Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$279

Unrealized P&L

-$34

Hit rate

13.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$493

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

$78

3 positions

First seen

2026-11-03

last 11-05 17:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 8% -$279

Politics

18% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	+706	$48	7¢	$47	-$1	11-03 15:09
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+868	$43	2¢	$21	-$21	11-03 15:06
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	+470	$22	2¢	$10	-$12	11-03 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$77	5,400	+5,400	Down	-$77	11-04 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	1	$50	101	+101	Down	+$51	11-04 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$50	1,157	+1,157	Up	-$50	11-04 20:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$50	312	+312	Up	-$50	11-04 19:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$50	714	+714	Down	-$50	11-04 20:12
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	1	$48	706	+706	open	—	11-03 15:09
Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	1	$43	868	+868	open	—	11-03 15:06
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	1	$22	470	+470	open	—	11-03 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$20	117	+117	Down	-$20	11-05 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$20	200	+200	Down	-$20	11-04 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$20	333	+333	Down	-$20	11-04 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$15	1,475	+1,475	Up	-$15	11-04 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$15	489	+489	Up	-$15	11-03 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$11	570	+570	Down	-$11	11-04 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$2	13	+13	Down	-$2	11-04 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 17:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	117	17¢	$20	0x53f3ba…
11-04 20:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xf19e46…
11-04 20:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	333	6¢	$20	0xc473dd…
11-04 20:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,475	1¢	$15	0xb9e8c2…
11-04 20:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0xccef07…
11-04 20:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,157	4¢	$50	0xc5b77a…
11-04 20:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xe239b4…
11-04 19:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0x7d4e90…
11-04 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	520	2¢	$10	0x579562…
11-04 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4,880	1¢	$67	0x09e718…
11-04 19:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0xf5bf18…
11-04 19:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	570	2¢	$11	0x38c39b…
11-03 16:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	489	3¢	$15	0x292cb8…
11-03 15:09:30	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	706	7¢	$48	0x23a4a0…
11-03 15:08:37	Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?	Yes	BUY	470	5¢	$22	0xf83a86…
11-03 15:06:52	Will no qualifying Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	868	5¢	$43	0x757d3b…