Damp-Netball — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.16K

Unrealized P&L

+$24

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

1,184

Trades

3,385

lifetime

Volume

$141.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$1.99K

13 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-27 21:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 239 days

Categories

Politics

35% 40% +$2,600

Other

35% 30% +$1,030

Crypto

26% 71% -$499

Sports

3% 25% +$29

Tech

0% 29% +$5

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (13) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	-1,800	-$1,432	82¢	$-1467	-$35	10-25 21:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?	No	+246	$192	99¢	$244	+$52	09-11 10:54
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?	Yes	+500	$72	14¢	$68	-$4	10-14 15:58
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+300	$44	18¢	$53	+$8	10-24 14:40
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?	Yes	+750	$30	7¢	$51	+$20	10-19 15:08
Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	+54	$38	87¢	$47	+$9	10-23 21:22
us iran hormuz agreement by december 31	No	+36	$16	68¢	$24	+$8	09-30 19:38
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+150	-$8	7¢	$11	+$19	08-05 18:00
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	Yes	+250	$10	4¢	$10	$0	09-16 14:52
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+750	$5	1¢	$8	+$3	08-31 15:48
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+100	$25	6¢	$5	-$19	10-22 16:46
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)	Yes	+100	$29	4¢	$4	-$25	09-30 06:20
will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	Yes	+70	$13	2¢	$1	-$11	10-01 12:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	15	$5.6K	3,200	3,200	+0	No	+$432	08-26 09:38
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	20	$4.3K	2,549	2,549	-0	No	+$388	09-18 13:04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	12	$4.0K	2,820	1,923	+897	No	+$448	04-21 20:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	9	$3.6K	1,400	3,200	-1,800	open	—	10-25 21:23
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	8	$3.4K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	09-10 12:02
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	7	$2.5K	1,497	1,497	+0	Yes	+$302	02-28 20:29
iran strike on israel by february 28	3	$1.8K	977	977	+0	Yes	+$24	02-28 11:47
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	20	$1.8K	2,082	2,082	+0	Yes	+$345	06-15 04:53
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$1.7K	1,000	1,300	-300	No	+$70	10-15 19:26
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$1.6K	1,285	1,285	+0	No	+$269	03-23 11:37
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	12	$1.5K	1,050	1,050	+0	open	—	10-18 09:03
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	4	$1.5K	800	800	+0	No	+$44	07-22 21:29
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	19	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	08-12 18:35
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	5	$1.1K	904	904	+0	No	+$279	03-29 14:01
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	9	$1.0K	641	641	+0	No	+$180	04-08 22:06
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$954	750	750	+0	No	+$2	04-18 14:26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	5	$868	550	750	-200	No	+$420	06-01 21:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-02 19:15 UTC	2	$852	455	455	+0	Down	-$48	02-02 19:29
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	5	$844	580	580	+0	open	—	10-12 10:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	3	$778	950	0	+950	No	+$171	06-08 10:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	4	$754	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$246	04-23 17:30
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	9	$689	485	503	-18	No	+$210	03-06 06:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	13	$684	1,650	1,650	+0	No	-$36	04-15 18:27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$672	422	422	+0	Yes	+$52	03-07 11:40
will iran strike israel on march 10	8	$662	765	765	+0	Yes	+$408	03-12 08:09
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	12	$645	720	720	+0	No	-$5	07-03 23:49
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	10	$619	1,470	1,470	+0	Yes	-$93	04-10 16:05
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	5	$612	550	550	+0	Yes	-$85	04-12 04:53
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 21:45 UTC	1	$580	586	0	+586	Down	+$6	02-05 21:58
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$567	469	469	+0	Yes	-$33	03-23 12:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 21:02:30	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	60	23¢	$14	0x3ff158…
10-27 20:41:54	Will Virtus Entella win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xe8c7bc…
10-27 20:33:59	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	107	53¢	$57	0x25a1a8…
10-27 20:01:53	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	107	37¢	$40	0xc82414…
10-27 19:46:48	Will Benevento Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x62ac39…
10-27 19:43:33	Will Benevento Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x2c61cd…
10-27 19:41:54	Will Benevento Calcio win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x7ba8b3…
10-27 19:29:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	150	25¢	$38	0x76b772…
10-26 22:05:27	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xcea1ca…
10-26 22:04:57	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x0cc031…
10-26 21:00:09	Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x37b9dd…
10-26 01:21:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	4¢	$2	0x373492…
10-26 01:03:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x2945d6…
10-25 23:26:53	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xb0133a…
10-25 23:21:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	86	18¢	$16	0xda4584…
10-25 23:21:20	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	8	18¢	$2	0x96b325…
10-25 23:18:42	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x9d1880…
10-25 22:53:11	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	226	8¢	$18	0x889845…
10-25 22:11:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x1d8cfa…
10-25 22:07:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xd30f6f…
10-25 21:53:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	36	2¢	$1	0xafbec3…
10-25 21:53:06	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x8aecaa…
