Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$968

Unrealized P&L

-$133

Hit rate

26.1%

Resolved

195

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$4.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 10-30 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Politics

55% 3% +$78

Other

38% 4% -$966

Crypto

6% 31% -$59

Sports

0% 0% -$20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+2,026	$75	1¢	$14	-$61	10-30 19:24
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	+1,132	$35	0¢	$6	-$30	10-20 05:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	+3,698	$42	0¢	$4	-$39	10-16 19:15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?	Yes	+2,185	$6	0¢	$2	-$4	10-20 05:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	+17	$1	6¢	$1	$0	10-24 13:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	6	$584	71,600	38,600	+33,000	Yes	+$110	04-08 05:47
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	8	$143	2,089	2,089	+0	No	-$99	09-25 22:11
andrii sybiha appointed as ukrainian minister of foreign affairs by july 31 20260716170642931	6	$140	1,262	1,262	+0	No	-$90	07-28 18:28
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	5	$121	2,304	2,304	+0	No	-$99	07-25 08:42
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	5	$105	4,053	4,053	+0	open	—	09-30 22:52
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$100	33,333	0	+33,333	Yes	-$100	04-08 20:56
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	6	$93	14,275	13,143	+1,132	open	—	10-20 05:47
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	2	$89	9,779	0	+9,779	Yes	-$89	04-02 22:03
military action against iran continues through march 31 2026	5	$86	5,594	31	+5,563	Yes	-$78	03-30 19:58
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	3	$75	2,026	0	+2,026	open	—	10-30 19:24
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?	3	$70	401	0	+401	Yes	-$70	09-21 22:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	8	$58	3,955	257	+3,698	open	—	10-16 19:15
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026?	3	$54	2,374	0	+2,374	No	-$54	06-15 05:46
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by September 30, 2026?	3	$53	496	496	+0	No	-$7	09-05 13:56
will steve witkoff visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126051	4	$53	1,580	0	+1,580	Yes	-$53	09-06 09:10
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by august 31 2026	2	$52	1,238	0	+1,238	No	-$52	08-10 05:31
us imports russian diesel by october 31	2	$52	482	482	+0	open	—	10-21 16:42
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	3	$51	10,480	10,480	+0	No	-$9	02-10 17:30
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	6	$51	1,480	1,480	+0	open	—	10-23 05:24
will jared kushner visit ukraine by december 31 2026 20260729210126052	4	$51	1,124	0	+1,124	Yes	-$51	09-06 09:02
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	5	$48	935	935	+0	open	—	10-26 06:23
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by September 30?	3	$47	334	334	+0	No	+$15	09-10 19:12
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 7, 2026?	3	$43	415	0	+415	No	-$43	09-11 16:49
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?	2	$41	696	0	+696	open	—	10-23 05:32
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?	2	$41	1,415	1,415	+0	open	—	08-19 19:53
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$40	25,000	0	+25,000	Yes	-$40	03-25 23:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	4	$39	1,654	1,654	+0	No	-$23	09-22 17:06
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	3	$37	162	162	+0	No	-$23	09-27 10:23
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$36	107	107	+0	No	+$6	03-26 18:43
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 12, 2026?	4	$35	254	0	+254	No	-$35	09-14 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:24:25	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	736	2¢	$12	0xf659af…
10-26 23:21:54	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xfbde29…
10-26 06:32:45	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	583	4¢	$25	0x252ec2…
10-26 06:23:53	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	503	0¢	$2	0x207ea4…
10-25 12:12:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x32226b…
10-25 12:09:54	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,500	0¢	$2	0x7edff4…
10-25 11:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdbd5be…
10-24 19:00:00	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xde40d7…
10-24 18:39:59	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb7c9fb…
10-24 18:39:18	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,341	0¢	$3	0x1d8d87…
10-24 13:16:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc5854f…
10-24 12:55:29	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x428be0…
10-24 12:55:05	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,927	0¢	$2	0x134b94…
10-24 09:04:39	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	708	5¢	$38	0x331fa2…
10-24 08:30:47	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,500	0¢	$3	0x125cfc…
10-24 08:24:47	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	Yes	SELL	435	1¢	$3	0x951441…
10-23 05:32:26	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	8¢	$11	0xb20dc1…
10-23 05:24:30	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	SELL	472	2¢	$11	0xbe82ac…
10-21 19:55:45	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	503	2¢	$12	0x28d67c…
10-21 19:55:30	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	555	5¢	$30	0x209608…
10-21 16:44:27	Will Russia target Kyiv on October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	160	13¢	$20	0x7152a6…
10-21 16:42:35	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?	Yes	SELL	221	2¢	$4	0x4ef3d7…
10-21 16:42:21	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	SELL	482	4¢	$20	0x783fd7…
10-20 05:47:48	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	212	1¢	$2	0x481b0a…
10-20 05:46:33	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,185	0¢	$5	0xb5588f…
10-20 05:45:59	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?	Yes	BUY	435	2¢	$8	0x60f1d4…
10-20 05:45:48	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?	Yes	BUY	472	2¢	$8	0x90796e…
10-20 05:45:18	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,927	0¢	$5	0x821599…
