Realized P&L
-$26
Unrealized P&L
+$101
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved
23
Trades
5,436
lifetime
Volume
$168.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$223
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 15:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Other
64% 50% $-93
Politics
34% 38% +$67
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gigi Hadid be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? No +149 $-9 53¢ $79 +$87 06-24 02:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +100 $54 48¢ $48 $-7 06-22 08:59
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +500 $45 $42 $-3 06-30 15:25
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No -300 $-13 $-21 $-8 06-16 02:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -100 $-13 15¢ $-15 $-2 06-30 05:19
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes +100 $9 12¢ $12 +$3 06-04 10:11
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? No +37 $3 $2 $-1 06-24 03:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +600 $47 $2 $-46 06-18 03:19
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes -155 $-6 $-1 +$5 06-07 03:59
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? Yes -50 $-43 $-1 +$42 06-01 06:36
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30? Yes -52 $-31 $-1 +$30 06-13 06:11
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +200 $12 $0 $-12 05-28 13:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes -50 $-10 $-0 +$10 06-11 12:22