Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?
open
Total volume
$25,392
$2,351 in 24h
Trades
1,004
Unique wallets
190
Liquidity
$55,885
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2028-01-01
First seen
2026-09-29
last 11-06 10:48
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.0¢
(top1%: 3% YES on $13.5K
vs crowd: 10% YES on $20.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 57 | $953 | $13.3K | $12.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 53 | $542 | $4.4K | $3.9K |
| 🐟 Fish | 42 | $254 | $560 | $306 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 38 | $335 | $277 | +$58 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 47 | $411 | $13.0K | $12.6K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 19 | $89 | $197 | $108 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $62 | $60 |
| Median | 16 | $42 | $255 | $213 |
| Below median | 32 | $160 | $369 | $209 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 10 | $170 | $22 | +$148 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 25 | $274 | $545 | $271 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 36 | $925 | $4.1K | $3.1K |
| unranked | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quarrelsome-Filth 0x38f5…6824 | No | +3,284 | $2,952 | $2,952 | 13 | 11-03 20:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +2,080 | $1,981 | $1,981 | 25 | 11-06 02:37 |
| Well-Informed-Pier 0xd5db…3c45 | Yes | +2,000 | $68 | $68 | 16 | 11-04 20:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x3cc3…fb0b | No | +1,865 | $1,742 | $2,954 | 5 | 11-04 21:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x99b7…1ac8 | Yes | +1,794 | $110 | $110 | 2 | 11-02 23:14 |
| Utter-Pedal 0xcba6…6435 | Yes | +1,599 | $104 | $104 | 17 | 11-04 20:51 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | +1,407 | $27 | $47 | 28 | 11-05 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xc6a2…c9b7 | Yes | +1,337 | $188 | $418 | 27 | 11-03 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6f2…9c70 | Yes | +1,222 | $22 | $22 | 15 | 11-04 20:53 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +1,024 | $912 | $912 | 21 | 11-03 13:11 |
| (anonymous) 0xba4b…8fe0 | Yes | +868 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 11-03 15:06 |
| Useful-Doorknob 0x1464…5e75 | No | +782 | $641 | $663 | 2 | 10-21 13:20 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +754 | $732 | $732 | 6 | 11-04 20:53 |
| Liquid-Comment 0x8fe7…4f20 | Yes | +750 | $133 | $133 | 9 | 10-01 09:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +738 | $72 | $72 | 18 | 11-05 19:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | +483 | $459 | $459 | 3 | 11-05 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +390 | $377 | $377 | 12 | 11-05 16:14 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +372 | $366 | $366 | 2 | 11-05 16:14 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +346 | $25 | $106 | 12 | 11-02 23:01 |
| Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | +340 | $331 | $331 | 6 | 11-05 22:14 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +312 | $306 | $306 | 8 | 11-05 22:14 |
| Insidious-Loggia 0xadb0…1c8c | Yes | +300 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 11-04 21:05 |
| Marvelous-Fratricide 0x3c42…2adc | Yes | +289 | $28 | $28 | 9 | 11-04 11:59 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +257 | $244 | $244 | 2 | 11-03 15:06 |
| Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81 | Yes | +252 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 10-09 22:58 |
| Unsung-Pathogenesis 0x463c…d316 | Yes | +250 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-05 07:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +239 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 11-02 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +239 | $217 | $230 | 5 | 11-02 23:01 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +229 | $223 | $223 | 3 | 11-05 22:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | +227 | $10 | $37 | 21 | 11-05 22:14 |
| Motionless-Airbus 0x9c97…4569 | Yes | +224 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 11-05 15:59 |
| Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | +208 | $201 | $201 | 5 | 11-05 15:59 |
| Thorough-Neighbourhood 0xa7fe…1f3e | No | +200 | $186 | $186 | 1 | 10-23 02:31 |
| Damp-Netball 0x1c3d…2ff5 | Yes | +200 | $14 | $14 | 3 | 10-23 20:39 |
| Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | +172 | $74 | $2,285 | 24 | 11-06 10:48 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | +150 | $130 | $322 | 8 | 11-01 16:17 |
| Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | Yes | +150 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-21 14:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | +135 | $129 | $129 | 5 | 11-06 03:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x9053…8d97 | Yes | +133 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-02 10:37 |
| Velvety-Burn 0x0380…073d | No | +127 | $121 | $121 | 3 | 10-26 20:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xe123…2fc1 | No | +120 | $108 | $108 | 2 | 10-26 20:29 |
| Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | No | +110 | $98 | $107 | 13 | 10-04 12:42 |
| Mundane-Comradeship 0x300c…6a92 | Yes | +110 | $8 | $202 | 43 | 09-29 10:34 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +105 | $100 | $100 | 3 | 10-26 20:29 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | Yes | +101 | $23 | $62 | 17 | 11-03 11:17 |
