Immense-Supernatural 0xc1e51a…0dc5df
whale bot 19W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$836
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
72.3%
Resolved
4,347
Trades
12,283
lifetime
Volume
$165.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$396
16 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 217 days
Categories
Other
78% 39% +$1,188
Sports
11% 47% -$1,513
Politics
7% 58% +$208
Crypto
4% 50% -$704
Tech
0% 50% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +78 $50 68¢ $53 +$3 10-20 23:38
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +77 $50 68¢ $52 +$2 10-20 22:49
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +54 $50 96¢ $52 +$2 10-19 18:53
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +69 $50 62¢ $43 -$7 09-18 22:04
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,786 -$48 2¢ $-39 +$9 04-29 11:03
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? No +33 $30 95¢ $32 +$2 09-08 17:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -22 -$20 98¢ $-22 -$2 07-03 18:03
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +23 $20 86¢ $20 +$0 10-21 07:10
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +22 $20 92¢ $20 $0 10-22 07:39
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 $0 10-22 07:39
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -15 -$15 97¢ $-15 +$0 10-22 13:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $10 94¢ $10 $0 10-23 07:56
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $17 37¢ $8 -$10 08-25 20:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -6 -$5 82¢ $-5 $0 10-08 11:26
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 90¢ $4 +$2 10-26 06:19
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? Yes -16 -$9 10¢ $-2 +$7 05-26 05:29