Small-Snob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

434

Trades

838

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 18:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Other

77% 81% +$3

Crypto

18% 85% +$1

Politics

3% 58% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be less than 0.7%?	7	$79	39	39	+0	No	+$0	05-28 23:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 25?	5	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-25 17:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 31?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-31 00:19
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 20:09
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on July 30?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-30 17:25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C or higher on July 18?	5	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-17 11:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on July 26?	2	$63	33	30	+3	No	$0	07-26 04:09
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 27?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-27 06:51
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 23?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-23 10:31
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on July 29?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-29 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 24?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-24 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on July 26?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-26 06:32
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 25?	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-24 18:56
will bitcoin dip to 60k on july 23	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-23 23:30
bitcoin above 62k on july 24 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on July 22?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-21 21:19
bitcoin above 70k on july 22 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-21 16:41
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C or below on July 25?	5	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-24 21:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 28?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-28 11:51
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-29 23:26
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-30 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 23?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-23 02:00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	2	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	10-12 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C or below on July 10?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-10 10:28
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	09-11 18:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	$0	10-12 05:43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or below on July 28?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-27 21:30
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-28 10:30
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on July 11?	5	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-10 17:59
ethereum above 1700 on july 23 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	Yes	+$0	07-23 01:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:42:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x585384…
10-18 17:52:54	Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xaeb6d2…
10-13 13:26:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x15a6d4…
10-13 08:54:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 14?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x52d49a…
10-12 09:32:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xa341c5…
10-12 05:43:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x319bd4…
10-12 05:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x8d20c0…
10-12 04:42:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x90fff2…
10-12 02:54:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xff99b8…
10-12 00:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb8e681…
10-10 07:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7b2d10…
10-07 21:54:10	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 8?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xde2e6b…
10-05 10:27:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on October 6?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x8ec7df…
10-02 00:33:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C or below on October 2?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1d486c…
10-01 20:56:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc5ba39…
10-01 04:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on October 1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x6ab6db…
09-28 03:09:11	Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 21-27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x0e80da…
09-27 18:33:53	Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x6ceb6d…
09-23 11:13:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on September 23?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb2048f…
09-23 07:14:20	Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdb5824…
09-23 04:40:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8ff09b…
09-23 02:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 85°F or below on September 24?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1ddad2…
09-22 12:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x4456ca…
09-21 23:55:54	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd050a6…
09-19 00:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on September 19?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x01532c…
09-18 01:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb0a056…
09-17 15:18:04	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 18?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x0cd135…
09-13 04:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x722d25…
09-11 18:06:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x345f9c…
09-11 01:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x859984…
09-10 20:10:46	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on September 11?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x810e2c…
09-07 14:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x51bcd1…
09-06 21:36:21	Will claude-opus-4-6-high be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf0bf02…
09-06 07:49:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x839421…
09-05 22:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xf54bcc…
09-05 07:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x6ead77…
09-05 04:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe725ff…
09-04 20:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7a588a…
09-04 13:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x1d8ee8…
09-04 10:54:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x04b1d5…
09-04 08:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6ed159…
09-03 15:54:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x869b09…
09-03 08:09:13	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 26 and 28 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$26	0xc937c7…
09-02 22:55:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on September 3?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbe30ef…
09-02 14:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf6a74e…
09-02 10:15:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x707b2b…
09-02 08:27:51	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1f8c00…
09-01 12:52:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9544e6…
09-01 05:25:43	bitcoin above 74k on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc04e0b…
08-31 05:41:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in August?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9a7a53…
08-30 22:27:49	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 in August?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1a4572…
08-30 17:04:54	Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd21e77…
08-30 09:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9db5b3…
08-30 01:20:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x902730…
08-29 17:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc2c0f8…
08-29 09:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31f4f9…
08-29 09:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd9adf3…
08-28 19:23:31	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x9c7264…
08-27 10:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C or higher on August 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0a5d86…
08-27 07:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x34a455…
08-27 03:40:12	bitcoin above 84k on august 27 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5646b4…
08-26 18:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x6b3ac0…
08-26 16:36:25	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x03819e…
08-25 12:56:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe6bd9b…
08-25 10:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5b448a…
08-25 04:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on August 25?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5fae64…
08-24 23:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x623e1e…
08-24 20:05:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcaf61f…
08-24 08:04:58	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb48953…
08-24 00:59:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 24?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x052fd3…
08-23 18:45:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf81998…
08-23 17:07:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x567d28…
08-14 06:18:52	Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1cd526…
08-13 18:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4e3d5f…
08-13 17:09:31	ethereum above 2000 on august 14 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4a433c…
08-13 08:00:16	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x89b347…
08-12 23:16:45	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9260c6…
08-12 20:59:27	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa1a659…
08-12 07:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on August 12?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x3abe05…
08-12 04:50:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3a21e8…
08-12 00:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x58a53c…
08-11 22:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3e49da…
08-11 13:47:58	bitcoin above 62k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xb5f705…
08-10 21:29:04	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x564503…
08-10 20:08:16	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xfca846…
08-10 15:39:03	Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on August 11?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfe239e…
08-10 11:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on August 10?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x191900…
08-09 13:04:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x99cc0e…
08-09 09:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xadb923…
08-09 04:50:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 9?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8d9806…
08-09 01:36:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x15085f…
08-08 18:13:12	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3033a2…
08-08 05:15:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x642600…
08-08 00:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 8?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x68e875…
08-07 22:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xcb974a…
08-07 20:06:30	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 7	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc6ff8c…
08-07 11:58:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 94°F or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x673834…
08-07 08:48:39	will wti dip to 60 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8e06e1…
08-06 16:39:24	will wti reach 115 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d5ad5…
08-06 03:07:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on August 6?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9898a3…