Realized P&L
+$10.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$4.29K
Hit rate
70.7%
Resolved
53,810
Trades
205,251
lifetime
Volume
$1.90M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$37.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 10-27 23:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 165 days
Categories
Other
87% 59% +$9,794
Politics
8% 72% -$1,262
Sports
3% 65% +$1,024
Crypto
1% 58% +$911
Tech
0% 66% -$142
Pop-Culture
0% 68% +$112
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 2971 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +4,189 $1,507 98¢ $4.1K +$2,598 10-27 23:02
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +3,619 $3,607 100¢ $3.6K +$8 10-27 18:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +3,202 $3,189 100¢ $3.2K -$1 10-27 17:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,939 $2,384 96¢ $2.8K +$437 10-27 16:14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +2,451 $2,438 100¢ $2.4K +$10 10-26 11:10
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,307 $1,616 70¢ $1.6K -$10 10-27 17:26
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,405 $1,402 97¢ $1.4K -$43 10-13 20:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,167 $1,148 99¢ $1.2K +$11 10-24 19:38
Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? No +1,152 $1,006 96¢ $1.1K +$95 10-27 17:15
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,082 $888 93¢ $1.0K +$123 10-27 19:13
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No +1,252 $968 80¢ $1.0K +$34 10-01 14:58
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,003 $997 99¢ $995 -$2 10-27 23:15
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? Yes +1,010 $814 91¢ $915 +$101 10-27 07:51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +904 $899 100¢ $901 +$2 10-27 14:47
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No +939 $901 96¢ $900 -$1 10-27 22:45
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +1,101 $566 80¢ $881 +$315 10-27 23:58
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +877 $715 99¢ $867 +$152 10-24 04:43
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,646 $692 32¢ $847 +$154 10-28 00:11
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,268 $909 66¢ $843 -$66 10-26 09:32
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +819 $817 99¢ $814 -$3 10-26 13:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +904 $686 80¢ $719 +$32 10-25 15:34
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +717 $705 98¢ $701 -$4 10-27 18:29
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +1,198 $598 56¢ $671 +$73 10-27 19:23
2026 Balance of Power: Other No +633 $632 100¢ $633 +$0 10-23 08:15
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +758 $607 79¢ $600 -$7 10-13 20:23
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +591 $464 100¢ $590 +$127 10-27 23:15
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +1,664 $464 35¢ $578 +$115 10-26 14:27
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +571 $568 100¢ $570 +$2 09-13 20:50
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +591 $548 94¢ $556 +$8 10-27 21:15
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +562 $529 99¢ $554 +$25 10-26 00:46