Realized P&L
-$808
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
74.2%
Resolved
3,331
Trades
6,496
lifetime
Volume
$30.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$30
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 10-29 06:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 173 days
Categories
Other
90% 38% -$608
Politics
5% 16% -$199
Crypto
4% 22% +$27
Sports
1% 8% -$33
Tech
0% 12% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% 7% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? Yes +6 $2 98¢ $6 +$4 10-28 12:13
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $1 63¢ $3 +$2 10-28 08:44
Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? Yes +14 $0 24¢ $3 +$3 10-28 08:41
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510 Yes +12 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 08-05 19:33
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? Yes +55 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 08-28 11:58
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes +10 $1 12¢ $1 $0 08-02 18:12
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $3 8¢ $1 -$2 06-03 19:49
Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH? Yes +50 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 10-27 08:12
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 $0 09-07 11:47
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -10 -$4 9¢ $-1 +$3 04-28 16:33
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31 Yes +15 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 08-14 07:56
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-25 10:31
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? Yes +11 $1 6¢ $1 $0 08-03 15:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States? Yes +78 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 09-13 18:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +25 $1 3¢ $1 -$1 10-28 08:45
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? Yes +194 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 09-15 12:12
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 -$1 10-27 08:45
Theo James announced as next James Bond? Yes +191 $1 0¢ $1 -$1 09-11 15:04
Will Trump and Putin not meet? Yes +5 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 09-12 10:34
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? Yes +10 $1 6¢ $1 -$1 08-03 09:33
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey? Yes +307 $0 0¢ $0 +$1 09-22 15:11
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland? Yes +268 $1 0¢ $0 $0 09-11 14:43
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +7 $0 5¢ $0 $0 08-16 08:33
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? Yes +55 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-17 10:34
will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 80 20260618224014046 Yes — +8 $1 3¢ $0 $0 06-24 12:54
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +11 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-07 14:55
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +151 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 10-07 10:41
Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 10-07 09:39
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? Yes +7 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-20 08:45
Will Japan Q3 GDP growth (annualized) be less than -2.4%? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-05 07:16