| Plump-Implementation 0x7b25…e4be | No | +101 | $92 | $476 | 23 | 11-02 19:52 |
| Enormous-Fluke 0x23cc…4f5a | Yes | +100 | $15 | $67 | 6 | 10-22 01:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | Yes | +100 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 10-19 08:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd717…07c6 | Yes | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-02 07:23 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +100 | $93 | $93 | 3 | 11-04 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x1ef0…e28e | No | +100 | $86 | $86 | 1 | 10-19 08:26 |
| Joyous-Consequence 0x4b48…35d0 | No | +100 | $82 | $82 | 1 | 09-29 21:53 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +95 | $86 | $86 | 7 | 11-06 03:45 |
| Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | +94 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-02 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x215a…360a | No | +93 | $87 | $87 | 3 | 11-01 17:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +92 | $11 | $13 | 2 | 11-02 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +91 | $81 | $166 | 3 | 11-02 19:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x7fbf…d3ef | Yes | +87 | $0 | $20 | 2 | 11-01 14:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x8a5c…7ac6 | Yes | +83 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-24 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | +79 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 11-05 22:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-06 10:48:52 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xcd09bb… |
| 11-06 10:48:52 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcd09bb… |
| 11-06 03:45:06 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x21735f… |
| 11-06 03:45:06 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x21735f… |
| 11-06 03:15:16 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | SELL | 15 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xc44cc0… |
| 11-06 03:15:16 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $14 | 0xc44cc0… |
| 11-06 02:37:43 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x9b850d… |
| 11-06 02:37:43 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x9b850d… |
| 11-06 02:37:21 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | SELL | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x9edf73… |
| 11-06 02:37:21 | (anonymous) 0xadc2…2bea | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x9edf73… |
| 11-06 02:36:06 | Blond-Wriggler 0xd950…ad1b | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xcb0674… |
| 11-06 02:36:06 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xcb0674… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0xbd1577… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x8a99bf… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | (anonymous) 0xd38f…bf78 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbd1577… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1b2114… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x383fdf… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8a99bf… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfd8254… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x383fdf… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfd8254… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x1b2114… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbd1577… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xfd8254… |
| 11-05 22:14:10 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfd8254… |
| 11-05 21:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf9ca1b… |
| 11-05 21:36:19 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | SELL | 14 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf9ca1b… |
| 11-05 20:32:09 | Faint-Magazine 0x2ab0…95fb | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb26246… |
| 11-05 20:32:09 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb26246… |
| 11-05 20:31:36 | (anonymous) 0x4d0d…49df | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xb09618… |
| 11-05 20:31:36 | Faint-Magazine 0x2ab0…95fb | Yes | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb09618… |
| 11-05 19:54:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 118 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x61a782… |
| 11-05 19:54:34 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 118 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x61a782… |
| 11-05 18:17:21 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc274c5… |
| 11-05 18:17:21 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $15 | 0xc274c5… |
| 11-05 18:17:01 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x50ce23… |
| 11-05 18:17:01 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x9a9761… |
| 11-05 18:17:01 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x50ce23… |
| 11-05 18:17:01 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9a9761… |
| 11-05 18:17:00 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x55e63b… |
| 11-05 18:17:00 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 90 | 98¢ | $88 | 0x55e63b… |
| 11-05 18:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xae2a…384d | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x20cfd7… |
| 11-05 18:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x20cfd7… |
| 11-05 18:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 78 | 98¢ | $77 | 0x7ace05… |
| 11-05 18:16:55 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7ace05… |
