Disastrous-Base — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved

Trades

110

lifetime

Volume

$1.45K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-01 23:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 100% +$0

Other

26% 50% $-0

Sports

15% — —

Politics

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$128	64	64	+0	open	—	02-02 21:11
will the match not air 20260625200259146	4	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	06-27 21:49
bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	open	—	07-01 23:42
ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	06-26 02:28
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 16?	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	05-16 02:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	05-29 13:59
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	06-29 20:30
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-17 22:11
Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	4	$43	21	21	+0	open	—	06-29 03:38
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 31?	3	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	05-30 18:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	05-30 12:01
Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	06-01 13:13
will ethereum dip to 1450 on july 1	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	07-01 20:17
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	05-17 22:09
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	02-02 21:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-15 14:36
solana above 60 on june 27 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-27 14:03
will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	06-25 23:33
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	05-15 14:38
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	2	$23	12	12	+0	open	—	07-01 02:58
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	1	$22	22	0	+22	open	—	06-30 17:45
will chainlink dip to 6 in june	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	06-30 12:06
us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	2	$21	10	10	+0	open	—	06-30 17:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	05-16 17:35
will perplexitys valuation hit high 21b by june 30	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	07-01 11:24
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$-0	04-12 09:57
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	06-01 09:52
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	06-30 16:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	2	$19	9	9	+0	open	—	06-29 04:04
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$18	9	9	+0	open	—	06-29 20:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 23:42:25	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe7069d…
07-01 21:04:34	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x128755…
07-01 20:17:10	will ethereum dip to 1450 on july 1	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x9c85a8…
07-01 20:11:16	will ethereum dip to 1450 on july 1	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x60710e…
07-01 11:24:59	will perplexitys valuation hit high 21b by june 30	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1e5b4a…
07-01 08:19:10	will perplexitys valuation hit high 21b by june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x98ee66…
07-01 02:58:52	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xfc1357…
06-30 22:20:02	will bitcoin reach 62k on june 30	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x055b55…
06-30 17:45:52	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xce0bc6…
06-30 17:04:41	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x50df80…
06-30 16:55:40	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x734b27…
06-30 15:40:44	ethereum above 1400 on june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x614789…
06-30 12:40:26	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$5	0xb23d59…
06-30 12:29:44	us iran final nuclear deal by june 30 2026 20260621201255150	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8af1b0…
06-30 12:06:05	will chainlink dip to 6 in june	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x43ccea…
06-30 09:27:22	will chainlink dip to 6 in june	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x01499d…
06-30 05:43:52	ethereum above 1400 on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a40a9…
06-30 04:05:05	will xauusd reach 5000 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x058aa3…
06-29 22:12:38	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x02f772…
06-29 21:18:08	Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c8d01…
06-29 20:34:35	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xde6263…
06-29 20:30:31	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x45d85f…
06-29 15:54:25	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x97a03e…
06-29 15:08:13	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x18ebf5…
06-29 13:29:11	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x11eb7c…
06-29 12:31:14	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xc960f1…
06-29 04:04:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x87d539…
06-29 03:38:58	Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x449a0a…
06-29 03:35:44	Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xe4040a…
06-29 03:28:32	Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x36f75b…
06-28 22:17:52	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6e1133…
06-28 20:46:38	Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x834bb2…
06-28 18:41:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc74a7e…
06-28 14:03:43	Will Ex-Prince Andrew Testify to Congress about Epstein?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xafa229…
06-27 21:49:01	will the match not air 20260625200259146	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd271c0…
06-27 20:28:11	will the match not air 20260625200259146	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x61a590…
06-27 14:03:26	solana above 60 on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x6098e9…
06-27 07:44:23	solana above 60 on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xea3590…
06-27 06:45:19	will the match not air 20260625200259146	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x31e09d…
06-26 22:38:34	will the match not air 20260625200259146	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfb45f7…
06-26 19:15:40	spy closes above 745 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xaed3a7…
06-26 02:28:11	ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x039541…
06-26 00:50:13	ethereum above 1900 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb53b77…
06-25 23:33:34	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0452ea…
06-25 20:31:41	will wti dip to 45 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9f5776…
06-08 18:17:37	bitcoin above 56k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x2927ee…
06-03 07:10:03	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbc3ba3…
06-02 22:08:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa32a88…
06-02 12:37:08	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x979a87…
06-01 13:13:10	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0a9dd4…
06-01 09:52:34	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x90a541…
05-31 21:59:24	Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23e5b3…
05-31 13:56:37	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfa970e…
05-31 05:49:39	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x932492…
05-31 05:34:44	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x7b154a…
05-30 18:32:52	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 31?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x10cd4c…
05-30 17:57:08	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 31?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xbf5e88…
05-30 15:06:39	Will Noah Kahan have a #1 hit in May?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf8114c…
05-30 12:32:34	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 31?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xfdeddd…
05-30 12:01:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x6f8e61…
05-29 19:17:44	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc189bc…
05-29 15:05:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0d4f74…
05-29 13:59:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb5f426…
05-29 08:29:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa36a22…
05-28 19:40:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $69,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8494ef…
05-26 12:49:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x26d437…
05-21 22:53:16	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x06a4f7…
05-21 20:59:56	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $680 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x502fa2…
05-20 19:27:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x635f60…
05-19 23:11:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x544732…
05-19 22:28:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe37374…
05-19 21:32:11	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x45ecb1…
05-19 08:19:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x18c8e8…
05-17 22:11:05	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x6b3706…
05-17 22:09:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xc1a208…
05-17 10:01:01	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x541961…
05-17 07:49:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2556f3…
05-17 02:10:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 17?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x59790c…
05-16 22:47:20	Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x67da10…
05-16 17:35:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x94950e…
05-16 02:14:50	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 16?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$25	0x21a08c…
05-15 19:15:53	Will Germany be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x547ff4…
05-15 16:56:07	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 16?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0x6403fc…
05-15 14:38:46	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x713aa0…
05-15 14:36:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x1a97c5…
05-15 06:33:16	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xde3ff8…
05-14 15:09:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xc0fcdc…
05-10 04:04:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xbbc779…
05-09 19:43:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x501bcd…
04-26 20:42:00	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xddc5d1…
04-17 23:32:46	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa961fa…
04-12 09:57:47	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa28a1f…
03-31 11:06:45	Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcf685d…
03-18 02:24:57	Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x4b73e3…
03-18 02:24:17	Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x7a230b…
03-18 02:23:05	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x2a0dc8…
03-17 06:52:03	Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb42de9…
03-12 09:44:33	Will Joel Embiid win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$4	0x9f7fe8…
03-02 14:23:17	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xc04d26…
02-28 04:53:33	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7926c7…