Same-Shape — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

993

Trades

1,872

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$49

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-15 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

92% 67% +$165

Politics

8% 69% -$195

Crypto

0% 100% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-15).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	No	+40	$18	92¢	$37	+$19	05-13 11:38
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	No	+6	$6	100¢	$6	+$0	05-13 08:14
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?	No	+6	$5	98¢	$6	+$1	05-13 08:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alex Borg be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?	1	$186	197	+197	No	+$11	05-12 11:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?	17	$181	239	+239	No	+$9	05-12 07:58
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?	14	$152	223	+223	No	+$3	05-13 06:48
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	5	$104	253	+253	No	+$1	05-13 08:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13?	7	$104	126	+126	No	+$8	05-13 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	15	$104	187	+187	Yes	-$55	05-13 06:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on May 12?	6	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	05-12 12:47
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$98	99	+99	No	+$1	05-13 11:07
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on May 13?	1	$93	104	+104	No	+$11	05-13 05:31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 14?	3	$87	107	+107	No	+$20	05-14 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 13?	7	$87	102	+102	No	+$0	05-13 03:55
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	1	$85	99	+99	Yes	-$85	05-13 11:07
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $900B and $1T at market close on IPO day?	3	$83	84	+84	No	+$1	05-12 10:04
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 12?	4	$78	85	+85	No	+$7	05-12 04:43
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?	10	$76	152	+152	No	+$27	05-12 05:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on May 14?	8	$73	190	+190	Yes	-$10	05-14 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 13?	3	$72	93	+93	No	+$21	05-13 05:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 13?	16	$72	232	+232	No	-$6	05-13 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on May 13?	6	$70	86	+86	No	+$1	05-13 07:26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 12?	4	$69	83	+83	No	+$14	05-12 08:54
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on May 12?	3	$66	66	+66	No	+$0	05-12 03:55
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on May 14?	3	$66	86	+86	No	$0	05-14 06:31
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$66	103	+103	Yes	-$20	05-15 09:48
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on May 13?	5	$66	67	+67	No	+$2	05-13 06:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on May 14?	7	$65	66	+66	No	+$1	05-14 08:59
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?	7	$64	92	+92	Yes	-$29	05-13 07:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 12?	1	$63	63	+63	No	+$0	05-12 05:08
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 14?	5	$62	65	+65	No	+$0	05-14 06:38
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	1	$61	174	+174	No	+$113	05-14 07:20
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 12?	4	$60	87	+87	Yes	-$60	05-12 12:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 11:17:08	Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xbae5f0…
05-15 11:16:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C or below on May 16?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x54d0fa…
05-15 11:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x41c884…
05-15 11:10:57	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x069121…
05-15 11:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x924bce…
05-15 11:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9478c7…
05-15 11:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on May 16?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x628e25…
05-15 10:59:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x3f50d4…
05-15 10:59:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0xad35c7…
05-15 10:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x8b5967…
05-15 10:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 15?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0x491df9…
05-15 10:55:04	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc9f4fb…
05-15 10:54:58	Will White House post 180-199 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xff4513…
05-15 10:54:55	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe197db…
05-15 10:54:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6d8a7a…
05-15 10:54:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xf98fee…
05-15 10:54:11	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x5d821a…
05-15 10:51:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x639e2b…
05-15 10:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0xb9566a…
05-15 10:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x51df78…
05-15 10:42:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 15?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xa2dae8…
05-15 10:40:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 15?	No	BUY	19	71¢	$13	0xc33879…
05-15 10:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 15?	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x983236…
05-15 10:38:54	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 15?	No	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0xb81716…
05-15 10:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xec5e7c…
05-15 10:31:47	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc40e52…
05-15 10:31:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x98a5a9…
05-15 10:28:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 15?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x569369…
05-15 10:28:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 15?	No	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xb8aa31…
05-15 10:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 17?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xcd0ab8…
05-15 10:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x28854e…
05-15 10:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5bcd0…
05-15 10:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 15?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x74af1a…
05-15 10:19:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x808723…
05-15 10:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x0cf929…
05-15 10:11:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x09201b…
05-15 10:10:44	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 15?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x417699…
05-15 10:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x361d3c…
05-15 10:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x43544b…
05-15 10:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on May 15?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xefe36c…
05-15 10:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9de14b…
05-15 10:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbc6d6d…
05-15 09:58:29	Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 15?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdf86db…
05-15 09:56:00	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xe2fb3a…
05-15 09:55:11	Will Julia Letlow finish first in the first round of the Louisiana Republican Senate primary?	No	BUY	99	9¢	$9	0xef936a…
05-15 09:48:41	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x38a753…
05-15 09:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 16?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x26ced7…
05-15 09:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 16?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe6d7c4…
05-15 09:41:09	Will the Democratic Party win 12 upper-level local government races?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0x916628…
05-15 09:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x81830f…
05-15 09:39:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x018ae2…
05-15 09:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf9900f…
05-15 09:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 74-75°F on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdb875a…
05-15 09:34:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe57364…
05-15 09:33:17	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xcc0a25…
05-15 09:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 16?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4609c3…
05-15 09:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 16?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x4e822d…
05-15 09:31:04	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on May 16?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc6296e…
05-15 09:31:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 15?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x467734…
05-15 09:29:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	23	92¢	$21	0xcd3575…
05-15 09:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x40b80b…
05-15 09:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	34	80¢	$27	0x40ac9b…
05-15 09:24:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 15?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5231f5…
05-15 09:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on May 15?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x5b3fb7…
05-15 09:24:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on May 15?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x14044c…
05-15 09:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xcfba80…
05-15 09:21:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x981c17…
05-15 09:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 15?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xf01666…
05-15 09:21:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x37be70…
05-15 09:19:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on May 16?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xf7486e…
05-15 09:18:31	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C or below on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x20f610…
05-15 09:11:03	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x60b33d…
05-15 09:10:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 15?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xcca9ed…
05-15 09:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0debfc…
05-15 09:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf60765…
05-15 09:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 10°C on May 15?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x470311…
05-15 09:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 15?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x210f4e…
05-15 09:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 15?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0f73b0…
05-15 09:02:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x389b36…
05-15 09:01:40	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0x1a41d8…
05-15 09:00:49	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x3a1615…
05-15 08:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x7fb725…
05-15 08:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on May 16?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x56b75f…
05-15 08:52:46	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0x070b7b…
05-15 08:52:07	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on May 15?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8443c6…
05-15 08:49:14	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x2fe1d3…
05-15 08:44:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0xcdeee2…
05-15 08:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C or higher on May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x578431…
05-15 08:43:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x6d088c…
05-15 08:42:18	Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x37b031…
05-15 08:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x783c52…
05-15 08:38:11	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xfbd815…
05-15 08:38:11	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	No	BUY	9	91¢	$8	0xe10afa…
05-15 08:33:29	Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0xc8fde8…
05-15 08:33:29	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x06183d…
05-15 08:32:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xdf119b…
05-15 08:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 15?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x473764…
05-15 08:29:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 15?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1b8508…
05-15 08:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x6cc8b2…
05-15 08:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 16?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x06940d…