Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$179
$1,160 in 24h
Trades
24
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$3,820
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 12:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $27 | $27 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 15 | $6 | $116 | $110 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $4 | $38 | $34 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| Median | 3 | — | $29 | $29 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $67 | $67 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | +65 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 06:02 |
| Joyous-Nutmeg 0x1135…d15e | No | +58 | $57 | $57 | 2 | 05-13 21:24 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +42 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 00:17 |
| Numb-Colleague 0xb427…4c62 | Yes | +33 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:56 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +32 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 09:29 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-13 21:23 |
| Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-13 21:24 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 08:09 |
| Educated-Melon 0x65a3…27aa | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 12:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xecc6…55bf | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-14 01:56 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:03 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-14 01:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-14 09:19 |
| Homely-Submarine 0x1ef6…1174 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 01:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 01:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 01:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 09:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 12:02:32 | Educated-Melon 0x65a3…27aa | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x0c7801… |
| 05-14 09:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xb338…7a24 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xb4817c… |
| 05-14 09:19:24 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5abd85… |
| 05-14 08:09:03 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 15 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x6030bf… |
| 05-14 07:54:06 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xb9fc82… |
| 05-14 06:02:20 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x14f7be… |
| 05-14 01:56:31 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x00ff51… |
| 05-14 01:56:29 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x883639… |
| 05-14 01:56:25 | (anonymous) 0x16c9…371a | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x02f65b… |
| 05-14 01:56:24 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x407afb… |
| 05-14 01:56:22 | Numb-Colleague 0xb427…4c62 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x544f10… |
| 05-14 01:56:22 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x5d4d17… |
| 05-14 01:56:20 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x0b7ebc… |
| 05-14 01:56:18 | (anonymous) 0xecc6…55bf | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x174280… |
| 05-14 01:56:13 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | Yes | BUY | 33 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x293e58… |
| 05-14 01:04:58 | Homely-Submarine 0x1ef6…1174 | No | BUY | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0x2aaaed… |
| 05-14 00:17:03 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x8dfcf7… |
| 05-13 22:03:18 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x608b9a… |
| 05-13 21:24:06 | Bruised-Usual 0x01d9…acd0 | No | BUY | 23 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x6d5830… |
| 05-13 21:24:06 | Joyous-Nutmeg 0x1135…d15e | No | BUY | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0x23c51d… |
| 05-13 21:24:04 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x0666af… |
| 05-13 21:23:13 | Joyous-Nutmeg 0x1135…d15e | No | BUY | 28 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x14340a… |
| 05-13 21:23:06 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 28 | 98¢ | $27 | 0x040751… |
| 05-13 09:29:39 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xc18c45… |