10-25 21:53:05	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xd019b0…
10-25 21:53:03	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x3e6624…
10-25 21:38:05	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x19c3d8…
10-25 21:26:30	Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xc5e8bf…
10-25 21:23:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	176	80¢	$141	0x1c9f1c…
10-25 21:23:17	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0xc32937…
10-25 21:23:17	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0xa1165b…
10-25 21:21:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x7003ea…
10-25 21:17:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x6000ad…
10-25 21:14:00	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xfe56c9…
10-25 20:37:32	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	80	98¢	$78	0x47b41a…
10-25 20:30:44	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x489e8d…
10-25 20:22:15	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	80	57¢	$46	0xeb624d…
10-25 20:17:35	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	61	26¢	$16	0xf0ee7b…
10-25 20:14:05	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x6aeb9d…
10-25 20:09:20	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x90a6b6…
10-25 20:09:14	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x20cdfa…
10-25 18:41:17	Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	273	55¢	$150	0x3b3685…
10-25 15:58:03	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	46	1¢	$1	0xe77b4d…
10-25 15:57:23	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xe2d1cf…
10-25 15:57:23	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb107fe…
10-25 15:57:23	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x406dc2…
10-25 15:56:59	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xc4dea0…
10-25 15:56:24	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x412f08…
10-25 15:56:20	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x009c17…
10-25 15:56:00	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0xbcf153…
10-25 15:56:00	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x8e5399…
10-25 15:54:44	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0x62b4be…
10-25 15:54:26	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x7fa552…
10-25 15:54:26	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x4fc631…
10-25 15:54:26	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x24b25c…
10-25 15:47:17	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$5	0x2a8e4e…
10-25 15:47:14	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xe51509…
10-25 15:47:12	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd9b855…
10-25 15:47:11	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0xaa4661…
10-25 14:24:45	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x0207dc…
10-25 13:00:59	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x53b2af…
10-25 10:05:20	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	169	45¢	$76	0x7b0d75…
10-25 06:56:56	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	SELL	150	12¢	$18	0x5357d1…
10-24 21:48:18	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	169	70¢	$118	0xdb892e…
10-24 20:09:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	62	68¢	$42	0x977e1e…
10-24 19:48:27	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	276	68¢	$188	0x1ebdbd…
10-24 18:03:11	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	300	33¢	$99	0x632eab…
10-24 18:02:54	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	40	24¢	$10	0x9da290…
10-24 17:41:26	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x80d07a…
10-24 17:16:47	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x7f22f4…
10-24 17:16:08	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x7e0583…
10-24 17:16:06	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x4e57b8…
10-24 16:02:33	Will Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	SELL	350	90¢	$315	0x232e96…
10-24 15:34:17	Will Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	350	28¢	$98	0xc9ddf6…
10-24 14:40:06	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0xed4d2f…
10-23 22:59:17	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	950	2¢	$22	0xe3da0c…
10-23 21:22:26	Viktor Orbán arrested by...?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x06ce0d…
10-23 20:39:20	Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x6ec40e…
10-23 20:39:20	Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x0b8d7f…
10-23 19:59:45	Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?	No	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0x0cbd5c…
10-23 17:08:02	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	27¢	$8	0x363ed3…
10-23 17:01:30	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x3fb3c1…
10-23 17:01:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x14be7c…
10-23 17:01:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0xb00967…
10-23 16:52:38	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x17d867…
10-23 16:21:39	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xa7ffa5…
10-23 13:00:24	Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd7fb14…
10-23 11:57:51	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xc82def…
10-23 02:31:17	Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	172	7¢	$12	0x57cd7f…
10-22 20:05:14	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	400	2¢	$9	0x6b8c13…
10-22 17:58:12	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-22?	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0xc710ee…
10-22 16:46:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	97	25¢	$24	0xc639a8…
10-22 16:44:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xcd166c…
10-22 11:05:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	242	4¢	$11	0x853d55…
10-22 10:59:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x70f0d0…
10-22 10:58:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x9a3654…
10-22 10:45:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xe40635…
10-22 07:30:35	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	348	5¢	$17	0x95d067…
10-22 05:34:11	Will Trump rename an ocean by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0x965234…
10-22 03:40:21	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	141	18¢	$25	0x040596…
10-22 03:24:03	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0xe41c7b…
10-21 20:18:39	Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf97ce9…