Well-Informed-Pier 0xd5db05…2c3c45
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$135
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
28
lifetime
Volume
$3.26K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$117
Open exposure
$3.18K
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-14 21:19
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
67% — —
Politics
33% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? No +700 $592 99¢ $694 +$102 05-10 09:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? Yes -1,158 $-405 48¢ $-562 $-157 05-07 12:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? No -495 $-332 92¢ $-458 $-126 05-07 10:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? Yes -1,500 $-225 18¢ $-278 $-52 05-07 12:01
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +700 $233 36¢ $255 +$22 05-08 10:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Yes -20,377 $-202 1¢ $-214 $-12 05-14 21:19
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? No -204 $-151 100¢ $-203 $-53 05-14 19:16
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? Yes +100 $45 100¢ $100 +$55 05-14 21:07
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Yes +14,111 $98 1¢ $92 $-7 05-13 00:58
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +350 $83 25¢ $89 +$6 05-07 10:50
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? Yes +500 $72 17¢ $86 +$14 05-14 20:09
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? Yes +11,000 $99 1¢ $72 $-27 05-13 22:27
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? Yes -434 $-148 14¢ $-59 +$89 05-07 20:21
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? Yes +768 $7 1¢ $11 +$5 05-09 12:18
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? No -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 05-14 20:14
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? No -2,500 $-6 0¢ $-2 +$4 05-14 20:13
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? No +800 $13 0¢ $1 $-12 05-14 20:46
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes +5 $3 12¢ $1 $-2 05-13 12:48
Will Switzerland advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? Yes -350 $-140 0¢ $-0 +$140 05-14 19:43
Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? No +200 $54 0¢ $0 $-54 05-14 14:46
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? Yes +72 $66 0¢ $0 $-66 05-14 19:58