Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
-$307
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
8
lifetime
Volume
$404
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$77
5 positions
First seen
2026-10-02
last 10-24 19:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
100% 50% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +29 $25 88¢ $26 +$1 10-02 10:41
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +385 $125 5¢ $21 -$104 10-24 19:13
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? No +504 $205 3¢ $14 -$191 10-08 21:00
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +31 $14 45¢ $14 $0 10-24 19:15
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027? Yes +133 $15 2¢ $3 -$12 10-02 10:37