Realized P&L
+$1.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
51.9%
Resolved
7,725
Trades
59,220
lifetime
Volume
$101.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$22
21 positions
First seen
2026-02-20
last 09-12 17:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Other
92% 71% +$1,278
Sports
5% 87% -$11
Crypto
2% 61% -$32
Politics
1% 63% -$6
Tech
0% 63% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 29% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes -7 -$3 70¢ $-5 -$2 07-24 17:34
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -5 -$4 96¢ $-5 -$1 07-11 10:22
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 -$4 94¢ $-5 -$1 07-24 17:34
Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes -6 -$3 66¢ $-4 -$1 07-24 17:34
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -7 -$3 24¢ $-2 +$1 07-24 17:34
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? Yes -30 $0 2¢ $-1 $0 07-24 17:35
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -7 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$1 07-24 17:35
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes -5 $0 3¢ $-0 $0 09-12 17:49
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? Yes -5 -$1 2¢ $-0 +$1 07-24 17:35
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? Yes -5 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 07-24 17:34
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -5 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$1 07-11 13:01
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-08 16:03
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 $0 07-06 18:31
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-24 19:48
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes -5 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-06 12:57
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-10 02:28
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-11 10:30
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-06 18:34
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-16 07:13
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 07-12 15:18
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? Yes -5 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 09-12 17:50