Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$75

Unrealized P&L

+$10

Hit rate

96.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

$286

6 positions

First seen

2026-10-23

last 10-26 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

56% 88% +$75

Politics

43% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+172	$158	92¢	$157	-$1	10-26 23:17
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	+50	$46	92¢	$46	+$0	10-24 17:11
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+30	$15	84¢	$25	+$10	10-23 19:05
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	+20	$19	97¢	$19	+$0	10-25 00:09
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	+20	$19	96¢	$19	+$1	10-24 10:47
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+20	$18	92¢	$18	$0	10-26 13:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	13	$335	210	210	+0	open	—	10-23 20:27
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	6	$178	210	0	+210	No	+$32	10-26 17:34
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	5	$158	172	0	+172	open	—	10-26 23:17
Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	11	$88	110	0	+110	Yes	+$22	10-26 20:39
Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	4	$87	70	70	+0	open	—	10-26 10:28
Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	1	$82	101	0	+101	No	+$19	10-26 12:18
Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	4	$75	80	0	+80	Yes	+$5	10-26 20:33
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 4.5	1	$49	50	0	+50	Under	+$1	10-25 10:23
Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	2	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	10-25 08:58
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$48	50	0	+50	Yes	+$2	10-26 16:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	10-24 17:11
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	3	$33	50	0	+50	open	—	10-23 20:21
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$29	30	0	+30	Yes	+$1	10-26 20:28
Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$28	29	0	+29	No	+$1	10-26 18:05
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	10-25 00:09
Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	1	$19	20	0	+20	Yes	+$1	10-24 13:20
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	1	$19	20	0	+20	FC Barcelona	+$1	10-25 01:26
Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	5	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	10-24 10:47
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	10-26 17:17
Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Ipswich Town FC O/U 1.5	2	$18	10	10	+0	Under	+$0	10-23 20:53
Will Luis Enrique win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	1	$18	24	0	+24	No	+$6	10-26 17:31
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	10-26 13:37
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	10-23 19:05
Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	10-23 21:39
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5	1	$9	10	0	+10	Over	+$1	10-23 21:40
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	1	$8	10	0	+10	Yes	+$2	10-24 21:51
Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027?	1	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	10-24 04:18
Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	1	$3	10	0	+10	Yes	-$3	10-24 07:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 23:17:02	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x75a525…
10-26 20:39:24	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0xc53fc3…
10-26 20:39:24	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	7	82¢	$6	0x2af3c9…
10-26 20:39:08	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x6c1781…
10-26 20:33:59	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x6641b3…
10-26 20:28:48	Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x8cc0f2…
10-26 18:05:30	Will Jude Bellingham finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x3bd0e4…
10-26 17:58:26	Will Kylian Mbappé finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x6bd46b…
10-26 17:40:05	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb3a122…
10-26 17:40:05	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x4e5eb3…
10-26 17:34:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x0b5c5e…
10-26 17:34:11	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x08b0a0…
10-26 17:31:02	Will Luis Enrique win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	No	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0xdb986c…
10-26 17:26:53	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x8c414f…
10-26 17:23:33	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x561137…
10-26 17:23:26	Will Luis de la Fuente win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Coach of the Year award?	Yes	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x91c74d…
10-26 17:17:18	Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x8e7277…
10-26 17:02:30	Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6e9fd3…
10-26 16:45:41	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x833cc5…
10-26 13:37:23	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xbf355b…
10-26 12:18:09	Will Lionel Messi attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	101	81¢	$82	0x8a0a4c…
10-26 10:28:45	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	SELL	70	49¢	$34	0xe22144…
10-25 10:23:21	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x79f9bd…
10-25 08:58:24	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa3f4f9…
10-25 08:57:51	Will Fleetwood Town FC win on 2026-10-27?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x3511b1…
10-25 01:26:36	Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x73291d…
10-25 00:09:33	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe69feb…
10-24 22:07:51	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xec2647…
10-24 21:51:30	Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x77fb79…
10-24 21:16:30	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x86c39b…
10-24 17:11:33	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xb8c16b…
10-24 13:20:05	Will Thierry Henry attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xe53346…
10-24 10:47:38	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x0d0db5…
10-24 10:27:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x2992b1…
10-24 09:10:56	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x540695…
10-24 08:40:14	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xacd1dd…
10-24 08:12:26	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xac68bc…
10-24 07:45:36	Will Ousmane Dembélé attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x654ad9…
10-24 07:30:14	Will Brighton win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7df8f6…
10-24 06:44:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0xf9b7c9…
10-24 04:18:35	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in Switzerland by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xa65d26…
10-23 22:05:57	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfb5cff…
10-23 21:40:50	Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Arsenal FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0xd51b77…
10-23 21:39:32	Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xbba917…
10-23 21:36:33	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x538aa7…
10-23 21:26:42	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x27faf7…
10-23 21:19:15	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x9738ec…
10-23 21:04:06	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x719c08…
10-23 20:53:45	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Ipswich Town FC O/U 1.5	Under	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x7ace6d…
10-23 20:47:27	Ipswich Town FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Ipswich Town FC O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xf89ccb…
10-23 20:27:20	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	105	97¢	$102	0xf11467…
10-23 20:21:17	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x5c51b9…
10-23 20:21:11	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x8cba1d…
10-23 20:14:33	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x8f62d6…
10-23 20:13:06	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xe152b5…
10-23 20:12:56	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	97¢	$85	0x3d410b…
10-23 20:12:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xe89edf…
10-23 19:58:53	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xecb4d2…
10-23 19:41:02	Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x095667…
10-23 19:36:27	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xfe3f72…
10-23 19:15:18	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x561eb1…
10-23 19:05:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc27a86…
10-23 18:56:35	Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	Yes	BUY	50	81¢	$40	0xec1b0c…
10-23 17:39:29	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x20bca6…
10-23 17:35:42	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x61c69f…
10-23 17:26:54	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x8e1bc1…
10-23 17:26:23	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x983ea9…
10-23 17:25:47	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xfb77ea…
10-23 17:11:36	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x2e9a02…
10-23 17:11:12	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	69¢	$34	0x6ba457…