Trained-Geology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$161

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

2,357

Trades

3,018

lifetime

Volume

$85.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-21 03:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

100% 94% +$183

Sports

0% 62% +$0

Politics

0% 50% -$22

Tech

0% 50% $0

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in seoul on march 27 2026 7c	3	$403	204	204	+0	No	+$3	03-27 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C or below on May 16?	3	$222	111	111	+0	No	+$0	05-18 04:22
highest temperature in madrid on april 7 2026 18c	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	04-07 06:35
highest temperature in seoul on march 28 2026 8corbelow	2	$200	202	0	+202	No	+$2	03-27 22:56
highest temperature in istanbul on march 31 2026 8corbelow	2	$200	200	0	+200	No	+$0	03-29 02:25
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 23c	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	-$3	03-27 10:07
highest temperature in beijing on april 10 2026 30corhigher	2	$192	101	101	+0	No	-$8	04-10 06:32
highest temperature in chongqing on april 4 2026 22corbelow	2	$188	189	0	+189	No	+$1	04-03 04:44
highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 13corbelow	2	$171	173	0	+173	No	+$1	03-27 07:11
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 2 2026 23corbelow	3	$161	163	0	+163	No	+$2	04-01 21:53
highest temperature in hong kong on april 2 2026 18corbelow	2	$160	80	80	+0	No	+$0	04-03 16:30
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 12?	3	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	05-11 03:16
highest temperature in seoul on april 2 2026 6corbelow	2	$150	150	0	+150	No	+$0	04-01 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C or below on May 13?	3	$139	139	0	+139	No	+$0	05-12 14:06
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 71°F or below on May 16?	5	$135	136	0	+136	No	+$0	05-14 08:33
highest temperature in hong kong on april 11 2026 24c	2	$130	65	65	+0	No	+$0	04-12 05:25
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C or below on May 18?	4	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	05-16 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on May 11?	2	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	05-10 08:55
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 63°F or below on May 14?	3	$130	130	0	+130	No	+$0	05-12 05:04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 17?	4	$125	126	0	+126	No	+$1	05-15 06:55
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 71°F or below on May 13?	3	$125	125	0	+125	No	+$0	05-11 06:53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on May 16?	2	$124	125	0	+125	No	+$0	05-14 14:17
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 4 2026 18c	2	$124	63	63	+0	No	-$2	04-04 13:30
highest temperature in warsaw on april 23 2026 8corbelow	2	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$0	04-21 11:04
highest temperature in helsinki on april 12 2026 6c	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	04-10 22:54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C or below on May 7?	2	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-05 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 48-49°F on May 31?	2	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-29 06:09
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 1?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	06-29 17:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 12?	2	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-10 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 68-69°F on May 12?	3	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	05-10 09:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 03:56:18	Thunder vs. Spurs	Thunder	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x56abc1…
10-14 03:02:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	13	80¢	$11	0xddef7c…
10-08 02:07:40	Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9ee914…
10-02 02:10:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf72b7d…
09-21 05:24:54	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x19304f…
09-15 02:52:25	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb9dad4…
09-11 12:41:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe9d64a…
08-22 04:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 23?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf6a867…
07-21 12:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4a84d2…
07-21 12:26:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?	No	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xf37fa8…
07-21 12:24:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 22?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x401442…
07-21 10:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 23?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcd6818…
07-21 10:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33546e…
07-21 10:07:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 23?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9ab721…
07-21 10:06:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 22?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0xa81b80…
07-21 08:15:51	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 23?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb5c474…
07-21 06:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x38ddf0…
07-21 03:09:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcecc92…
07-21 03:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 25°C or below on July 22?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7d12a9…
07-21 03:05:40	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on July 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xc36699…
07-21 03:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on July 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x30dee7…
07-21 03:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on July 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1d66a2…
07-21 03:01:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 83°F or below on July 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x90a6e3…
07-21 03:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xfe831e…
07-21 02:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0bf9e7…
07-21 02:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcf9fe4…
07-21 02:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x183d38…
07-21 02:56:54	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on July 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20a90e…
07-21 02:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 102°F or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x7ebc13…
07-21 02:52:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C or below on July 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0becde…
07-21 02:52:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on July 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x968a47…
07-21 02:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x76ea2b…
07-21 02:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf261d6…
07-21 02:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 22?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x543b0a…
07-21 02:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a2dea…
07-21 02:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2e87c0…
07-21 02:37:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe990fd…
07-21 02:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4c3efa…
07-21 02:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 38°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5d4519…
07-21 02:34:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xef1e13…
07-21 02:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on July 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbcb5bc…
07-20 09:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on July 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x08d2e9…
07-20 09:46:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 22?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x775cf4…
07-20 09:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on July 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3154d…
07-20 09:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 22?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xda035a…
07-20 09:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf869a5…
07-20 09:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf12e4b…
07-20 09:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x474512…
07-20 09:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xecb3d5…
07-20 06:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on July 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7524e9…
07-20 06:24:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeb7f3a…
07-20 06:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C or higher on July 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa66f06…
07-20 06:21:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2d4e22…
07-20 06:19:33	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x91717d…
07-20 06:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6bc737…
07-20 05:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C on July 21?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x529455…
07-20 05:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 21?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xafe814…
07-20 05:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6505ca…
07-20 03:53:30	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 21?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xff4e60…
07-20 03:52:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 85°F or below on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89d083…
07-20 03:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 73°F or below on July 21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcf913f…
07-20 03:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on July 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x8b2b49…
07-20 03:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C or below on July 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xd81dee…
07-20 03:45:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe1f5b4…
07-20 03:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on July 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x14fe4c…
07-20 03:43:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 21?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x4384da…
07-20 03:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x50acd1…
07-20 03:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x31bee0…
07-20 03:40:01	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on July 21?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x624713…
07-20 03:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 21?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd6ce09…
07-20 03:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on July 21?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0fe71e…
07-20 03:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on July 21?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x9a2916…
07-20 03:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 21?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x1626ac…
07-20 03:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on July 21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x68392d…
07-20 03:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 21?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x977ab8…
07-20 03:28:36	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb6fbc1…
07-20 03:26:52	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x794dee…
07-20 03:25:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on July 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd38182…
07-20 03:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 42°C on July 21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb0e67d…
07-20 03:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 21?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbae963…
07-20 03:21:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x30fd75…
07-19 09:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on July 21?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x9a9b4b…
07-19 03:46:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xec63ff…
07-19 03:43:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x13a63e…
07-19 03:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 38°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x235270…
07-19 03:41:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6a88a6…
07-19 03:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 20?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xb899b4…
07-19 03:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on July 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x082e96…
07-19 03:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x3668b2…
07-19 03:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x633420…
07-19 03:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6bd833…
07-19 03:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C or below on July 19?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9d3678…
07-19 03:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xa70e88…
07-19 03:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on July 20?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x3493dd…
07-19 03:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on July 20?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x2a6a22…
07-19 03:32:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x64e07c…
07-19 03:31:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbcdb3c…
07-19 03:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on July 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfb0ed6…
07-19 03:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d4a5c…
07-19 03:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4f93ec…