Late-Shed — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$143

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.3%

Resolved

2,078

Trades

13,655

lifetime

Volume

$36.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-13 01:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

93% 97% +$309

Crypto

7% 71% -$167

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 308 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 28?	17	$336	182	180	+1	No	+$22	04-28 13:52
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	2	$256	159	159	+0	Yes	+$56	07-07 18:02
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	1	$200	253	0	+253	Yes	+$53	07-10 19:31
highest temperature in london on march 12 2026 12c	6	$178	200	0	+200	Yes	+$22	03-12 17:10
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	2	$154	460	460	+0	No	-$46	07-11 22:50
Will France win on 2026-06-30?	1	$100	137	0	+137	Yes	+$37	06-30 21:43
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	1	$100	172	0	+172	Yes	+$72	06-20 17:00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	1	$100	417	0	+417	Yes	+$317	06-29 17:45
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	1	$100	147	0	+147	Yes	+$47	06-22 13:55
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?	1	$100	109	0	+109	No	-$100	06-15 06:17
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	1	$100	143	0	+143	No	-$100	06-21 19:09
highest temperature in paris on march 15 2026 10c	3	$96	100	0	+100	No	+$4	03-14 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on May 17?	13	$76	38	38	+0	No	+$0	05-17 16:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 11:15 UTC	19	$70	152	152	+0	Down	-$3	01-02 11:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 15:00 UTC	6	$49	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	01-17 15:06
highest temperature in paris on march 13 2026 11c	1	$47	95	0	+95	No	-$47	03-12 12:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 00:00 UTC	5	$45	85	0	+85	Up	+$2	01-03 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C or higher on May 28?	11	$44	47	0	+47	No	+$3	05-27 17:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 14:30 UTC	3	$41	85	0	+85	Down	+$4	01-17 14:40
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 17?	10	$40	45	0	+45	No	+$5	05-15 12:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?	10	$40	45	0	+45	Yes	-$40	05-27 22:56
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?	10	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	05-25 20:56
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 16?	10	$40	45	0	+45	No	+$5	05-15 13:06
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 28?	10	$40	44	0	+44	No	+$4	05-28 07:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 18?	10	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	05-16 11:41
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on May 17?	10	$40	43	0	+43	No	+$3	05-15 13:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on May 29?	10	$40	44	0	+44	No	+$4	05-28 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on May 17?	10	$40	44	0	+44	Yes	-$40	05-15 19:20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 28?	10	$40	44	0	+44	No	+$4	05-27 00:56
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 31?	10	$40	45	0	+45	Yes	-$40	05-30 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 01:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0b90a0…
10-13 01:06:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf18ef4…
10-12 23:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb6f69b…
10-12 23:46:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe582f7…
10-12 23:46:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x1c4d6d…
10-12 23:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9ef4e3…
10-12 23:46:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb9ae45…
10-12 23:37:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x35cb5a…
10-12 23:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x700f2c…
10-12 23:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd25656…
10-12 23:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x7d4ce8…
10-12 23:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x10ffff…
10-12 23:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc6db48…
10-12 23:36:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbd7408…
10-12 23:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc3d817…
10-12 23:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb16951…
10-12 23:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xeccfad…
10-12 23:36:18	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe61394…
10-12 23:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4b20c7…
10-12 23:36:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2eab2c…
10-12 23:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc619f7…
10-12 23:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xea3989…
10-12 23:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc86080…
10-12 23:32:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x95320c…
10-12 23:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x596088…
10-12 23:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf36221…
10-12 23:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa88351…
10-12 23:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd2531d…
10-12 23:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8eb838…
10-12 23:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd4bb6b…
10-12 23:32:21	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4dbeb8…
10-12 23:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x97c642…
10-12 23:32:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdc1251…
10-12 23:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb7a568…
10-12 23:06:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x875124…
10-12 23:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x69cba6…
10-12 23:06:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5fd45a…
10-12 23:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6fb4bf…
10-12 23:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf25046…
10-12 23:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc155a4…
10-12 23:06:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeb70be…
10-12 23:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6b97f2…
10-12 23:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x50b18b…
10-12 23:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x0821c1…
10-12 23:06:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8eb189…
10-12 22:56:56	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe92f79…
10-12 22:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6e9c61…
10-12 22:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x171d5a…
10-12 22:56:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x94354f…
10-12 22:56:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc3bacb…
10-12 22:56:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x67e6d5…
10-12 22:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x97273c…
10-12 22:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7ba6c8…
10-12 22:56:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x841288…
10-12 22:56:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x169226…
10-12 22:56:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x62daeb…
10-12 22:47:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x84a1ba…
10-12 22:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x83f53f…
10-12 22:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x555ad7…
10-12 22:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x16598d…
10-12 22:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4c9766…
10-12 22:46:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x04e7e0…
10-12 22:46:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4fd5a2…
10-12 22:46:27	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6eabe1…
10-12 22:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf1a62d…
10-12 22:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6cfad3…
10-12 22:46:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xab01ee…
10-12 22:46:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x880982…
10-12 22:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x58296e…
10-12 22:37:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc715f5…
10-12 22:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa15079…
10-12 22:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x49db09…
10-12 22:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2cab61…
10-12 22:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x1c1cbe…
10-12 22:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5bf348…
10-12 22:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbf87ad…
10-12 22:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c6ccd…
10-12 22:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x59db8c…
10-12 22:36:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdc72d7…
10-12 22:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x33f967…
10-12 22:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2e527f…
10-12 22:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x673fbe…
10-12 22:06:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xce8117…
10-12 22:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf26729…
10-12 22:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x22c1eb…
10-12 22:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x1b3376…
10-12 22:06:23	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbb1d3c…
10-12 22:06:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x033ef2…
10-12 22:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x105316…
10-12 22:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xffa0c6…
10-12 22:03:45	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7722e7…
10-12 22:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0a3da9…
10-12 22:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0f2f54…
10-12 22:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe6cc9d…
10-12 22:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xecd301…
10-12 22:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x83ce57…
10-12 22:02:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9165b8…
10-12 22:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9b9514…
10-12 22:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0d9b77…
10-12 22:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x06b89c…