Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$347
$2,858 in 24h
Trades
62
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$2,849
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 06:23
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 42 | $99 | $227 | $128 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $21 | $147 | $126 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $12 | $24 | $12 |
| Median | 12 | $22 | $12 | +$10 |
| Below median | 17 | $37 | $48 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +98 | $82 | $82 | 3 | 05-10 21:01 |
| Nimble-Grass 0x1acf…d02e | Yes | +73 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 05-11 05:44 |
| Pleasant-Yoga 0xe88f…34ce | Yes | +65 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 04:24 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +60 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-11 06:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | +59 | $10 | $14 | 6 | 05-11 02:20 |
| Instructive-First 0x92f4…63a4 | Yes | +49 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 00:29 |
| Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | +45 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 05-10 04:57 |
| Deafening-Dictaphone 0xabe6…6dd9 | Yes | +45 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 02:00 |
| Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | +35 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 03:07 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 00:07 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +18 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-11 03:07 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 23:25 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 15:51 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +12 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-11 00:29 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 00:07 |
| Silly-Remains 0x1ddd…f13b | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 18:47 |
| Indolent-Ferry 0xe5a2…1585 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 06:23 |
| Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 04:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-11 00:13 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 00:29 |
| Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 16:45 |
| Shabby-Lashes 0x158f…2b05 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:20 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 03:39 |
| Wary-Resistance 0x167e…ee43 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:45 |
| Smooth-Collector 0xa0f3…d189 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 02:10 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:36 |
| Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:36 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 02:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 00:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 23:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x11fc…8262 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 03:07 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 09:08 |
| Fluffy-Shore 0x2193…3ff0 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 18:41 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 23:06 |
| Greedy-Ratio 0x35fd…7d53 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 00:29 |
| Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 00:30 |
| Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 00:07 |
| Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 05:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xe217…9cbd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 00:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:25 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 06:23:57 | Indolent-Ferry 0xe5a2…1585 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 33¢ | $3 | 0x52b2c0… |
| 05-11 06:17:09 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 60 | 68¢ | $41 | 0x5fd779… |
| 05-11 05:44:03 | Nimble-Grass 0x1acf…d02e | Yes | BUY | 63 | 31¢ | $20 | 0x3d7825… |
| 05-11 05:08:00 | Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $1 | 0x86f44f… |
| 05-11 04:48:50 | Flawless-Fool 0x444c…d440 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x4f9404… |
| 05-11 04:24:03 | Pleasant-Yoga 0xe88f…34ce | Yes | BUY | 65 | 31¢ | $20 | 0xd5459c… |
| 05-11 03:39:23 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x496f53… |
| 05-11 03:07:27 | (anonymous) 0x11fc…8262 | No | BUY | 4 | 81¢ | $3 | 0xa2b2ab… |
| 05-11 03:07:24 | Remorseful-Relish 0x2a87…a55a | Yes | BUY | 35 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x9e5eb5… |
| 05-11 03:07:24 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 13 | 81¢ | $11 | 0xb75e71… |
| 05-11 03:01:20 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0xeff5a6… |
| 05-11 02:36:11 | Knowing-Draw 0x6715…eb49 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xfb05aa… |
| 05-11 02:36:04 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x65cff8… |
| 05-11 02:36:01 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x331c67… |
| 05-11 02:20:54 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 16¢ | $0 | 0x0313a6… |
| 05-11 02:20:52 | Shabby-Lashes 0x158f…2b05 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x60464a… |
| 05-11 02:10:15 | Smooth-Collector 0xa0f3…d189 | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x7e10af… |
| 05-11 02:00:20 | Deafening-Dictaphone 0xabe6…6dd9 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 17¢ | $8 | 0xd41d75… |
| 05-11 01:14:03 | Nimble-Grass 0x1acf…d02e | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x0e64a9… |
| 05-11 00:30:15 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x46030e… |
| 05-11 00:30:09 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x4ae96f… |
| 05-11 00:30:08 | (anonymous) 0xe217…9cbd | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x458c77… |
| 05-11 00:29:59 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xfe6005… |
| 05-11 00:29:59 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x48dbe1… |
| 05-11 00:29:59 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x8bfccb… |
| 05-11 00:29:59 | Greedy-Ratio 0x35fd…7d53 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xd309bf… |
| 05-11 00:29:29 | Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | SELL | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xb9d32e… |
| 05-11 00:29:29 | Instructive-First 0x92f4…63a4 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xa2e89d… |
| 05-11 00:29:29 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x346c74… |
| 05-11 00:13:39 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $2 | 0x2252c6… |
| 05-11 00:13:23 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x6ae8f8… |
| 05-11 00:07:12 | Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x7bb193… |
| 05-11 00:07:10 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x95faeb… |
| 05-11 00:07:10 | Political-Nasal 0x5a1a…2983 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x79b243… |
| 05-11 00:07:10 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 7 | 89¢ | $7 | 0xd502ff… |
| 05-11 00:07:10 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x2b1188… |
| 05-11 00:07:10 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x1d0d1c… |
| 05-10 23:45:20 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x441406… |
| 05-10 23:45:20 | Wary-Resistance 0x167e…ee43 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xfd90ae… |
| 05-10 23:45:20 | Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xec599b… |
| 05-10 23:25:54 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 16 | 88¢ | $14 | 0xd38757… |
| 05-10 23:25:38 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 4 | 89¢ | $4 | 0x548ff2… |
| 05-10 23:25:33 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0xa55614… |
| 05-10 23:25:30 | (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x684637… |
| 05-10 23:06:30 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x1af188… |
| 05-10 23:01:15 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x44916a… |
| 05-10 22:53:02 | Troubled-Bulk-Vanadyl 0xd0a1…73db | Yes | SELL | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa71e8f… |
| 05-10 21:01:30 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 22 | 88¢ | $20 | 0xa82bc1… |
| 05-10 21:01:30 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x88f0ce… |
| 05-10 21:01:30 | Rude-Academy 0xb253…563d | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x54b121… |
| 05-10 20:57:02 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xa356ad… |
| 05-10 18:47:46 | Silly-Remains 0x1ddd…f13b | Yes | BUY | 11 | 18¢ | $2 | 0x74d217… |
| 05-10 18:41:39 | Fluffy-Shore 0x2193…3ff0 | No | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xc5a104… |
| 05-10 18:31:30 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 71 | 82¢ | $58 | 0x269ee2… |
| 05-10 16:45:55 | Tame-Stepsister 0x243f…589e | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $5 | 0x6227c3… |
| 05-10 15:51:48 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x5c9055… |
| 05-10 09:08:33 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xcef645… |
| 05-10 09:08:31 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 3 | 85¢ | $3 | 0xe94e3d… |
| 05-10 09:04:37 | (anonymous) 0xc484…c9d1 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 16¢ | $5 | 0xb9e667… |
| 05-10 04:57:22 | Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x686f6b… |
| 05-10 04:57:08 | Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xb049e3… |
| 05-10 04:56:54 | Ethical-Handrail 0x3016…f1fc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xc33b15… |