| 11-05 18:16:54 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6ed89a… |
| 11-05 18:16:54 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x6ed89a… |
| 11-05 18:16:52 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x3e497c… |
| 11-05 18:16:52 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3e497c… |
| 11-05 18:16:46 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x25086d… |
| 11-05 18:16:46 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x25086d… |
| 11-05 18:16:43 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xcaad02… |
| 11-05 18:16:43 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xcaad02… |
| 11-05 18:16:40 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x339147… |
| 11-05 18:16:40 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 110 | 98¢ | $108 | 0x20fe9f… |
| 11-05 18:16:40 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd55a19… |
| 11-05 18:16:40 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 110 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x20fe9f… |
| 11-05 18:16:40 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | Yes | SELL | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x339147… |
| 11-05 18:16:40 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xd55a19… |
| 11-05 18:16:31 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf75c75… |
| 11-05 18:16:31 | (anonymous) 0x4f1a…0613 | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xf75c75… |
| 11-05 18:16:31 | (anonymous) 0x37cc…e7d4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf75c75… |
| 11-05 16:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | Yes | BUY | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe1a637… |
| 11-05 16:16:34 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | Yes | SELL | 36 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe1a637… |
| 11-05 16:16:33 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5e186a… |
| 11-05 16:16:33 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 52 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x5e186a… |
| 11-05 16:16:33 | (anonymous) 0x122c…fbed | Yes | BUY | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbc7e58… |
| 11-05 16:16:33 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbc7e58… |
| 11-05 16:15:30 | (anonymous) 0x78f5…bccd | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1ba3fb… |
| 11-05 16:15:30 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1ba3fb… |
| 11-05 16:14:52 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x752cd8… |
| 11-05 16:14:52 | (anonymous) 0x8b92…6866 | No | BUY | 29 | 98¢ | $28 | 0x752cd8… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xd5ad89… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xf76013… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 190 | 98¢ | $187 | 0x416845… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xf83e…4663 | No | BUY | 132 | 98¢ | $130 | 0x916db6… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 132 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x916db6… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf76013… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 190 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x416845… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3ecffd… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 125 | 98¢ | $123 | 0xd5ad89… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1f2596… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | (anonymous) 0x3504…a832 | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0x1f2596… |
| 11-05 16:14:51 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x3ecffd… |
| 11-05 15:59:40 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | BUY | 22 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8a72ca… |
| 11-05 15:59:40 | Harsh-Macro 0x511f…cbe1 | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $22 | 0x8a72ca… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | Cloudy-Injustice 0xe040…824f | No | BUY | 125 | 98¢ | $123 | 0x3b80c5… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 264 | 98¢ | $260 | 0x7ee1e5… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | BUY | 123 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x3b80c5… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | Unsung-Climb 0xcf37…993f | No | SELL | 200 | 98¢ | $195 | 0x598a93… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $195 | 0x598a93… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | Motionless-Airbus 0x9c97…4569 | Yes | BUY | 93 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7ee1e5… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | (anonymous) 0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7ee1e5… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | Unsung-Climb 0xcf37…993f | No | SELL | 18 | 98¢ | $18 | 0x1ba91a… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | (anonymous) 0x1284…3694 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1ba91a… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | Feline-Department 0x671a…2f1e | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xe47ac9… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | (anonymous) 0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xe47ac9… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1ba91a… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | (anonymous) 0xb485…ed11 | No | BUY | 84 | 98¢ | $82 | 0x1ba91a… |
| 11-05 15:59:39 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3b80c5… |