Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$208
$804 in 24h
Trades
49
Unique wallets
37
Liquidity
$1,668
Latest YES mid
52¢
Latest NO mid
48¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 13:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $75 | $90 | $16 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $19 | $34 | $14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $13 | $34 | $21 |
| Median | 5 | $5 | $15 | $10 |
| Below median | 8 | $9 | $7 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $16 | $15 | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| unranked | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x23b2…605c | No | +65 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-14 04:35 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +30 | $17 | $17 | 3 | 05-13 21:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | +25 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 05-14 00:31 |
| Twin-Believer 0xbbad…8426 | Yes | +25 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 05:39 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +22 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-14 06:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xb537…14cc | No | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 03:30 |
| Bad-Armoire 0x6036…cc41 | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 01:02 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +17 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 22:03 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +16 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-13 21:07 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +12 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 05-14 12:55 |
| Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 05:51 |
| Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 05:51 |
| Far-Noun 0x0ed1…2dc1 | Yes | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 04:35 |
| Dismal-Rehospitalisation 0x6936…894b | No | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 00:13 |
| Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 05:51 |
| Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | Yes | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 05:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-14 00:31 |
| Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 12:24 |
| Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 18:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 05:39 |
| Musty-Carpenter 0xe799…c2fb | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 05:32 |
| Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-13 21:08 |
| Internal-Sanctity-Click 0xa837…512f | Yes | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 22:06 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 03:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 22:34 |
| Great-Prosecution 0x700d…d345 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:46 |
| Pertinent-Mole 0xc3dd…57b2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd29…732b | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:31 |
| Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:20:37 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x66200f… |
| 05-14 12:55:28 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x2555a0… |
| 05-14 12:55:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x3c4189… |
| 05-14 12:24:14 | Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x972513… |
| 05-14 06:26:39 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0xc20ffb… |
| 05-14 04:35:42 | (anonymous) 0x23b2…605c | No | BUY | 65 | 52¢ | $34 | 0x944d56… |
| 05-14 04:35:42 | Far-Noun 0x0ed1…2dc1 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x3065db… |
| 05-14 03:30:15 | (anonymous) 0xb537…14cc | No | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0x903eeb… |
| 05-14 03:11:02 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xae5609… |
| 05-14 01:02:05 | Bad-Armoire 0x6036…cc41 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0x8c7a16… |
| 05-14 00:31:14 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xa204a2… |
| 05-14 00:31:14 | (anonymous) 0xbd29…732b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x5e9853… |
| 05-14 00:31:14 | Fatherly-Squirrel 0x325e…5308 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xab3b54… |
| 05-14 00:31:12 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x1d9f36… |
| 05-14 00:13:44 | Dismal-Rehospitalisation 0x6936…894b | No | BUY | 9 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x3180e3… |
| 05-13 23:57:08 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 11 | 52¢ | $6 | 0x7be01f… |
| 05-13 23:56:49 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 6 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x025a59… |
| 05-13 22:34:32 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 48¢ | $2 | 0x240aa3… |
| 05-13 22:34:30 | Repulsive-Compress 0x2510…b91b | Yes | SELL | 36 | 44¢ | $16 | 0x1ea41e… |
| 05-13 22:19:04 | (anonymous) 0x89d1…7576 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 47¢ | $2 | 0x8ab034… |
| 05-13 22:06:55 | Internal-Sanctity-Click 0xa837…512f | Yes | BUY | 4 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xf11b85… |
| 05-13 22:03:32 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 3 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xa7e9fc… |
| 05-13 22:03:26 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 17 | 53¢ | $9 | 0xd9152b… |
| 05-13 21:46:05 | Great-Prosecution 0x700d…d345 | No | BUY | 3 | 53¢ | $2 | 0x822c5b… |
| 05-13 21:23:10 | Pertinent-Mole 0xc3dd…57b2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 47¢ | $1 | 0xf51f07… |
| 05-13 21:08:05 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x089568… |
| 05-13 21:08:05 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x343410… |
| 05-13 21:08:01 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 45¢ | $6 | 0xce9675… |
| 05-13 21:07:58 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 15 | 56¢ | $8 | 0xaf0561… |
| 05-13 21:07:53 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x242e9c… |
| 05-13 21:07:53 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 45¢ | $1 | 0xa28c42… |
| 05-13 21:07:49 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x9b0127… |
| 05-13 21:07:47 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x3de4c0… |
| 05-13 21:07:46 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0x77e220… |
| 05-13 20:47:43 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 9 | 56¢ | $5 | 0x4aa2eb… |
| 05-13 18:36:14 | Natural-Oak 0xf9f0…fa62 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x9bc370… |
| 05-13 11:33:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xcca6f9… |
| 05-13 11:33:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x9df7ae… |
| 05-13 11:33:12 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0xbd84e2… |
| 05-13 06:06:17 | Concrete-Incubation 0x9988…b28e | No | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x0ef198… |
| 05-13 05:51:26 | Rundown-Junk-Analysis 0xe06d…ac24 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0x63719b… |
| 05-13 05:51:22 | Dark-Vicinity 0xdbc4…35e3 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 48¢ | $4 | 0xc10cd0… |
| 05-13 05:51:19 | Teeming-Biplane 0x6a8d…50f9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0xe04b4e… |
| 05-13 05:51:19 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xed694b… |
| 05-13 05:51:19 | Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e5…c5df | Yes | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x91714f… |
| 05-13 05:39:06 | (anonymous) 0x2cff…468b | No | BUY | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xef7199… |
| 05-13 05:39:04 | Twin-Believer 0xbbad…8426 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 37¢ | $9 | 0x653486… |
| 05-13 05:36:26 | Slight-Vintner 0x7cab…7ff6 | No | BUY | 1 | 71¢ | $1 | 0x6f1eab… |
| 05-13 05:32:09 | Musty-Carpenter 0xe799…c2fb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xaaafee… |