Disastrous-Base — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$2.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-22 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 100% +$0

Other

19% 50% $-0

Sports

11% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	02-02 21:11
bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	4	$101	50	50	+0	open	—	07-20 01:08
will the match not air 20260625200259146	4	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	06-27 21:49
ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	07-05 12:41
bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	2	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	07-11 10:40
ethereum above 1600 on july 10 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	07-09 23:59
bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	07-01 23:42
ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	06-26 02:28
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 16?	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-16 02:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-29 13:59
bitcoin above 58k on july 4 2026	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	07-04 02:57
ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	07-22 00:16
will bitcoin reach 67k on july 8	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	07-08 21:51
ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	2	$45	22	22	+0	open	—	07-17 00:47
xrp above 1pt2 on july 21 2026	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	07-21 05:05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	06-29 20:30
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-17 22:11
Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	4	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	06-29 03:38
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 31?	3	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	05-30 18:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	05-30 12:01
bitcoin above 72k on july 21 2026	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	07-20 10:17
Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 13:13
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	07-14 15:37
will ethereum dip to 1450 on july 1	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	07-01 20:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-17 22:09
Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	07-19 20:18
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	02-02 21:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 14:36
solana above 60 on june 27 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-27 14:03
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-25 23:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 09:11:28	bitcoin above 72k on july 23 2026	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5c5752…
07-22 05:41:36	bitcoin above 72k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x55da4e…
07-22 00:16:48	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x3e9283…
07-21 23:16:57	ethereum above 2100 on july 22 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xf922cf…
07-21 05:40:19	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5818a3…
07-21 05:05:19	xrp above 1pt2 on july 21 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x61a867…
07-21 03:24:48	nyc air quality index below 100 by july 21 20260717052446994	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x270d5c…
07-20 20:13:33	xrp above 1pt2 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x5d5198…
07-20 10:17:10	bitcoin above 72k on july 21 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x55833e…
07-20 05:54:52	bitcoin above 72k on july 21 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x3c7dd3…
07-20 05:02:03	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xba5d00…
07-20 02:03:10	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xebef82…
07-20 01:08:21	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x003d45…
07-20 00:20:12	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x87a458…
07-19 20:18:13	Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x41fadf…
07-19 06:55:21	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x63ef22…
07-19 03:35:40	bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3e050b…
07-18 22:53:03	Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x42a0e0…
07-17 18:11:36	will mu reach 1080 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xc5123b…
07-17 01:08:19	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 16	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xcc204d…
07-17 00:47:13	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x79f726…
07-17 00:38:37	will bitcoin dip to 61k on july 16	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2e9b1a…
07-16 20:14:25	ethereum above 2100 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf2370a…
07-14 15:37:28	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	No	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0xd8d179…
07-14 11:39:22	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 15 20260708222654005	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xe92e09…
07-13 04:11:52	solana above 70 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x82aa75…
07-12 23:18:52	solana above 70 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89400e…
07-12 16:20:20	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x656111…
07-12 13:42:22	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xc9915d…
07-12 12:20:49	ethereum above 1600 on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72da80…
07-12 02:02:23	will ethereum dip to 1600 july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xd63339…
07-11 10:40:16	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x581f0c…
07-11 10:12:56	bitcoin above 68k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x77e075…
07-10 21:22:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	SELL	8	100¢	$7	0x0fb389…
07-10 10:42:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 10	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x90b3e5…
07-09 23:59:20	ethereum above 1600 on july 10 2026	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xb701c9…
07-09 16:03:26	ethereum above 1600 on july 10 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x0305bf…
07-08 21:51:11	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 8	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc910ad…
07-08 19:23:38	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 8	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x47c2ee…
07-06 02:35:52	will bitcoin reach 66k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7b70f7…
07-05 12:41:38	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x019175…
07-05 05:56:19	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb3ea32…
07-04 02:57:04	bitcoin above 58k on july 4 2026	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x542e7b…
07-03 21:38:38	bitcoin above 58k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe117a4…
07-02 20:00:31	will nvda dip to 168 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x49a331…
07-02 13:50:52	will nvda dip to 168 by june 29 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x0d0172…
07-02 09:49:44	will nvda dip to 168 by june 29 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcf520d…
07-01 23:42:25	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe7069d…
07-01 21:04:34	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x128755…
07-01 20:17:10	will ethereum dip to 1450 on july 1	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9c85a8…
07-01 20:11:16	will ethereum dip to 1450 on july 1	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x60710e…
07-01 11:24:59	will perplexitys valuation hit high 21b by june 30	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1e5b4a…
07-01 08:19:10	will perplexitys valuation hit high 21b by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98ee66…
07-01 02:58:52	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfc1357…
06-30 22:20:02	will bitcoin reach 62k on june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x055b55…
06-30 17:45:52	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xce0bc6…
06-30 17:04:41	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x50df80…
06-30 16:55:40	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x734b27…
06-30 15:40:44	ethereum above 1400 on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x614789…
06-30 12:40:26	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xb23d59…
06-30 12:29:44	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8af1b0…
06-30 12:06:05	will chainlink dip to 6 in june	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x43ccea…
06-30 09:27:22	will chainlink dip to 6 in june	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x01499d…
06-30 05:43:52	ethereum above 1400 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a40a9…
06-30 04:05:05	will xauusd reach 5000 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x058aa3…
06-29 22:12:38	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x02f772…
06-29 21:18:08	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c8d01…
06-29 20:34:35	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xde6263…
06-29 20:30:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x45d85f…
06-29 15:54:25	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x97a03e…
06-29 15:08:13	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x18ebf5…
06-29 13:29:11	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x11eb7c…
06-29 12:31:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc960f1…
06-29 04:04:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x87d539…
06-29 03:38:58	Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x449a0a…
06-29 03:35:44	Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe4040a…
06-29 03:28:32	Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x36f75b…
06-28 22:17:52	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e1133…
06-28 20:46:38	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x834bb2…
06-28 18:41:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc74a7e…
06-28 14:03:43	Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xafa229…
06-27 21:49:01	will the match not air 20260625200259146	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd271c0…
06-27 20:28:11	will the match not air 20260625200259146	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x61a590…
06-27 14:03:26	solana above 60 on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x6098e9…
06-27 07:44:23	solana above 60 on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xea3590…
06-27 06:45:19	will the match not air 20260625200259146	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x31e09d…
06-26 22:38:34	will the match not air 20260625200259146	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfb45f7…
06-26 19:15:40	spy closes above 745 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaed3a7…
06-26 02:28:11	ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x039541…
06-26 00:50:13	ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb53b77…
06-25 23:33:34	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0452ea…
06-25 20:31:41	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9f5776…
06-08 18:17:37	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x2927ee…
06-03 07:10:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbc3ba3…
06-02 22:08:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa32a88…
06-02 12:37:08	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x979a87…
06-01 13:13:10	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0a9dd4…
06-01 09:52:34	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x90a541…
05-31 21:59:24	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23e5b3…
05-31 13:56:37	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfa970e…