Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or below on May 12?
open
Total volume
$275
$3,089 in 24h
Trades
21
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$668
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-12 07:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $1 | $245 | $244 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $182 | $182 |
| Median | 8 | — | $81 | $81 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $6 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 05-12 06:10 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +88 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 21:26 |
| Capital-Sty 0xc94a…3975 | No | +83 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 05-12 03:30 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-11 23:18 |
| Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 03:19 |
| Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-12 07:51 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 09:19 |
| Lustrous-Dip 0xc44c…48a4 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 07:51 |
| Trained-Geology 0x5936…bdcc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 10:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xba4c…bf7e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 06:06 |
| Male-Hike 0xbc72…a231 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 06:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd73…ec44 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 06:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 07:51:26 | Lustrous-Dip 0xc44c…48a4 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x459629… |
| 05-12 07:51:24 | Same-Shape 0x0520…ae9b | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0xd86821… |
| 05-12 07:51:23 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3ec29e… |
| 05-12 07:51:23 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d9a3e… |
| 05-12 07:51:23 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b7c1c… |
| 05-12 06:10:56 | Super-Lack 0xe1e3…d2da | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x788211… |
| 05-12 06:06:14 | (anonymous) 0xba4c…bf7e | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf81ed6… |
| 05-12 06:06:12 | (anonymous) 0xbd73…ec44 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5d122a… |
| 05-12 06:06:10 | Male-Hike 0xbc72…a231 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x344e62… |
| 05-12 03:30:32 | Capital-Sty 0xc94a…3975 | No | BUY | 83 | 99¢ | $82 | 0x12cecd… |
| 05-12 03:19:12 | Stupendous-Objective 0x0ec4…5ed3 | No | BUY | 21 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xf32899… |
| 05-11 23:18:45 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbf26ad… |
| 05-11 23:18:43 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd3ea75… |
| 05-11 23:18:43 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x83ecdf… |
| 05-11 23:18:43 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a6579… |
| 05-11 23:18:43 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x17b7e3… |
| 05-11 23:18:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1d9f31… |
| 05-11 23:18:18 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x8f9e6f… |
| 05-10 21:26:26 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 88 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3912e7… |
| 05-10 10:42:59 | Trained-Geology 0x5936…bdcc | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x61f10b… |
| 05-10 09:19:03 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xa9181c… |