Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved
23
Trades
5,956
lifetime
Volume
$183.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$237
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 10:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
61% 50% $-93
Politics
36% 38% +$67
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +100 $62 71¢ $71 +$9 07-09 03:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +125 $34 34¢ $42 +$8 07-14 10:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +100 $54 40¢ $40 $-15 06-22 08:59
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +500 $45 $38 $-7 06-30 15:25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -100 $-13 28¢ $-28 $-15 06-30 05:19
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +100 $9 10¢ $10 +$0 06-04 10:11
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? Yes +23 $2 36¢ $8 +$6 07-10 00:51
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? No -15 $-2 16¢ $-2 $-0 07-18 14:20