Realized P&L
-$812
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
74.2%
Resolved
3,287
Trades
6,466
lifetime
Volume
$30.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$41
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 10-27 08:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 164 days
Categories
Other
90% 38% -$616
Politics
5% 16% -$191
Crypto
4% 22% +$27
Sports
1% 8% -$33
Tech
0% 12% +$11
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? Yes +22 $1 74¢ $17 +$15 10-20 13:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $3 16¢ $2 $0 06-03 19:49
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +194 $1 1¢ $2 +$2 09-15 12:12
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +151 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 10-07 10:41
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -10 -$4 19¢ $-2 +$2 04-28 16:33
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +20 $1 9¢ $2 +$0 09-07 11:47
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +15 $2 9¢ $1 -$1 08-14 07:56
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes +68 -$6 2¢ $1 +$8 10-16 12:59
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +6 $1 20¢ $1 $0 10-27 08:45
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? Yes +100 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-20 08:32
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +5 $2 18¢ $1 -$1 09-12 10:34
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +335 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-01 11:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +78 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 09-13 18:36
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +55 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-28 11:58
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +307 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 09-22 15:11
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 $0 08-03 15:00
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +55 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-17 10:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +147 $1 0¢ $1 -$1 09-17 13:02
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $0 $0 08-25 10:31
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +10 $5 4¢ $0 -$4 10-12 08:38
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +11 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 10-07 14:55
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +268 $1 0¢ $0 $0 09-11 14:43
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +50 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-27 08:12
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +19 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-10 08:16
will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026 Yes +17 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 08-06 11:54
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +7 $0 4¢ $0 $0 08-16 08:33
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? No +7 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 10-20 08:31
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-07 09:39
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-16 17:19
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? Yes +16 $0 1¢ $0 $0 06-16 17:20