Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$241
$816 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$2,383
Latest YES mid
5¢
Latest NO mid
95¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 15:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $2 | $34 | $32 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $5 | $196 | $192 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $2 | $62 | $61 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| Median | 6 | — | $37 | $37 |
| Below median | 12 | $1 | $129 | $128 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +68 | $61 | $61 | 3 | 05-14 01:09 |
| Joyous-Nutmeg 0x1135…d15e | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 05-14 15:19 |
| Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | +41 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 13:27 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-14 12:00 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 06:02 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 20:13 |
| Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 06:06 |
| Utter-Lamb 0x94b1…27cb | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-14 06:02 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +13 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:36 |
| Gracious-Locality 0x7b87…64a8 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 21:29 |
| Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 22:40 |
| Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 06:05 |
| Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 13:39 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:34 |
| Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 08:44 |
| Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 00:16 |
| Frequent-Rod 0x0059…808a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 00:23 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 15:48 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 06:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 15:48:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x0671e4… |
| 05-14 15:19:23 | Joyous-Nutmeg 0x1135…d15e | No | BUY | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0xd2134f… |
| 05-14 13:39:24 | Minty-Object 0x2bf6…24f9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x338def… |
| 05-14 13:34:25 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfc9a9e… |
| 05-14 13:27:32 | Glass-Typewriter 0xa49b…7054 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x61d953… |
| 05-14 12:00:45 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x2b275a… |
| 05-14 10:18:47 | Arid-Socialism 0xe481…32a3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa6cff8… |
| 05-14 06:06:14 | Tired-Mastoid 0xc24f…81d3 | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0xcbe6b4… |
| 05-14 06:05:46 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | BUY | 11 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x3a9e58… |
| 05-14 06:02:11 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x55d887… |
| 05-14 06:02:11 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xb1e2d6… |
| 05-14 06:02:11 | Utter-Lamb 0x94b1…27cb | No | BUY | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x3d390f… |
| 05-14 06:02:11 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 16 | 93¢ | $15 | 0xa6cc62… |
| 05-14 06:02:07 | (anonymous) 0xe073…25f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xce13c9… |
| 05-14 01:09:02 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0xb26d26… |
| 05-14 00:23:28 | Frequent-Rod 0x0059…808a | No | BUY | 2 | 89¢ | $2 | 0x7c7e46… |
| 05-14 00:16:12 | Late-Shed 0x098a…8fc5 | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x91f198… |
| 05-13 23:24:12 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 34 | 89¢ | $30 | 0x1a27af… |
| 05-13 23:23:51 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 25 | 89¢ | $22 | 0x4d812c… |
| 05-13 22:40:57 | Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | BUY | 11 | 89¢ | $10 | 0x116177… |
| 05-13 21:36:54 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xf3b6eb… |
| 05-13 21:29:29 | Gracious-Locality 0x7b87…64a8 | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x3521ef… |
| 05-13 21:29:00 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x5ac776… |
| 05-13 20:13:20 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x19af07… |
| 05-13 17:37:46 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x51e753… |
| 05-13 17:37:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x0431eb… |
| 05-13 11:08:09 | Sandy-Driver 0x2dc3…19e0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc185bb… |
| 05-13 08:44:46 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xa2ab74… |
| 05-13 05:08:37 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xc6d6ac… |