Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$264
$77 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
37
Liquidity
$1,064
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 14:29
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $108 | $107 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $13 | $121 | $108 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $1 | $105 | $104 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $1 | $25 | $24 |
| Median | 10 | $2 | $71 | $69 |
| Below median | 8 | $0 | $34 | $34 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | $7 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +64 | $58 | $58 | 3 | 05-14 23:19 |
| Necessary-Glucose 0x306d…7a38 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-15 02:38 |
| Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-15 01:25 |
| Half-League 0x2451…09fa | Yes | +35 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:46 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +27 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-15 00:40 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-15 12:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xf868…e2d0 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 00:22 |
| Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 08:51 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 05-15 01:43 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 05-15 09:31 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 07:51 |
| Uncomfortable-Oatmeal 0xf307…e380 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 03:00 |
| Likable-Reform 0xfa0f…835e | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-15 11:06 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 08:39 |
| Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 19:02 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-15 12:56 |
| Right-Deathwatch 0xc482…3145 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 07:24 |
| Squiggly-Daylight 0x5925…6cc4 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 12:01 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-15 13:37 |
| Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 04:20 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 14:58 |
| Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 03:25 |
| Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 01:37 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 20:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 14:29:40 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8e2d21… |
| 05-15 13:37:03 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x575ae6… |
| 05-15 13:29:47 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc09fe4… |
| 05-15 12:56:15 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0x1983ba… |
| 05-15 12:42:08 | Spirited-Priest 0xc518…2594 | No | BUY | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x1535ce… |
| 05-15 12:42:08 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2cc4cc… |
| 05-15 12:17:06 | Quintessential-Killing 0xd00a…c12d | Yes | SELL | 91 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xe20afe… |
| 05-15 12:01:44 | Squiggly-Daylight 0x5925…6cc4 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x57bf37… |
| 05-15 11:46:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xde7d75… |
| 05-15 11:45:59 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd54775… |
| 05-15 11:45:59 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x138bb9… |
| 05-15 11:45:59 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x08fb12… |
| 05-15 11:45:59 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8f7e58… |
| 05-15 11:45:59 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5018cc… |
| 05-15 11:45:59 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x8d044c… |
| 05-15 11:45:59 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x14e409… |
| 05-15 11:45:33 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9dbe59… |
| 05-15 11:45:33 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x130417… |
| 05-15 11:45:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe86ec6… |
| 05-15 11:45:33 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xda4520… |
| 05-15 11:45:33 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf2ed9d… |
| 05-15 11:45:33 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x644ecb… |
| 05-15 11:45:33 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xef4e07… |
| 05-15 11:06:49 | Likable-Reform 0xfa0f…835e | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x8ec47b… |
| 05-15 10:26:15 | Knowledgeable-Choice 0x2876…752f | Yes | SELL | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa20b41… |
| 05-15 09:31:07 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x4e822d… |
| 05-15 09:19:36 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xf7486e… |
| 05-15 09:19:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa61f71… |
| 05-15 08:51:01 | Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2ce971… |
| 05-15 07:51:34 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x18dc1a… |
| 05-15 07:39:25 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xad86b8… |
| 05-15 07:39:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x82292b… |
| 05-15 07:24:16 | Right-Deathwatch 0xc482…3145 | No | BUY | 8 | 92¢ | $7 | 0x84c5c5… |
| 05-15 04:20:47 | Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x5936a8… |
| 05-15 03:25:40 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x49193d… |
| 05-15 03:00:29 | Uncomfortable-Oatmeal 0xf307…e380 | No | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xdbe263… |
| 05-15 02:38:09 | Necessary-Glucose 0x306d…7a38 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x77f569… |
| 05-15 01:43:19 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x39c1ed… |
| 05-15 01:37:36 | Candid-Mixture 0x478e…a576 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xda941d… |
| 05-15 01:25:17 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x94a725… |
| 05-15 00:40:12 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 27 | 96¢ | $26 | 0xce9414… |
| 05-15 00:22:17 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x05fac1… |
| 05-15 00:22:17 | (anonymous) 0xf868…e2d0 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x66b03f… |
| 05-14 23:19:00 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 38 | 92¢ | $35 | 0xd93f3c… |
| 05-14 20:20:26 | Overjoyed-Deviation 0x8588…5dbc | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0xb2a73b… |
| 05-14 19:02:02 | Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x2f2bf1… |
| 05-14 14:58:33 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x3de985… |
| 05-14 14:56:31 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xe8a005… |
| 05-14 13:46:06 | Half-League 0x2451…09fa | Yes | BUY | 35 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x56e036… |
| 05-14 13:20:49 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x16a05a… |
| 05-14 13:19:30 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x712e16… |
| 05-14 13:19:29 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xa0d193… |
| 05-14 08:39:23 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0xce7e19… |
| 05-14 06:26:06 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xf90f18… |