Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on May 12?
open
Total volume
$911
$2,132 in 24h
Trades
57
Unique wallets
38
Liquidity
$3,609
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 03:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $348 | $348 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 35 | $7 | $553 | $546 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $314 | $314 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $1 | $335 | $334 |
| Median | 9 | — | $41 | $41 |
| Below median | 7 | $5 | $68 | $63 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 5 | $1 | $143 | $142 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nervous-Dresser 0x442f…e80f | Yes | +441 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 06:23 |
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +237 | $235 | $235 | 5 | 05-11 07:25 |
| Hot-War 0x1619…7554 | Yes | +220 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 09:04 |
| Lonely-Promotion 0xd676…a859 | No | +200 | $200 | $200 | 1 | 05-10 09:16 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +114 | $114 | $114 | 4 | 05-12 02:48 |
| Meaty-Sofa 0xbbee…7820 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-11 20:23 |
| Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 3 | 05-11 18:31 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +74 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 00:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x476d…ceec | Yes | +72 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 03:04 |
| Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-11 22:00 |
| Mean-Cigarette 0xb73a…f107 | No | +33 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-11 02:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | +21 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-11 07:25 |
| Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-12 03:09 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 00:29 |
| Shabby-Infarction-Inversion 0x0a98…485a | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 23:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x7376…de4e | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 16:30 |
| Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 00:09 |
| Good-Organ 0x364e…dc9a | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-11 23:21 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 02:48 |
| Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 02:49 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-12 01:52 |
| Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 04:47 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 03:50:47 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb63cc1… |
| 05-12 03:50:47 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b3218… |
| 05-12 03:50:47 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe07ae1… |
| 05-12 03:50:47 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc4fbb8… |
| 05-12 03:39:16 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c0bd9… |
| 05-12 03:39:14 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd10b68… |
| 05-12 03:39:14 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x612328… |
| 05-12 03:39:14 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x100739… |
| 05-12 03:39:14 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5de29b… |
| 05-12 03:39:14 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcfccae… |
| 05-12 03:39:14 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4eda68… |
| 05-12 03:39:14 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c8c7e… |
| 05-12 03:39:10 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd0f5cd… |
| 05-12 03:39:10 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b9fa0… |
| 05-12 03:09:08 | Canine-Futon 0x5cef…2c1d | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xd6f86c… |
| 05-12 03:04:00 | (anonymous) 0x476d…ceec | Yes | BUY | 72 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x241976… |
| 05-12 02:49:09 | Cheerful-Past 0x85c8…80f8 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x67d637… |
| 05-12 02:48:03 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x6dee33… |
| 05-12 02:48:01 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad019c… |
| 05-12 02:48:01 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa88aa4… |
| 05-12 02:48:01 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x52ce16… |
| 05-12 02:48:01 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x6cfe8e… |
| 05-12 02:48:01 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a6fc9… |
| 05-12 02:48:01 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa29c30… |
| 05-12 02:34:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x076e1e… |
| 05-12 01:52:59 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2a520a… |
| 05-11 23:22:48 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x4d4e87… |
| 05-11 23:21:36 | Shabby-Infarction-Inversion 0x0a98…485a | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3e288c… |
| 05-11 23:21:31 | Good-Organ 0x364e…dc9a | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x4a813f… |
| 05-11 23:04:01 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x65bec3… |
| 05-11 22:32:08 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x19d5fd… |
| 05-11 22:00:28 | Wrong-Exam 0x9173…a6a6 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0xe92d29… |
| 05-11 21:27:58 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x005e34… |
| 05-11 20:23:55 | Meaty-Sofa 0xbbee…7820 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x54ffcc… |
| 05-11 18:31:22 | Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x4aff55… |
| 05-11 14:57:10 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6901a7… |
| 05-11 14:27:06 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6c435c… |
| 05-11 11:01:51 | Easy-Counselling 0xcaa1…a961 | Yes | SELL | 711 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x1c7a64… |
| 05-11 10:16:52 | Classic-Vault 0x6c27…4db9 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x86bfe5… |
| 05-11 09:04:52 | Hot-War 0x1619…7554 | Yes | BUY | 220 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x97c48c… |
| 05-11 07:25:07 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x3427ce… |
| 05-11 07:25:05 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 43 | 99¢ | $42 | 0xc69d14… |
| 05-11 07:25:05 | (anonymous) 0xd86e…1b87 | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0xafaa41… |
| 05-11 07:25:03 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 86 | 99¢ | $85 | 0x1ac036… |
| 05-11 07:25:03 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 86 | 99¢ | $85 | 0x2c8fb8… |
| 05-11 07:25:01 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $21 | 0x0ce538… |
| 05-11 03:58:31 | Husky-Golf 0x1041…f452 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2c1bf2… |
| 05-11 02:41:02 | Mean-Cigarette 0xb73a…f107 | No | BUY | 33 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xfa33bb… |
| 05-11 00:29:24 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x36ec4b… |
| 05-11 00:09:32 | Idle-Lunchroom 0x4586…15f3 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xf68e1c… |
| 05-11 00:07:10 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 74 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0ecae6… |
| 05-10 19:04:39 | Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xeb608b… |
| 05-10 19:03:45 | Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xbe02aa… |
| 05-10 16:30:22 | (anonymous) 0x7376…de4e | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x2d3185… |
| 05-10 09:16:36 | Lonely-Promotion 0xd676…a859 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xbe953a… |
| 05-10 06:23:12 | Nervous-Dresser 0x442f…e80f | Yes | BUY | 441 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x203e44… |
| 05-10 04:47:48 | Gregarious-Stopsign 0xb345…557a | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xd47ad0… |