Realized P&L
+$89
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved
2,983
Trades
16,961
lifetime
Volume
$5.12K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$8
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-29 19:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 171 days
Categories
Other
55% 23% +$100
Politics
30% 18% +$39
Sports
7% 39% -$15
Tech
3% 21% +$20
Crypto
3% 8% -$63
Pop-Culture
1% 7% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 527 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 09-22 22:40
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-07 14:43
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 09-18 16:33
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-15 20:39
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-30 09:33
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-19 16:53
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-15 09:16
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-21 15:07
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +50 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 09-26 21:40
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-28 02:12
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-27 21:09
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-13 09:41
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-14 00:32
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-05 10:09
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-13 17:44
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-20 21:15
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-26 05:06
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-10 07:00
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-03 23:46
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-28 12:42
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-05 23:19
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-30 17:13
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-22 07:11
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-07 06:08
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-02 13:04
Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes — +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-19 21:41
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-07 06:09
Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-26 13:34
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-22 13:57
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-21 19:23