Well-Informed-Pier 0xd5db05…2c3c45
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$1.21K
Unrealized P&L
-$90
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved
2
Trades
1,641
lifetime
Volume
$152.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$93
Open exposure
$1.58K
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 02:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
57% 100% +$1,468
Other
41% 0% $-257
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,380 $1,055 20¢ $693 $-362 07-16 08:15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -1,190 $-304 22¢ $-256 +$48 07-08 14:05
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +228 $101 80¢ $181 +$80 06-11 21:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +481 $217 36¢ $171 $-47 07-16 22:10
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +668 $149 24¢ $160 +$11 07-16 11:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +100 $-41 78¢ $78 +$119 07-18 15:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $40 11¢ $21 $-19 06-26 07:27
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +10 $-71 86¢ $9 +$79 07-18 15:17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -5 $-4 90¢ $-4 +$0 06-15 16:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $-0 06-24 11:39
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31? Yes +6 $1 36¢ $2 +$1 07-01 22:28