10-20 05:45:06	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,341	0¢	$5	0x49d526…
10-20 05:44:48	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	920	1¢	$5	0x489220…
10-17 15:59:47	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	BUY	482	7¢	$32	0xc6f524…
10-16 19:26:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xee27fa…
10-16 19:26:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x7d8993…
10-16 19:23:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x924331…
10-16 19:19:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x8db18b…
10-16 19:18:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9e41fa…
10-16 19:16:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x109b6d…
10-16 19:16:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd9729b…
10-16 19:15:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	2,143	1¢	$15	0x9dcdbe…
10-12 20:54:21	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0xa35423…
10-12 20:47:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	1,556	1¢	$14	0xd2ad1a…
10-12 20:46:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xf9bedb…
10-12 18:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xcaf1b9…
10-12 17:59:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?	No	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0xdc1038…
10-10 18:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd76682…
10-09 20:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x492a51…
10-09 20:21:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9dbb2e…
10-09 20:21:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1e139e…
10-08 19:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2e5f54…
10-08 19:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xddf016…
10-08 19:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8efbee…
10-07 21:00:01	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x826ce9…
10-07 20:59:29	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?	No	BUY	1,556	0¢	$2	0x02505c…
10-06 20:52:02	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa03ffe…
10-06 20:48:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd3f250…
09-30 22:55:29	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x653ec2…
09-30 22:53:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	SELL	257	3¢	$8	0x8d6353…
09-30 22:53:08	Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x494d40…
09-30 22:52:45	Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31?	Yes	SELL	262	3¢	$8	0x184848…
09-30 22:52:38	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	432	3¢	$11	0xdedc80…
09-30 22:52:26	Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?	Yes	SELL	4,053	0¢	$14	0x606d19…
09-30 22:52:18	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13,143	0¢	$29	0x8be7b9…
09-30 22:39:35	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xcbef02…
09-30 22:32:50	Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5bf515…
09-30 18:34:50	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $875B by September 30?	Yes	BUY	344	3¢	$10	0xf2ea00…
09-30 18:14:53	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	No	BUY	514	2¢	$10	0x145bba…
09-30 18:14:14	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	151	4¢	$6	0xa56cbe…
09-30 18:14:03	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?	Yes	SELL	336	0¢	$0	0x0832be…
09-30 18:13:33	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	SELL	300	2¢	$6	0xbca77d…
09-29 17:11:56	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?	Yes	BUY	336	0¢	$1	0x9f034d…
09-29 17:11:32	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	426	0¢	$1	0x538932…
09-27 11:29:27	will the us announce a diesel export ban by october 31	Yes	BUY	221	11¢	$24	0x68c43a…
09-27 10:27:26	Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0xa62b21…
09-27 10:23:30	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	Yes	SELL	162	4¢	$7	0x5a64b1…
09-27 10:23:15	Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	284	1¢	$2	0x4fe999…
09-26 07:48:12	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	No	BUY	1,000	1¢	$6	0xae77b3…
09-26 07:47:56	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	323	2¢	$6	0xce4626…
09-25 22:12:39	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	289	4¢	$13	0xb6f67c…
09-25 22:11:57	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,005	1¢	$13	0x6cfd27…
09-25 14:39:29	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	Yes	BUY	118	21¢	$25	0xafdd29…
09-25 14:22:06	Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?	Yes	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x1365ba…
09-25 14:21:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	179	2¢	$4	0x90e6c7…
09-24 20:35:48	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2,930	1¢	$21	0x208067…
09-22 17:39:03	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit?	Yes	BUY	119	3¢	$3	0x1c39ed…
09-22 17:13:04	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0x47e705…
09-22 17:12:30	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0x6bd9b5…
09-22 17:11:49	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	SELL	22	45¢	$10	0x264c85…
09-22 17:06:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	Yes	SELL	1,654	0¢	$8	0x0eda7a…
09-22 16:50:31	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xb1f040…
09-22 06:08:15	Will Russia target Kyiv on September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x68dcb2…
09-21 22:04:01	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?	No	BUY	116	4¢	$5	0x693c00…
09-21 18:18:03	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	No	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1c1e7c…
09-21 18:03:37	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?	No	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x918033…
09-20 17:19:40	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa1e557…
09-20 15:24:09	Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	220	1¢	$1	0xa9f018…
09-20 14:55:43	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc56ac1…
09-20 14:53:43	Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September 2026?	No	BUY	159	38¢	$60	0xa17771…
09-19 16:31:00	Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x640204…
09-19 16:26:50	Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x79c78d…
09-19 14:50:41	Israel closes its airspace by September 30?	No	BUY	455	1¢	$5	0x9e4ebc…