Realized P&L
-$72.1K
Unrealized P&L
-$168
Hit rate
61.7%
Resolved
2,095
Trades
15,620
lifetime
Volume
$2.41M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$154
Open exposure
$1.32K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-23 19:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 267 days
Categories
Other
73% 40% -$79,088
Crypto
24% 29% +$8,262
Politics
3% 46% -$1,143
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Sports
0% 25% -$143
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes -10,711 -$537 4¢ $-428 +$108 09-29 10:29
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes -4,613 -$323 4¢ $-208 +$115 08-08 13:15
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes -1,848 -$287 9¢ $-170 +$117 07-28 17:54
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -6,803 -$75 2¢ $-116 -$41 08-08 13:33
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? Yes +977 $286 8¢ $83 -$203 09-08 20:52
russia military action against eu country by december 31 2026 Yes +1,000 $119 8¢ $75 -$44 09-19 09:54
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,666 -$183 4¢ $-75 +$108 07-28 17:54
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes -983 -$136 6¢ $-57 +$80 08-15 13:23
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -9,000 -$81 1¢ $-50 +$32 08-08 13:33
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? Yes -1,208 -$41 3¢ $-40 +$0 08-08 13:33
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? Yes +1,500 $265 1¢ $13 -$252 09-06 20:46
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? Yes +696 $132 0¢ $3 -$129 09-10 20:34
friedrich merz out as chancellor of germany before october 31 2026 Yes +400 $60 0¢ $1 -$59 09-17 20:27