?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xe6afc6…
08-30 12:29:55	ethereum above 2300 on august 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd49111…
08-30 06:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x49b353…
08-29 19:59:30	will bitcoin reach 82k on august 29 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x979cf0…
08-29 10:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcc4aaf…
08-28 15:56:25	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xf5e2ea…
08-28 07:54:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x64c98c…
08-27 13:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x46a4a5…
08-27 07:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 28?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x845d7d…
08-26 22:34:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe90ccf…
08-26 21:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xcf5308…
08-26 16:42:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x98ed11…
08-26 09:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1a4086…
08-25 11:30:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x4c8b5b…
08-25 02:42:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xdd801b…
08-24 21:54:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4863af…
08-24 20:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x405407…
08-24 09:32:12	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xd7f95c…
08-23 23:59:58	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa1c889…
08-23 18:06:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9297e6…
08-23 16:21:15	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x1833e2…
08-14 09:31:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 14?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x536cb4…
08-13 22:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x342846…
08-13 17:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf174d0…
08-13 08:55:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 13?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x813bba…
08-13 07:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on August 14?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x098866…
08-12 23:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 13?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa1fe1c…
08-12 08:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x423011…
08-12 05:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc01461…
08-11 23:18:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 12?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x669d61…
08-11 20:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x600e49…
08-11 12:42:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$34	0x536b8a…
08-10 23:30:09	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07fd09…
08-10 19:00:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 11?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x57afe8…
08-10 14:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 11?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x544b79…
08-10 12:33:18	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 10?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x23fdd9…
08-09 14:03:28	Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe41264…
08-09 10:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 9?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1bac8a…
08-09 05:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xb25e7a…
08-09 03:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x14baa4…
08-08 18:05:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x334e72…
08-08 01:46:25	will bitcoin dip to 63k on august 7	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcb3f49…
08-08 00:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdd9a48…
08-07 21:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1bbb47…
08-07 16:43:57	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on August 8?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x53c0eb…
08-07 12:13:34	will xauusd dip to 3900 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbeb48e…
08-07 10:22:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf68018…
08-06 07:41:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xdab440…
08-06 01:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 6?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x302878…
08-06 00:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 88°F or higher on August 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x678b38…
08-05 20:45:20	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb1e714…
08-05 15:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 6?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x66af1a…
08-05 10:45:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6c0c60…
07-31 07:45:50	will the bitcoin volatility index dip to 30 by july 31	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5e6c48…