Same-Shape 0x05204c…0dae9b
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
60.3%
Resolved
2
Trades
37
lifetime
Volume
$298
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$308
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-12 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
88% 50% +$0
Politics
12% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C on May 12? No +55 $55 100¢ $55 $-0 05-12 03:55
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026? No +49 $35 74¢ $36 +$1 05-12 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C or higher on May 12? No +26 $26 100¢ $26 $-0 05-12 05:26
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on May 12? No +27 $17 92¢ $25 +$8 05-12 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12? No +19 $17 98¢ $19 +$1 05-12 04:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12? Yes +18 $8 100¢ $18 +$10 05-12 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12? No +15 $12 100¢ $15 +$3 05-12 02:13
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? No +16 $14 87¢ $14 $-0 05-12 03:48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on May 12? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 05-12 05:34
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 76-77°F on May 13? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 $-0 05-12 05:39
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on May 12? No +12 $12 100¢ $12 +$0 05-12 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on May 12? No +12 $12 97¢ $12 $-0 05-12 03:25
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on May 12? No +11 $11 100¢ $11 $-0 05-12 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 12? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 05-12 05:19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 12? No +8 $8 99¢ $8 $-0 05-12 02:42
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on May 13? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 05-12 04:34
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 12? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 05-12 04:10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 12? No +6 $4 65¢ $4 $-0 05-12 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12? No +3 $2 100¢ $3 +$2 05-12 02:47
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 13? Yes +13 $3 24¢ $3 +$0 05-12 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on May 12? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 $-0 05-12 06:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12? Yes +13 $2 2¢ $0 $-2 05-12 04:20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C or higher on May 12? Yes +46 $0 0¢ $0 $-0 05-12 05:56
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on May 12? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $-0 05-12 06:01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 12? No +7 $4 0¢ $0 $-4 05-12 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on May 12? Yes +10 $6 0¢ $0 $-6 05-12 02:24
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on May 12? Yes +10 $0 0¢ $0 $-0 05-12 04:15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C or higher on May 12? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $-0 05-12 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12? Yes +3 $0 0¢ $0 $-0 05-12 02:49
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on May 12? Yes +2 $0 0¢ $0 $-0 05-12 01:52