Well-Informed-Pier 0xd5db05…2c3c45
whale hot 5W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3.03K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.85K
Hit rate
54.7%
Resolved
395
Trades
4,348
lifetime
Volume
$286.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$7.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 15:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Politics
47% 38% +$4,253
Other
40% 36% -$82
Sports
9% 30% -$1,143
Crypto
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1,200 $996 88¢ $1.1K +$54 09-14 09:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,123 $731 44¢ $945 +$214 10-19 05:32
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +805 $628 88¢ $712 +$85 09-16 13:51
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +700 $472 99¢ $693 +$221 10-12 18:50
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? No +600 $516 100¢ $599 +$83 10-01 19:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,000 $619 26¢ $510 -$109 10-30 14:25
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +1,087 $463 43¢ $468 +$5 10-30 09:56
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? No +841 $160 33¢ $277 +$118 11-01 15:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +310 $229 88¢ $271 +$42 09-18 13:55
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,826 $420 12¢ $228 -$192 10-27 12:45
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +620 $203 34¢ $211 +$8 11-01 13:34
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,000 -$286 16¢ $-165 +$121 05-05 23:41
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +2,966 $25 6¢ $163 +$138 10-31 18:43
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 No +218 $17 74¢ $160 +$143 10-20 14:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,200 $216 12¢ $150 -$66 09-16 14:16
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +250 -$24 38¢ $94 +$118 10-29 20:50
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +810 $244 12¢ $93 -$150 09-30 09:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +483 $99 16¢ $80 -$19 11-01 09:32
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes +585 $103 14¢ $79 -$24 10-30 22:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,698 -$252 4¢ $-62 +$190 09-20 19:51
us x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 20260918 Yes +218 $92 26¢ $58 -$34 09-24 08:33
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,330 $32 2¢ $23 -$10 06-02 16:32
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +10 -$71 92¢ $9 +$80 07-18 15:17
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917 No +868 -$710 1¢ $9 +$719 10-30 00:23
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +6 -$255 93¢ $6 +$261 08-23 11:47
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$0 06-24 11:39
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 -$4 96¢ $-5 $0 06-15 16:53
Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +5 -$103 86¢ $5 +$108 08-23 11:45
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +5 $71 62¢ $3 -$67 08-14 12:47
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? Yes +861 $188 0¢ $2 -$186 10-18 12:36