Realized P&L (30d)
+$883
Unrealized P&L
-$103
Hit rate
77.7%
Resolved (30d)
129
Trades (30d)
299
3,403 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$8.17K
$142.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$2.08K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-25
last 10-31 00:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 242 days
Categories
Politics
36% 40% +$2,600
Other
35% 31% +$1,165
Crypto
26% 71% -$499
Sports
3% 25% +$29
Tech
0% 29% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2,200 -$1,736 82¢ $-1815 -$79 10-29 17:54
Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +500 $72 13¢ $66 -$6 10-14 15:58
us iran hormuz agreement by december 31 No +67 $30 68¢ $45 +$15 10-28 20:01
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $44 14¢ $41 -$4 10-24 14:40
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +100 $35 36¢ $36 +$2 10-31 00:38
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? Yes +750 $30 4¢ $32 +$2 10-19 15:08
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? Yes +100 $10 13¢ $13 +$3 10-30 09:58
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +250 $10 3¢ $8 -$3 09-16 14:52
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +750 $5 1¢ $7 +$2 08-31 15:48
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +150 -$8 4¢ $6 +$14 08-05 18:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +100 $25 4¢ $3 -$21 10-22 16:46
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy) Yes +100 $29 2¢ $2 -$27 09-30 06:20