Will the highest temperature in Austin be 65°F or below on May 12?
open
Total volume
$449
$15,808 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$15,299
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 18:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $104 | $104 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $1 | $336 | $335 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $100 | $100 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1 | $98 | $97 |
| Median | 11 | — | $137 | $137 |
| Below median | 5 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $94 | $94 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glorious-Leaver 0x5cfb…62b8 | Yes | +434 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:26 |
| Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-11 01:35 |
| Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | +90 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-10 07:54 |
| Scrawny-Appreciation 0xe5b4…4e60 | No | +83 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 05-10 06:53 |
| Biodegradable-Commandment 0xbfcb…c166 | No | +61 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 05-10 06:58 |
| Bulky-Alibi 0x00c5…756f | No | +34 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-11 02:34 |
| First-Ghost 0x2fed…7f8e | No | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-10 23:48 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-11 14:02 |
| Itchy-Manufacturer 0xdd9c…0bee | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-11 18:58 |
| Rotating-Consignment 0xced2…0b4e | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-11 14:35 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 07:33 |
| Peppery-Pyridine 0x1468…817e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 02:41 |
| Plaintive-Hide-Award 0x7024…89b5 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 02:49 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 07:29 |
| Another-Album 0x20ff…8e08 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 02:31 |
| Insidious-Authorization 0x059d…e12e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 02:30 |
| Naughty-Tog 0x67c3…98e8 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:31 |
| Swift-Disembodiment 0x4390…85cb | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 02:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 18:58:08 | Itchy-Manufacturer 0xdd9c…0bee | No | BUY | 11 | 100¢ | $11 | 0x0cd6ca… |
| 05-11 14:35:37 | Rotating-Consignment 0xced2…0b4e | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0xb1c41b… |
| 05-11 14:02:48 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0xe3795f… |
| 05-11 04:59:10 | Insidious-Maelstrom 0x63bd…aff2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x924246… |
| 05-11 02:50:11 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d980e… |
| 05-11 02:49:59 | Plaintive-Hide-Award 0x7024…89b5 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xa838e8… |
| 05-11 02:41:07 | Peppery-Pyridine 0x1468…817e | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x003320… |
| 05-11 02:34:54 | Bulky-Alibi 0x00c5…756f | No | BUY | 34 | 100¢ | $33 | 0xf37066… |
| 05-11 02:31:03 | Swift-Disembodiment 0x4390…85cb | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x6f7bb5… |
| 05-11 02:31:03 | Naughty-Tog 0x67c3…98e8 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xa77a95… |
| 05-11 02:31:01 | Another-Album 0x20ff…8e08 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x9685c6… |
| 05-11 02:30:58 | Insidious-Authorization 0x059d…e12e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xaf6871… |
| 05-11 02:26:02 | Glorious-Leaver 0x5cfb…62b8 | Yes | BUY | 434 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x8354af… |
| 05-11 01:35:08 | Lost-Sake 0x292b…23ce | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xfc0c44… |
| 05-10 23:48:15 | First-Ghost 0x2fed…7f8e | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xbbaa3f… |
| 05-10 07:54:03 | Monumental-Fortnight 0xd83c…798c | No | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0xeca946… |
| 05-10 07:33:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x141281… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x792357… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdd72db… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2ff04b… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf1022f… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbff3f9… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa5b34c… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc910d1… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x968c71… |
| 05-10 07:33:02 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x69c29c… |
| 05-10 07:29:19 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x276cda… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6feff1… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x108afd… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5b1537… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf6d90… |
| 05-10 07:29:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4e8013… |
| 05-10 07:29:16 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x643f61… |
| 05-10 06:58:28 | Biodegradable-Commandment 0xbfcb…c166 | No | BUY | 61 | 100¢ | $61 | 0x990883… |
| 05-10 06:53:39 | Scrawny-Appreciation 0xe5b4…4e60 | No | BUY | 83 | 100¢ | $82 | 0xa7dff0… |