Realized P&L
+$11.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.26K
Hit rate
70.9%
Resolved
54,599
Trades
210,020
lifetime
Volume
$1.95M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$36.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-30 03:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 168 days
Categories
Other
87% 60% +$10,481
Politics
8% 72% -$1,205
Sports
3% 65% +$903
Crypto
1% 58% +$910
Tech
1% 66% -$142
Pop-Culture
0% 68% +$112
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2971 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4,189 $1,507 100¢ $4.2K +$2,682 10-27 23:02
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,619 $3,607 100¢ $3.6K +$8 10-27 18:51
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +2,159 $1,573 99¢ $2.1K +$564 10-28 21:42
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,947 $2,043 69¢ $2.0K -$9 10-29 19:50
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,546 $1,525 99¢ $1.5K +$12 10-30 00:05
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,480 $1,359 99¢ $1.5K +$112 10-28 01:27
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,405 $1,402 97¢ $1.4K -$36 10-13 20:23
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,236 $1,230 100¢ $1.2K +$5 10-28 01:12
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +3,814 $1,062 31¢ $1.2K +$120 10-30 03:46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,175 $1,154 98¢ $1.2K +$1 10-30 01:30
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,124 $1,118 100¢ $1.1K +$2 10-30 04:07
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,843 $1,051 60¢ $1.1K +$58 10-30 02:13
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,252 $968 86¢ $1.1K +$103 10-01 14:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,286 $993 74¢ $958 -$35 10-29 20:12
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,530 $1,076 62¢ $956 -$119 10-30 04:06
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +975 $941 97¢ $949 +$8 10-29 23:54
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +937 $936 100¢ $936 +$1 10-29 02:46
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +939 $901 95¢ $897 -$4 10-27 22:45
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +952 $892 94¢ $895 +$3 10-29 12:46
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +2,098 $1,061 40¢ $839 -$222 10-29 17:45
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +778 $743 99¢ $771 +$28 10-29 14:21
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,878 $540 37¢ $698 +$157 10-29 23:46
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +691 $564 100¢ $690 +$127 10-28 00:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? No +935 $458 71¢ $664 +$206 10-29 19:46
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No +668 $638 97¢ $649 +$11 10-29 19:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +779 $599 82¢ $639 +$40 10-29 21:08
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +635 $632 100¢ $633 +$1 10-29 01:51
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,006 $185 63¢ $632 +$448 10-29 19:17
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +633 $632 100¢ $632 $0 10-23 08:15
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +758 $607 78¢ $591 -$15 10-13 20:23